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"All Clear" Given on Potential 2040 Impact of Asteroid 2011 AG5
NASA/JPL Near-Earth Object Program Office ^ | December 21, 2012

Posted on 12/24/2012 10:43:12 AM PST by BenLurkin

NASA scientists have announced that new observations of 2011 AG5 show that this asteroid, once thought to have a worrisome potential to threaten Earth, no longer poses a significant risk of impact. The orbital uncertainties of the 140m diameter near-Earth asteroid had previously allowed a 0.2% chance of collision in Feb. 2040, leading to a call for more observations to better constrain the asteroid's future course.

... Richard Wainscoat and Marco Micheli used the Gemini 8-meter telescope at Mauna Kea, Hawaii to successfully recover and observe the small and very faint asteroid on October 20, 21 and 27, 2012. In addition to improving our knowledge of the orbit, the Gemini observations also suggest the asteroid varies in brightness as it rotates and therefore may be elongated. ...In addition to the Gemini measurements, Tholen, Micheli and Garrett Elliott obtained less conclusive observations on October 9 & 10 with the University of Hawaii 2.2-meter telescope, also situated on the summit of Mauna Kea. After extensive astrometric analysis by the team in Hawaii, all observations were then sent to the International Astronomical Union's Minor Planet Center in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

An analysis of the new data conducted by NASA's Near-Earth Object Program Office at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, shows that the risk of collision in 2040 has been eliminated. The updated trajectory of 2011 AG5 is not significantly different, but the new observations have reduced the orbit uncertainties by more than a factor of 60, meaning that the Earth's position in February 2040 no longer falls within the range of possible future paths for the asteroid. With the updated orbit, the asteroid will pass no closer than 890,000 km (over twice the distance to the moon) in Feb. 2040, the epoch of the prior potential collision.

(Excerpt) Read more at neo.jpl.nasa.gov ...


TOPICS: Astronomy; Science
KEYWORDS:
Don't know about anyone else, but FR looks to me like it is crashing.

Hope it gets well soon!

1 posted on 12/24/2012 10:43:19 AM PST by BenLurkin
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To: BenLurkin

Oh Goody goody, that means we can spend another 16 trillion.


2 posted on 12/24/2012 10:49:11 AM PST by lula ( What America needs is men of Character in congress, we have enough characters.)
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To: BenLurkin
Obama has saved us!

What time will he be speaking to the nation and taking credit for this?

3 posted on 12/24/2012 10:55:05 AM PST by ClearCase_guy (Republicans have made themselves useless, toothless, and clueless.)
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To: BenLurkin

Our govt spends vast fortunes on things that are not Constitutional.
An asteroid strike has in the past and will again devastate the planet.
Not sure if it is technically possible yet. But if so; one would think we should spend some money to somehow intercept one of these.


4 posted on 12/24/2012 11:01:07 AM PST by HereInTheHeartland (Witty saying goes here...)
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To: HereInTheHeartland

Yes. Governments and the UN should focus on those large tasks that only they can handle. Instead of fiddle-farting around with phoney human rights commissions and climate change the scientific bodies in various countries should collaborate on how to stop an asteroid or comet from destroying this miserable little planet.


5 posted on 12/24/2012 11:45:46 AM PST by plain talk
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