[LS]

Based on what we're seeing with absentee ballots in OH, I just don't see how any of these polls are legit. So far, we are seeing substantial GOP leads in reddish counties; some GOP lead in some heavily Dem counties; and about the predicted split in Cayahoga County---except that if the indies go for Romney, then OH goes red.

If that's the case here, I think most of these other polls are bogus.

[KC_Conspirator]

Romney needs to do well in suburbs and exurbs.

[Adriatic Cons]

Sure hope so... I made the mistake of checking the latest polls at RCP... This was the only (R) poll

The rest look ugly, mostly from the usual liberal slime... but also, Ras has Obama in a blowout in Michigan (O+12, same as PA)...

Others, down in Colorado (PPP- O+6), Nevada (ARG- O+7), Iowa (ARG- O+7), Florida (ARG- O+5), Wisconsin (WeAskAm- O+12)... and it continues.

[ubaldus]

LS, I remember 4 years ago you were calling Ohio for McCain, quoting early voting data etc. As we know, Ohio went for O by almost 5%.

I see that that experience did not influence your perception of reality. Romney is down in OH by 5%, down in VA by 4%, down in FL and probably down in NC (last 3 polls there all show him down, and none of them are from Dem pollsters).

[patriotspride]

Based on what we’re seeing with absentee ballots in OH, I just don’t see how any of these polls are legit. So far, we are seeing substantial GOP leads in reddish counties; some GOP lead in some heavily Dem counties; and about the predicted split in Cayahoga County-—except that if the indies go for Romney, then OH goes red.

---

Good news. How do you know what actual vote counts are ?

Thanks for a response.

[MitchellC]

So how long have the absentee ballot requests been under way in OH? Id there a website that tracks all of this info by county, etc.? (Civitas is doing it for NC here)