Posted on 11/02/2012 10:25:10 AM PDT by rashley
Romney has a 6.55 percent lead in the new QstarNews presidential poll released today.
While the latest Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows Mitt Romney leading President Obama at 49 percent to 47 percent while the QStarNews Daily Tracking poll released today shows a Romney lead of 52 percent to 46 percent. The latest Gallup tracking poll of likely voters released today shows Romney leading 51 percent to 46 percent over the president. Mitt Romney's surge in the polls is even reflected in his slim lead today in the Real Clear Politics average of major polls.
The new QStarNews Poll of Politics and Currents Events released today shows Romney at 52.19 percent and Obama at 45.64 percent. The survey, conducted via web-saved surveying by The Q Star Group included 2708 likely voters polled between October 25 - October 28 and it has a margin of error of 1.88 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at examiner.com ...
While love the results of this poll, who is Qstar News?
While love the results of this poll, who is Qstar News?
From their website...
“The QStarNews Poll is all about getting it right and putting out accurate numbers on where the political races and other questions of public opinion really stand as of now. Our goal is to NOT be skewed or confirm pre-conceived results. This election season has seen so many polls heavily skewed and poorly weighted, that show skewed and inaccurate results. The purpose of this poll is to present the most accurate results possible based on the latest of what is known about the electorate and voter behavior and other statistical information available.”
Several of the polls commissioned by mainstream media outlets have been skewed by over-sampling Democrats to skew the results in favor of Barack Obama. Last month, the last CNN/ORC poll was similarly skewed. In August of this year on the Fox News segment “Campaign Insiders” today, Democratic pollsters Pat Caddell and Doug Schoen both confirmed their belief that major polls are skewed in favor of the Democrats by over-sampling of Democratic voters when the surveys are conducted.”
But, but, but, Real Clear Politics has Obama in the lead. This must be Extremist Right propaganda.
Do we have the DEM/REP/IND breakdown for this poll?
"Copyright © 2012 UnskewedPolls.com -- a QStarNews website -- The QStarGroup "
Yes, but Unskewed Polls looks at other major polls and “unskews them...
Friday, November 02, 2012 6:38:58 PM
Poll Date Sample MoE Skew ind. voters Obama(D) Romney(R) Spread
UnSkewed Avg. 10/22 - 10/30 — — +3.4 D +8.8 R 45.7 50.4 Romney +4.7
CBS News/NY Times 10/25 - 10/28 563 4.0 +5 D +12 R 47.0 49.0 Romney +2
NPR 10/22 - 10/29 1000 LV 3.1 +6 D +12 R 45.0 50.0 Romney +5
QStarNews 10/25 - 10/28 2708 1.88 +0 D +12 R 46.0 52.0 Romney +6
Pew Research 10/24 - 10/28 1495 2.9 +1 D +8 R 47.0 48.0 Romney +1
ABC News/Wash. Post 10/26 - 10/29 1259 LV 3.5 +7 D +8 R 46.0 52.0 Romney +6
Politico/GWU/Battleground 10/22 - 10/25 1000 LV 3.1 +2 D +13 R 48.0 50.0 Romney +2
IBD/TIPP 10/22 - 10/27 930 LV 3.5 +7 D +6 R 43.0 50.0 Romney +7
Rasmussen 10/28 - 10/30 1500 LV 3.0 +3 D +13 R est 45.0 52.0 Romney +7
Gallup 10/22 - 10/28 2700 LV 2.0 +1 D +2 O 46.0 52.0 Romney +6
Sample: number of voters surveyed LV = likely voters RV = registered voters MoE = margin of error in survey Skew = percent of Democrats over-sampled or percent of independents under sampled Ind. Voters = margin of lead among independent voters in survey spread = percent candidate leads
Why Rasmussen is tightening:
IF IT ISN’T 48% - 48% on election day, then the Democrat laxy voter will not show up at the polls. You have to make their vote feel important (because being a Dem is all about feeling). If the polls are 52% - 47% on election day, an extra 5% of Dems stay home.
Yes, but Unskewed Polls looks at other major polls and “unskews” them... If this looks like garbage, my apologies.
Friday, November 02, 2012 6:38:58 PM
Poll Date Sample MoE Skew ind. voters Obama(D) Romney(R) Spread
UnSkewed Avg. 10/22 - 10/30 — — +3.4 D +8.8 R 45.7 50.4 Romney +4.7
CBS News/NY Times 10/25 - 10/28 563 4.0 +5 D +12 R 47.0 49.0 Romney +2
NPR 10/22 - 10/29 1000 LV 3.1 +6 D +12 R 45.0 50.0 Romney +5
QStarNews 10/25 - 10/28 2708 1.88 +0 D +12 R 46.0 52.0 Romney +6
Pew Research 10/24 - 10/28 1495 2.9 +1 D +8 R 47.0 48.0 Romney +1
ABC News/Wash. Post 10/26 - 10/29 1259 LV 3.5 +7 D +8 R 46.0 52.0 Romney +6
Politico/GWU/Battleground 10/22 - 10/25 1000 LV 3.1 +2 D +13 R 48.0 50.0 Romney +2
IBD/TIPP 10/22 - 10/27 930 LV 3.5 +7 D +6 R 43.0 50.0 Romney +7
Rasmussen 10/28 - 10/30 1500 LV 3.0 +3 D +13 R est 45.0 52.0 Romney +7
Gallup 10/22 - 10/28 2700 LV 2.0 +1 D +2 O 46.0 52.0 Romney +6
Sample: number of voters surveyed LV = likely voters RV = registered voters MoE = margin of error in survey Skew = percent of Democrats over-sampled or percent of independents under sampled Ind. Voters = margin of lead among independent voters in survey spread = percent candidate leads
Love the comment. What you call the wet blanket Freepers, i call the fly swatter brigade.
In case you picked up from my comment that it was against QStar or a negative nelly post- not at all. Just information, what you posted was more complete.
I'm amongst those who believe, because of fake and skewed polls and distortions in the collective narrative out there that Romney gets 338 (PA, MI and 1 from Maine.)
Down from 11.
FReeyores are deeply troubled.
Pray for America
“11” would be a dream come true, but I’ll take 6.5 or any other number that gives Romney 270 EV’s.
“Love the comment. What you call the wet blanket Freepers, i call the fly swatter brigade.”
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LOL! I like it! ;-)
Well, this certainly makes my day! Thanks for posting.
To give some encouragement, the WashingtonPost/ABC skewed poll even now has Romney beating Obama. Just so I don’t get called a wet blanket.
But the point of noting that the QStar poll had shown Romney down to 6 from 11 was that QStar was (1) an outlier, and (2) showing strong momentum from Obama. We can’t cherrypick only the good news and retain credibility. QStar has no credibility.
Ditto.
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