In 1852 the Whigs nominated an old war horse who lost to a political newcomer. A new party was in power 8 years later.
In 2008 the Republicans nominated an old war horse who lost to a political newcomer. Will we have a new party in 2016?
It's possible. The GOP nominated Gen. Fremont in 1856, and neither he nor the party were ready for prime time. The Tea Party isn't quite ready now, most of its stars are still too inexperienced (hence the need to fall back to Newt, as the surviving standard-bearer).
Four years could make a big difference. Palin, Pence, Ryan et al. will be in a great position by then to flush out whichever half of Rombama is in the WH. And by then, most citizens will be so fed up with neosocialism, foreign policy capitulation, and judicial tyranny that the Jackass Party should break apart, too.
Perfect case, the new Republican party in 1860 is already beginning to fracture.
You cannot change human nature.
Thanks aomagrat, nice one, here’s the wiki-wacky-pedia summaries:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1852_Whig_National_Convention
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1852_Democratic_National_Convention
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1852