Posted on 08/27/2012 7:15:59 PM PDT by Signalman
With all the conflicting polls and survey samples using registered as opposed to likely voters, I decided to conduct my own poll using the same methodologies I used so successfully for Clinton.
On Thursday, August 23rd, I conducted a national survey of 500 likely voters through live telephone interviews. The poll finds Romney ahead of Obama by 50-43! far, far different from the published polls.
(The sample was 33% Democrat, 31% Republican, 11% black, and 8% Latino).
Apart from the head-to-head vote question, my survey tracks with the others on most of its internals.
Obamas personal favorability is 47-50 while Romneys is 48-48. The presidents job approval is at 46%.
Asked who would do the best job of:
Improving the economy = O-39 / R-49
Creating jobs = O-38 / R-50
Strengthening Medicare = O-44 / R-42
While the Medicare issue is important, it is not the major factor. Asked which is more important, protecting and strengthening Medicare or improving the economy and creating jobs? The economy wins by 67-18.
Comparing Medicare plans without explaining them, voters break even with 41% favoring Obamas and 42% backing Romneys. Asked which scares them the most, Obamas scared 46% and Romneys scared 44%.
But Vice Presidential candidate Paul Ryan has scored a bulls eye by his comparison of the two Medicare plans and the following answers indicate:
Whose plan do you agree with more? Obama who would save $716 in Medicare spending and use the money to cover the uninsured or Romney who would make the same savings but use the funds to extend the life of the Medicare trust fund?
Obamas 38% / Romneys 53%
And the President continues to draw big negatives over his plans to intervene in medical decision making:
President Obamas health care law sets up a Board to issue guidelines and instructions to doctors and hospitals on what procedures, medications, or treatment to use for each illness. Do you agree or disagree with this aspect of Obamas legislation?
Agree: 33% / Disagree: 61%
After argumentation, disagreement with Obamas Medicare cuts becomes even sharper:
Supporters of this provision say that it will allow us to save funds in Medicare without cutting care. They say that the Board can stop unnecessary tests or overly costly treatments that do not help the patients. But opponents say that it will lead to rationing of Medicare treatment. They say that the Board would ban the most effective medicines to treat cancer, for example, because they are too expensive and might stop old people from getting hip replacements or heart bypasses. In view of these arguments, do you agree or disagree with this aspect of Obamas legislation?
Agree: 30% / Disagree: 57%
Voters agree by 56-20 that Romney and Ryan would not change Medicare for current beneficiaries or for people who are now over 55. And, by 25-60, they reject the statement that Romney and Ryan would end Medicare and leave the elderly without a good alternative.
By 48-33, voters agree that President Obama has not proposed any real long term fix for Medicare although by 63-18 they agree that In a few years, Medicare will exhaust its trust fund and will go bankrupt unless we enact changes and reforms.
But Romney still has some selling to do. Only 38% agreed and 31% disagreed that Romney will always allow elderly to stay in traditional Medicare. He will just offer a voucher system that will have more attractive alternatives.
In evaluating the health care and Medicare issue, voters feel that high medical malpractice costs play a key role in driving up costs. By 63-20, they agree that the abuse of medical malpractice law suits is a big reason medical costs are so high. By 57-37, they support Romneys proposals to curb medical malpractice litigation agreeing that it will save billions and extend the life of Medicare.
Tomorrow, Ill discuss the surveys findings on the economy, Obamas possible second term plans, Bain Capital, Romneys taxes, the negative campaigning on both sides.
I don't want to whip out the Hillary vs. Lazio quotes.
The man has a track record worse than a meteorologist.
He may be starting that breakdown now because you know the dems probably take polls for themselves and don't believe the junk the media throws out there.
Amen!
I think McCain would have won if the economy hadn’t crashed in what one would say was one hell of an October Surprise.
When I heard, 16 years ago, that Morris liked to have his toes sucked, I thought it was quite adventurous. So, that night, I got out the jar of strawberry jam and had my wife suck the jam off my toes. I, of course, spread jam on her toes to return the favor. So, I have nothing against toe sucking. I do have something against adulterers and those who pay for prostitutes; even if they are paying just to have toes sucked. I hope Dick Morris has repented of his whoring days.
I had to share that with you because life has so many simple pleasures in the bonds of marriage.
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