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Pirates not to blame for Big Media's sales plunge
The Register ^ | 16 April 2012 | Trevor Pott

Posted on 04/16/2012 10:43:54 AM PDT by ShadowAce

The RIAA and MPAA would have you believe that piracy is responsible for their decline in sales. This is all of course blame to be laid at the feet of computers, the internet and the generic "digital boogyman." Even without getting deep into the flawed math in play, there are other reasons for the middling returns on investment Big Content is seeing.

Cord-cutting is a big factor. Personal taste naturally varies, but in my view the advance of technology democratised content creation and enabled a generation of talented creators to capitalise on a resistance to innovation by established media. Reality TV was what did it for me; channel after channel of absolute crap got me to cut the cord in 2003.

With Game of Thrones as the only notable modern exception, my "mainstream" media consumption has evaporated over the past decade. Niche content like A Dog's Breakfast, Assassidate and the show roster of Geek & Sundry has taken its place.

I've paid for content I like, consumed some of it "free" (advertising on the website) and even put up money to help crowdsource the creation of content I love such as Sex after Kids. Trying to arrange my schedule around the TV or pick between various unpalatable options at the movie theatre is no longer a consideration.

Video games too are responsible for eating into time that once would have belonged to Hollywood. Skyrim is a temporal black hole; Civilization is always just one more turn; and don't even get me started on the overwhelming pervasiveness of Minecraft.

The Red camera bears more blame for my cord-cutting than piracy ever will. The internet gives indie artists the ability to distribute their works without having to fight the media giants for shelf space at the local box store, but there were ways around that even before YouTube.

What's new to the equation (and what altered the fundamental market dynamics) are cheap but "good enough" technologies spanning from Red cameras through powerful PCs and dead-simple suites of editing software. What used to require the might of Big Content now requires a nerd with a MacBook.

In fixating unrelentingly on the internet as the scapegoat, the media giants lost touch with reality. They began to view their own customers as the enemy and spent billions of dollars trying to cripple the wrong target. They alienated not only their own customer base, but a significant chunk of the very artists who they rely upon to package and resell as their "product."

When I look at the IT industry, I see it happening all over again.

Within IT, Oracle is a famous example of a tech empire caught in the same logic loop. The Oracle database is a critical piece of technology, and the vendor lock-in is strong. But Oracle is bleeding customers. Some are fleeing to Microsoft, some to DB2, others to HANA, the free databases and so forth. Oracle have tried to consolidate power by buying competitors like MySQL and companies with whom they saw synergies (Sun.) The Oracle tendency to view it's own customers as the enemy has led to a corporate attitude which threatens to drive away most of the customer base they've purchased to alternatives.

Oracle has fixated on SAP, HP and other competitors, blaming them each in turn when it comes time to explain corporate performance to Wall Street. The problem is always "someone else's fault," and the critical eye never turns inwards.

AOL, Yahoo, RIM, Nokia…even the venerable HP have fallen into the trap of corporate hubris. Each of these companies flushed their research and development departments down the toilet in exchange for short-term quarterly gains and today teeter on the brink of their own protracted death spirals.

Long-term planning – such as investing in research and development – seems to be ever more unpopular among today's tech titans, but while more cutbacks and some reorganisation will make the board feel better, these companies are all probably doomed. At best, they will continue on as a shell of their former selves, Novelling their way through the decades until – like Commodore or Atari – only the name remains.

Microsoft is not immune. Apple dominates PC growth, its market share continues to rise. Microsoft's Windows 8 is something of a Hail Mary; the change perhaps a little too radical for some. Some elements of the strategy may already have failed.

Even Cisco is not immune; upstart Arista has Cisco in its sights, and from all accounts is getting both the tech and the customer side of the relationship right.

The two threads I spot weaving all these corporate wobbles together are a fixation on external influences and a turning a deaf ear to customers. Whether the external fixation is a blatant attempt to copy a successful competitor, blame and finger-pointing, desperate anticompetitive (usually patent) corporate warfare or bitter ego-driven executive catfights, the body corporate loses focus on the simple creation and delivery of excellent products.

