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How Microsoft Caused the DotCom Bubble and why their Skype ‘Hail Mary’ is irrelevant
The Big Picture [www.ritholtz.com] ^ | May 11th, 2011, 7:25AM | Barry Ritholtz

Posted on 05/11/2011 7:45:01 PM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion

Since the mid-nineties, I have nurtured a thesis about the dotcom bubble, tech bust, and the role Microsoft played in it. The opportunity to discuss it has never came up.

That is, until Microsoft’s purchase of Skype yesterday.

I have long argued that while Microsoft might have begun life as a software firm, it long ago morphed into something that was more a very clever IP/marketing firm with a huge tactical legal advantage that gave rise to a monopoly, rather than a true technology company.

Microsoft remains hugely profitable today, but increasingly irrelevant. Their purchase of Skype is an attempt to buy back some relevance. They are the rich, uncool fat kid at school, trying desperately to buy their way into some popularity. On a spectrum of relevance, where would you place MSFT: Are they closer to Google or Apple or Facebook or Twitter, or are they more comparable to the Maytag repairman of the tech world?

Let’s back up a bit, and look at Microsoft’s history, including the impact they had on other technology in the 1990s.

The first PC was given to the world in 1980 by IBM. The mainframe giant looked down upon the idea of a personal computer for home or even business use. The PC was insignificant, never to replace the big iron they made. In 1981, they happily outsourced the operating system to Gates’ geeks, who themselves outsourced the OS code writing. By 1982, MS-DOS was released.

Embedded within that original IBM deal was the seed of Microsoft’s vast fortunes. Microsoft’s true genius was in their license agreements of MS-DOS (and Windows) to computer manufacturers. They offered a variety of different licenses, but the version that charged the least per copy included a clever kicker: Microsoft had to be paid for every machine sold, regardless of whether MS-DOS was the operating system.

Of course, the PC makers gravitated to the cheapest option. Hence, that clever licensing trick led to both a monopoly in Operating Systems and an eventual FTC and Justice department Anti-Trust lawsuit.

Thus, Microsoft had their deal with the devil: Their lightning in a bottle was not some awesome technology or brilliant breakthrough – it was a legal clause that led to enormous monopoly power. That was the prime basis of their success. They pre-installed Office in Windows, creating a second near monopoly and billions more in profits. They also had all sorts of dirty tricks, like undisclosed APIs that other software developers did not know of and could not use. They bullied competitors and friends alike. But that is another discussion entirely.

...........................................

[The entire article is very well written - agree or disagree, MS-fanboy or MS-hater - especially the portions about the Cambrian explosion that occurred when the Internet was born and Microsoft's domination ended]


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: microsoft; opinion; skype
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To: Cementjungle
” MS always seems to buy these one-off things, then forgets about them and they vanish.”

No, I think they vanish because Microsoft screws them up with their control freak “we will force people to use our stuff because there will be no alternative” marketing strategy.

Microsofts thinking is not “build a better mousetrap” it's “build the ONLY mouse trap”. The problem is that this no longer works as they now have competition they can't bully out of business.

I'm not a MS basher and I do like the company but there is truth to the Microsoft does not know how to innovate theory. I used to think they lost their way when they tangled with Netscape. Now I'm starting to think they were NEVER a true innovative technology company. Just look at the way they responded to the threat of Netscape competition and you quickly realize they were not interested in making a BETTER browser, they wanted to make the ONLY browser.

21 posted on 05/11/2011 11:53:40 PM PDT by precisionshootist (Donald Trump Is a Patriot first and a businessman second.)
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To: precisionshootist

I agree. MS is good for the basic stuff like the OS, SQL server, Office, and that’s about it. Those things serve us all well. They try to branch out, but just never seem to be able to.


22 posted on 05/11/2011 11:57:29 PM PDT by Cementjungle
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To: Cementjungle

“I agree. MS is good for the basic stuff like the OS, SQL server, Office, and that’s about it. Those things serve us all well. They try to branch out, but just never seem to be able to.”

The good news is MS does have lots of cash and resources to ultimately change their corporate culture and get back on the right track. The sooner the better. Hopefully Apple will bring out the best in Microsoft and vice versa.


23 posted on 05/12/2011 6:39:55 AM PDT by precisionshootist (Donald Trump Is a Patriot first and a businessman second.)
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To: kingu

riiiiight

because an apple is a PC. GOTCHYA!

you betchya.

I told you to sit down.


24 posted on 05/12/2011 9:14:24 AM PDT by mamelukesabre (Si Vis Pacem Para Bellum (If you want peace prepare for war))
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To: mamelukesabre

Do have to admit, you’re terribly amusing. Of course Apple was a PC (and still is.) So was Commodore’s PETs and CBMs, along with Tandy’s TRS80s (models I to III)


25 posted on 05/12/2011 9:33:02 AM PDT by kingu (Legislators should read what they write!)
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26 posted on 05/12/2011 9:49:12 AM PDT by TheOldLady
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To: kingu

you ever heard the term “PC compatible”???

none of those you mentioned are.

sit boy, sit.


27 posted on 05/12/2011 2:09:03 PM PDT by mamelukesabre (Si Vis Pacem Para Bellum (If you want peace prepare for war))
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To: mamelukesabre
you ever heard the term “PC compatible”??? none of those you mentioned are.

Sure, let's see you run Lotus 1-2-3 on your system. You'll need a 5 1/4" drive, a DOS version of 3.1 or prior (PCDOS, MSDOS, or DRDOS will work), and at least 64kb of ram. Guess what? Nothing's been 'PC Compatible' for a good decade, we do Windows now. Do I get a treat now?

28 posted on 05/12/2011 3:17:08 PM PDT by kingu (Legislators should read what they write!)
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To: kingu

your honor, may I submit one television commercial, written and paid for by apple computers...

“hi, I’m a PC. hi, I’m a mac...”

I rest my case.

do you get a treat??? um, no, you get a rolled up newspaper.


29 posted on 05/12/2011 3:49:16 PM PDT by mamelukesabre (Si Vis Pacem Para Bellum (If you want peace prepare for war))
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To: Dogbert41

Under 55 and no XBox. FWIW


30 posted on 05/12/2011 6:48:06 PM PDT by AFreeBird
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