NFL Tiebreaker Status (update after week 15, vanity)

Hous has head-to-head over DEN, giving them stronghold on #1 seed and bye NE has head-to-head OVER HOUS and DEN

MI has tiebreaker over CIN/PT, still kickin' with an 8-8 finish. Their 6-6 conf record will give them tiebreaker. NYJ has tiebreaker over CIN, IND, but not PT. They have a shot at 9-7, but eliminated at 8-8.

cin/pt uncommon games is 1=1, so common games will be tied. Winner of head-to-head in week 16 clinches tiebreaker.

BALT-CINN-PITT all went 1-1 in uncommon, so common amoungst the 3 is clinched to be a tie and therefore no longer a factor in any divisional tiebreaker.

BALT is playing for seeding in the wildcard round. They have clinched tiebreaker over CINN (div record) and clinched tiebreaker over PITT (conf record)

therefore, the IND tiebreaker goes to SOV (strength of victory) with both teams. [note, the NYJ at 9-7 would be 7-5 conf and therefore sweep in, in a 3-way tie, or head to head vs. INDY)

INDY could be out of playoffs at 9-7. Of course, they play @ KC next week. And they have a slight lead over CIN in SOV. (Jets are "on the march", too. Sort of.)

Giants are in bad shape within the division, but have tiebreakers vs MN and CHI (conf record)

if DAL beats WASH final week, creating a tie and a tie DIV record ... DAL vs WASH common games:

DAL uncommon is 0-2 (SEA CHI) WASH uncommon is 1-1 (STL MINN) therefore DAL has clinched common over WASH

NYG is 2-0 uncommon, so DAL & WASH have common games over NYG NYG have no tiebreakers vs either DAL or WASH, they are in deep dire straits.

MN has clinched common games over CHI. Therefore has clinched tiebreaker over CHI. CHI cannot have better DIV rec if the 2 teams tie.

NYG & WASH tiebreakers over the other 3 wildcarders {MN CHI SEA) in CONF record here is NFC head-to-head:

if MN vs DAL strength of victory ends in a tie, then next tiebreaker is strength of schedule. Since victories are tie, strength of schedule is strength of defeat.

dAL currently leads by 1 game, 63 to 62
7 defeats for each team.
DALLAS 7 LOSSES
9/16 Seattle Seahawks at Seattle (0-1) L 7 - 27 9
Mon 10/1 Chicago Bears Chicago (2-1) L 18 - 34 8
Sun 10/14 Baltimore Ravens at Baltimore (4-1) L 29 - 31 9
Sun 10/28 New York Giants NY Giants (5-2) L 24 - 29 8
Sun 11/4 Atlanta Falcons at Atlanta (7-0) L 13 - 19 13
Thu 11/22 Washington Redskins Washington (4-6) L 31 - 38 9
Sun 12/23 New Orleans Saints New Orleans (6-8) 7
TOTAL 63

MINN 7 LOSSES
Indianapolis Colts at Indianapolis (0-1) L 20 - 23 10
Sun 10/14 Washington Redskins at Washington (2-3) L 26 - 38 9
Thu 10/25 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay (2-4) L 17 - 36 6
Sun 11/4 Seattle Seahawks at Seattle (4-4) L 20 - 30 9
Sun 11/25 Chicago Bears at Chicago (7-3) L 10 - 28 8
Sun 12/2 Green Bay Packers at Green Bay (7-4) L 14 - 23 10
Sun 12/30 Green Bay Packers Green Bay 1:00 pm 10
TOTAL 62

eliminate the common defeats, because they cancel each other out. This assumes NYG at 10-6 and GB beats MN.

DALLAS LOSSES

Sun 10/14 Baltimore Ravens L 29 - 31 9 (1 remaining only, plays vs NYG)
Sun 10/28 New York Giants NY Giants (5-2) L 24 - 29 8 10
Sun 11/4 Atlanta Falcons at Atlanta (7-0) L 13 - 19 13 (1)
Sun 12/23 New Orleans Saints New Orleans (6-8) 7 (1)
TOTAL 37 current

MINN LOSSES
Indianapolis Colts at Indianapolis (0-1) L 20 - 23 10 (1)
Thu 10/25 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay (2-4) L 17 - 36 6 (1)
Sun 12/2 Green Bay Packers at Green Bay (7-4) L 14 - 23 10 11
Sun 12/30 Green Bay Packers Green Bay 1:00 pm 10 11
TOTAL 36 current

dal min-max 39 min up to 42 max
MN min-max 38 min up to 40 max

So dAL is within 1 game of clinching a tie at worst. With 5 games next week. BA ATL NO INDY TB. ATL PLAYS TB, so that game is a double.

(OF COURSE IF NYG loses vs BALT, DAL cannot be the wildcard because at 9-7, they win division. And none of this SOV SOD matters.)

INDY HAS CLINCHED STRENGTH OF DEFEAT OVER CINCY
so for the #5 seed at 10-6, they just need a tie in strength of victory.

CIN VS IND, SOD
CINN 6 DEFEATS
9/10 Baltimore Ravens at Baltimore (0-0) L 13 - 44 10
Sun 10/7 Miami Dolphins Miami (1-3) L 13 - 17 7 (1)
Sun 10/14 Cleveland Browns at Cleveland (0-5) L 24 - 34 5 (1 VS PITT)
Sun 10/21 Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh (2-3) L 17 - 24 7
Sun 11/4 Denver Broncos Denver (4-3) L 23 - 31 12 (1)
Sun 12/9 Dallas Cowboys Dallas (6-6) L 19 - 20 8 (1)
49 MAX IS 53

INDY 6 DEFEATS
Chicago Bears at Chicago (0-0) L 21 - 41 9
Sun 9/23 Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville (0-2) L 17 - 22 2
Sun 10/14 New York Jets at NY Jets (2-3) L 9 - 35 6
Sun 11/18 New England Patriots at New England (6-3) L 24 - 59 11
Sun 12/16 Houston Texans at Houston (11-2) L 17 - 29 13
Sun 12/30 Houston Texans Houston 1:00 13
54

CINCY HAS magic number of 1 to CLINCH THE TIEBREAKER AT 10-6 VS INDY.
WOULD PUT CINCY IN #5 SEED.
NO HEAD TO HEAD
CONF REC WOULD BE TIE
COMMON WOULD BE TIE
S.O.V.:
CIN 46 wins (at 9-7)
at 10-6, they added PITT which is a 7
INDY 48 wins (at 9-7)
at 10-6 they added KC which is a 2

so CIN 53 going into today
balt sd oak wash won putting them at 57

INDY 50 going into today
mia gb mn won giving them 53

cle jax kc are common VICTORIES
bringing it to 7 UNCOMMON

indy:
mn xx plays gb
gb xx
tn
mi
buff
det
tn
can get 6 max next week which is 59

cincy:
wa
nyg xx plays phil
oak xx plays sd
sd xx
ph xx
ptt
balt loss next week
min of 2 givs them 59, almost clinched

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.