Everything is a gimmick. Bugs can be fixed in post-RTM patch, or addressed with DLC ... assuming your carrier or reseller makes them available to you, that is. Vapourware announcements, regional segregation, price-gouging, scapegoating and blame-the-victim are the new normal.

Big Tech needs a Red camera moment. Maybe "the new open" projects like Openstack or the Raspberry Pi are the beginning of a successful "indie tech" movement. Maybe not; market changes like that take decades, and it is far too early to call it. But Big Tech is starting to look and feel to me a lot like Big Content did right before I realised I could cheerfully live without it. If Big Tech wants to hang on to the glory days of the mass market, they could do with a reminder: we are their paying customers; their source of revenue. We are not the enemy. Treat us fairly, listen to our input, provide us products we want to buy and we'll all benefit. Otherwise, slowly but surely, we will seek alternatives.

Even if we have to create those alternatives ourselves. ®


TOPICS: Computers/Internet
KEYWORDS: mpaa; riaa

1 posted on 04/16/2012 10:44:05 AM PDT by ShadowAce
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To: rdb3; Calvinist_Dark_Lord; Salo; JosephW; Only1choice____Freedom; amigatec; stylin_geek; ...

2 posted on 04/16/2012 10:45:13 AM PDT by ShadowAce (Linux -- The Ultimate Windows Service Pack)
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Comment #3 Removed by Moderator

To: ShadowAce

For music, Amazon did it for me. When I started buying the 1 song I wanted for 99 cents only instead of the whole CD, then I no longer bought CDs.

I like this one:

‘This is all of course blame to be laid at the feet of computers’

Computers have feet? Who knew?


4 posted on 04/16/2012 10:56:11 AM PDT by AlmaKing
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To: AlmaKing

Well, my laptop has little rubber feet. :)


5 posted on 04/16/2012 10:58:15 AM PDT by ShadowAce (Linux -- The Ultimate Windows Service Pack)
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To: ShadowAce

It all comes down to the ‘Elites’, in this case the record companies, trying to keep their former total control over content and sales of music and movies. It’s the same with the news media and political ‘elites’. Each see their domination of the content, IE: ‘message’ being diluted and/or being ignored by the new information technologies that are coming of age.

What will be interesting, (from an historical point of view), is how far they will go to keep their domination and whether or not the consumers of that content will let them continue to do so.


6 posted on 04/16/2012 11:06:02 AM PDT by The Working Man
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To: AlmaKing
Computers with feet go back at least to the Banana Jr.


7 posted on 04/16/2012 11:29:23 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics.)
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To: ShadowAce
Big media continues to operate under what I call "The Obama Principle" which blames all its major problems on everyone else but never looks inward where the real rot is located.
8 posted on 04/16/2012 11:29:57 AM PDT by Larry381 ("Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.")
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To: ShadowAce

As far as the RIAA goes, its biggest mistake was to get too greedy with MTV. MTV had been the best advertising medium for new music ever created, but it deeply upset the RIAA because somebody other than them was making some money, and the RIAA wanted ALL the money, from everything.

So out of the blue they started to demand huge royalties from MTV, for *advertising* their music, free of charge. How stupid can you get?

It is as if Apple computer got free advertising time during the Superbowl, then demanded huge royalties from the NFL because the NFL made money “off of” Apple’s advertisement.

In any event, MTV had no choice but to say, “To Hell with you!”, and started running its own cheap production crap reality shows for morons.

Shortly thereafter, the RIAA’s profit line took a nosedive, and in an amazing example of short-sightedness, they decided to blame music piracy on the Internet. Probably their second best advertising medium after MTV.

That is, on the Internet, “pirate” listeners suddenly discovered dozens of artists they had never heard before, because they aren’t played on top 40 radio, and bought their CDs, thus making huge sums of money for the RIAA.

To quote some dialogue from Plan 9 From Outer space: “You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!”


9 posted on 04/16/2012 11:39:26 AM PDT by yefragetuwrabrumuy ("It is already like a government job," he said, "but with goats." -- Iranian goat smuggler)
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To: yefragetuwrabrumuy
To quote some dialogue from Plan 9 From Outer space: “You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!”

