Posted on 11/21/2008 8:04:49 PM PST by Perdogg
1934 FDR's first term
Senate: +9 Dems House: +9 Dems
1950 Truman's first elected term
Senate: +5 GOP House: +20 GOP
1954 Ike's first term
Senate: +2 Dems House: +19 Dems/ -18 GOP
1962 JFK's first term
Senate: +2 Dems House: +2 GOP / -4 Dems
1966 LBJ's first elected term
Senate: +3 GOP House: -45 Dems/ +47 GOP
1970 Nixon's first term
Senate: +3 GOP House: +12 GOP
1978 Carter's first and only term
Senate: +3 GOP House: +15 GOP
1982 Reagans's first term
Senate: +1 Dem / 0 GOP House: +27 Dems/ -26 GOP
1990 Bush's first and only term
Senate: +1 Dem (Paul Wellstone) House: +7 Dems/ -8 GOP
1994 Clinton's first term
Senate: +8 GOP House: +54 GOP
2002 Bush's first term
Senate: +2 GOP House: +8 GOP/ -7 dem
Average net for party in power
Senate: -1 House: -14
ping
Democrats will soon probably have a trifecta.
Then anything goes
‘08 was the last chance to turn things around, IMHO. Both conservatism and capitalism will be dead soon enough, but I seriously want to be proven wrong about this.
How can anybody be so sure that the left will even have elections in ‘10 and/or beyond? The left hates this country, and the left also hates the U.S. Constitution! The left will really do all that they can do to keep the left in power forever, even if it’s unlawful and unconstitutional!
In a normal world we might have a chance, but its not a normal world anymore. The left has infiltrated every nook and cranny of western civilization and slowly over time has diseased it beyond anyone’s control or influence.
I’m afraid you’re witnessing Rome burning and there’s not much you or I can do about it.
Yet
There will come a time ‘when all good men must come to the aid of their country.’ If not, then we are all doomed.
I’m concerned too…
So we plan to pick up +5 GOP Senate and 25+ GOP House!
The thing that needs to be addressed is the demographic shift and the conrinuing decline of the white vote.
If you plug McCain’s #s into any election from the beginning of the country through 1992, he gets over 50% and wins comfortably.
Even in the 96 and 00 elections, McCain ends up with around 48% and Obama gets right around 50%. Amazingly, McCain does about the same as Bush did in 2000 if we had the same demographics.
The huge difference is the white vote shrank from 81% in 2000 to 74% this year, it’s lowest total in history. The black vote jumped from 10 to 13 and the hispanic vote humped from 7 to 9, their highest totals. As recently as 92 the white vote was 87%, and the hispanic vote was 2%.
It’s only going to get worse. 2012 will likely be the last election in US history where the white vote is more than 70% of the total.
That is not a good trend. Basically it means we either have to overwhelmingly dominate the white vote to a level unseen since the Reagan years of 65%+(and even that barely gets us to 50%) or we figure out a way to lock in over to 40% of the hispanic vote, or it’s going to be near impossible to top 48% or so in national elections.
With the white vote shrinking every year, the votes just aren’t there like they used to be. The days when we faced an electorate that was 85-90% white like we did in the Nixon/Reagan/Bush glory days of 68-88 and won 5 out of 6 elections are long gone.
An election with a 70% white electorate and 25% minority one is a whole new ballgame from one thats 85% white and 10% minority
very thought provoking
You just nailed the whole problem, Bro!
The eventual replacement of thw White Electorate by “Minorities” was the whole point of Kennedy’s “Immigration Reform” Act of 1965. This sorry, rotten SOB is responsible for the destruction of this once great Country.
I believe that our only hope for long term survival is some type of partition of the Country. (Just as the Whites are becoming “Deracinated”, the Minority populations are becomining extremely Racially agressive.)
Race based quotas have worked so well in Affirmative Action, we should try them for immigration. After all, people in Europe are known for being the greatest capitalists in the world! /sarc
The LAST thing you want in this country is either an European style conservative or a European style liberal. Pretty much, think the difference between Mike Huckabee or Lyndon LaDouche and Zero.
The European style conservative is a socially conservative, gun grabbing, rights trampling socialist, and the European style liberal is a socially liberal, gun grabbing, rights trampling socialist. Want to make sure that absolutely no liberties are left in this country? Get a European style conservative in this country. Not only would you not be able to drink a beer or look at pr0n, but you’d pay out of your nose for “the poor”.
What we really need to do to win the minority vote isn’t to cater to them with token minorities (Bye bye, Mikey Steele), but to hammer to the minorities that the Democratic party really has no solutions other than to steal from the rich and demonize their opposition.
Coincidentally, the best person to hammer this message in 4 years is also a minority and is a first generation American from one of those “undesirable countries”. It’s Bobby Jindal.
Unfortunatly, with the attitude of most “Minorities” today Race Trumps Ideology by a long shot. And btw, Jindal is not a member of a “preferred” Minority.
If something isn’t done soon, the GOP and the Conservative movement are done for as a national force. For example, I live in Texas whose Whites are some of the most Conservative in the Country. They voted anywhere from 60-65 % (or more) in the Urban areas and 80-90% in the Rural and Exurban areas against Obama yet McCain only carried 54-55% of the vote. This because we are drowning in a Hispanic sea, much of which is illegal. And yes, many of them have figured out how to vote. Not to mention every Black who could physically be dragged to the Polls voted.
This tells me that Texas has maybe one more Presidential election cycle to be reliably Republican.
When even Texas goes over to the Dark Side, The GOP can forget winning any more National Elections. Comprende?
Honestly I think we could be in good shape. It depends on public opinion of the congress and the Democratic party in general but we have some opportunities.
Nevada, Colorado, North Dakota, Connecticut, Hawaii, Arkansas, Wisconsin all have senators with incumbents at or around 50% approval, and with more conservative states like Arkansas and North Dakota, we should offer the public true conservatism.
We have several popular governors (Hoeven for example in ND,) that are term limited and are prime candidates for the Senate.
Winning a lot of governor races is a possibility too.
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