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Rasmussen Poll 10/2908: Obama 50%, McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | October 29, 2008 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 10/29/2008 6:42:13 AM PDT by avacado

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Barack Obama attracting 50% of the vote nationwide while John McCain earns 47%. This is the first time McCain has been within three points of Obama in more than a month and the first time his support has topped 46% since September 24.

Among those who “always” vote in general elections, Obama leads by just a single point.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Education; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: mccain; palin; poll
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Among those who “always” vote in general elections, Obama leads by just a single point.
1 posted on 10/29/2008 6:42:13 AM PDT by avacado
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To: avacado

Let me guess...with those who ‘always’ vote, he’s also under 50% too.

If we can pull off turnout, we can win this election.


2 posted on 10/29/2008 6:43:50 AM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm (You MUST see this website: http://www.neverfindout.org/)
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To: avacado

McCain is definitely picking up the undecideds in a big way, which has been my gut. I have felt Obama had attracted all the voters he would attract a few weeks ago. The rest are simply not comfortable with the guy. the redistribution philosophy has put a face on the difference between the these two candidates, and has pulled a lot of voters away from Obama. Let’s hope it sticks. I’d like to see O fall below 50 in the Ras poll, but with the weighting problem, I suspect he already is.


3 posted on 10/29/2008 6:45:16 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

If we’re all paying attention, then turnout should NOT be a problem. There is absolutely no excuse for not voting, especially this year.


4 posted on 10/29/2008 6:47:39 AM PDT by ScottinVA
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To: avacado
Photobucket
5 posted on 10/29/2008 6:47:43 AM PDT by johnny7 ("Duck I says... ")
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To: avacado

This also proves the fault with Ras LV models. O was at 53 percent. Now he’s at 50. Not all that likely were they.


6 posted on 10/29/2008 6:48:03 AM PDT by DHarry
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To: perfect_rovian_storm
If we can pull off turnout, we can win this election.

Put out the word in the 'hood that if they vote on Nov 5, their vote will count twice.

7 posted on 10/29/2008 6:48:07 AM PDT by varon (Allegiance to the constitution, always. Allegiance to a political party, never.)
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To: avacado

This also proves the fault with Ras LV models. O was at 53 percent. Now he’s at 50. Not all that likely were they.


8 posted on 10/29/2008 6:48:40 AM PDT by DHarry
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To: johnny7

“As for those who have not yet voted but are “certain” they will do so, the race is tied at 48%.”

That is great news...........


9 posted on 10/29/2008 6:48:52 AM PDT by floor sweeper
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To: avacado

The Empty suit, wind bag, Marxist, disgraceful excuse for a human being aka BO will honor Amerika tonight with his “wisdom” for half an hour. Any thoughts on how that might affect his numbers?

Perhaps McCain will have something news worthy to expose in order to take the wind out of the wind bag and avert the sheeples attention?!


10 posted on 10/29/2008 6:48:57 AM PDT by albie
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

And Ras is polling over 7 points more ‘Rats than Republicans! The early voting trends don’t support the idea that ‘Rats will turn out in numbers that far above the GOP.


11 posted on 10/29/2008 6:49:26 AM PDT by puroresu (Enjoy ASIAN CINEMA? See my Freeper page for recommendations (updated!).)
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To: avacado

The 50% number concerns me.

Rasmussen has said on sunday the race is Obamas and nothing mccain can do will change that.

was Kerry or gore ever at 50% this close to election day?

(we also have early voting to think about)


12 posted on 10/29/2008 6:50:21 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: ilgipper

“I’d like to see O fall below 50 in the Ras poll, but with the weighting problem, I suspect he already is”.

...the weighting of dems is because they suspect higher turnout for dems? Or is it to make up for the “Bradley/Wilder” effect? Both?


13 posted on 10/29/2008 6:51:25 AM PDT by albie
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To: puroresu
And Ras is polling over 7 points more ‘Rats than Republicans! The early voting trends don’t support the idea that ‘Rats will turn out in numbers that far above the GOP.

Yep. Going with a modest DEM+3 party affiliation puts Rasmussen at a virtual dead heat. Would love to see the GOP shock everyone and approach the turnout in 2004 when they matched that of the DEMs.

14 posted on 10/29/2008 6:52:26 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: avacado
I still don't believe this is an accurate representation of what the turnout is going to be:

For polling data released during the week of October 26 to November 1, 2008, the partisan weighting targets used by Rasmussen Reports will be 40.0% Democratic, 32.8% Republican, and 27.2% unaffiliated.

But then, one could look at the brightside - it's weighted that much and he still only leads by 3. BTW - I've been Googling and having a hard time finding it. Does anyone know if there is a good source that shows turnout by party for previous elections?
15 posted on 10/29/2008 6:53:10 AM PDT by elc
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To: longtermmemmory
Rasmussen has said on sunday the race is Obamas and nothing mccain can do will change that.

Yeah well maybe something Obama did can change it. He attended a "jew bash" with Yassar Arafats flunky, Bill Ayers and Bernadine Dohrn among many other left wing loons. If McCain hits that hard that might be the final push he needs to win on Tuesday.

16 posted on 10/29/2008 6:53:59 AM PDT by jwalsh07 (It's the Marxism Stupid!)
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To: avacado

NOBAMA’s losing people and McCain’s gaining them. If you start losing people this late stage - you ain’t gonna get them back.

Things are going the way I was hoping for in the last 6 days of the campaign.


17 posted on 10/29/2008 6:54:08 AM PDT by LibFreeUSA
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To: ilgipper
McCain is definitely picking up the undecideds in a big way,

I agree, but he is also picking up Democrat voters and Indys. When McCain wins the media will be stunned beyond belief.

18 posted on 10/29/2008 6:54:19 AM PDT by 1Old Pro (Obamarx wants Redistributive Reparations)
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To: puroresu

I saw an analysis on another site said Rass must have shifted his party ID. Looks like its only +3.50 Dems or so for Dems for yesterday. Thats the only way the numbers worked out when they looked at internals. Mr Rasmussen needs to explain what he is up to.


19 posted on 10/29/2008 6:54:50 AM PDT by Hones (Ok I admit it -I love Sarah Palin)
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To: Hones

Keep an eye on ACORN in OH, PA, VA....Obama knows those states are HIS achilles heel.


20 posted on 10/29/2008 6:57:06 AM PDT by Blue Turtle (I)
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