A great quotation from a great performance by the inimitable Dudley Manlove. Manlove and Criswell in the same movie ... it doesn't get any better.
10 posted on 04/16/2012 11:51:37 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics.)
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To: ShadowAce

Most people simply don’t have the money for entertainment and shouldn’t be indulging in it. The economy is going to get far worse very soon, too.


11 posted on 04/16/2012 12:42:04 PM PDT by familyop (We Baby Boomers are croaking in an avalanche of rotten politics smelled around the planet.)
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To: ShadowAce

sorry, even if i were the ‘digital boogeyman’ and could download movies for free...

the VAST majority of progressive propaganda crap hollywood is cranking out isn’t worth the bandwidth to download it or the diskspace to store it.

i even dropped my cable tv 6 months ago, mainly because i realized i hadn’t turned it on in months. these days, i spend my free time reading, coding, gaming, or writing code for games (and of course, freep’ing ;)


12 posted on 04/16/2012 12:48:53 PM PDT by sten (fighting tyranny never goes out of style)
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To: ShadowAce

13 posted on 04/16/2012 1:08:56 PM PDT by Zionist Conspirator (Ki-hagoy vehamamlakhah 'asher lo'-ya`avdukh yove'du; vehagoyim charov yecheravu!)
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To: ShadowAce

Pirates are no threat.....can’t hit a bull in the butt with a banjo.


14 posted on 04/16/2012 7:59:16 PM PDT by Some Fat Guy in L.A. (Hope springs eternal - maybe the Bucs will break .500 this year)
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To: ShadowAce

Pirates are no threat.....can’t hit a bull in the butt with a banjo.


15 posted on 04/16/2012 8:00:29 PM PDT by Some Fat Guy in L.A. (Hope springs eternal - maybe the Bucs will break .500 this year)
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To: ShadowAce
Regarding the author's issues with Oracle, I couldn't agree more. Oracle is in the process of pricing themselves right out of many middleware markets. At my former employer, we were in the process of working through the logistics of virtualizing a bunch of Weblogic servers. These were all older servers covered under our licensing agreements with BEA prior to Oracle purchasing them. Oracle claimed that any attempt to virtualize these servers would be treated as new licenses which have to be purchased. This turned what was initially projected to be something that would save us a little money (because these servers were already loaded up, and we wouldn't see that much consolidation with VMware), into a huge multi-million dollar expense. Needless to say, the entire discussion was put on hold. Not only was Oracle going to be trying to charge us for new licenses, but they claimed that every CPU of an entire ESX server/cluster had to have a license rather than just the CPUs we were allocating to the Weblogic clusters.

The new discussion quickly became, "what applications will run on Tomcat or JBoss?" Our shop didn't have any expertise in Websphere at the time, so that wasn't really a migration option. How could that possibly be good for Oracle? Oracle didn't seem to give a rat's ass one way or another. They've been the 800lb gorilla in database space so long they aren't used to having customers with real choices and options.

I really hate dealing with Oracle. From what I've seen my feelings are widely shared.

16 posted on 04/17/2012 6:55:15 AM PDT by zeugma (Those of us who work for a living are outnumbered by those who vote for a living.)
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To: ShadowAce
Reality TV was what did it for me; channel after channel of absolute crap got me to cut the cord in 2003.

I N D E E D!



Where there's a shell, there's a way.

25 years ago, we had Ronald Reagan, Johnny Cash, and Bob Hope.
Today we have Obama, no cash, and no hope!

If you can't appreciate the pure beauty of the violin after hearing this, something's wrong with your ears.

Or you can get raw with these strings.

How about this gamechanger from America's Got Talent (which they SHOULD have won).

And finally, this, dedicated to the one and only rdb2, whose eyes are growing dim.

Either way, the violin is sweet yet LETHAL.

Do it!

17 posted on 04/18/2012 12:32:37 PM PDT by rdb3 (If you were tried in court for being a Christian, is there enough evidence to convict you?)
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