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To: SeekAndFind

What do the numbers in the right hand column represent? And when you say “risk of loss” is 9% somewhere, what does that mean?


2 posted on 06/30/2014 12:40:26 PM PDT by grania
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To: grania
The “risk of loss” is the percentage of those periods that created negative returns for homeowners.

From 1979 on, the "periods" are rolling five-year increments, which means 1979-1984, then 1980-1985, 1981-1986, etc.

In each of those periods, they calculated the likelihood of loss (aggregate for the area) on a house sale. So, "9% risk of loss in Raleigh" means that the average sale was at a loss in 9% of the periods.

It's just a snapshot stat. You and I might own similar houses side-by-side, but I bought mine in 1970 and you bought yours in 2012. I have a better chance of selling mine for a gain, today, than you do!

7 posted on 06/30/2014 12:47:35 PM PDT by Tax-chick (I don't feel obligated to provide you with a non-boring gun.)
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To: grania

>> What do the numbers in the right hand column represent? And when you say “risk of loss” is 9% somewhere, what does that mean?

They’re “Zillow numbers”. Zillow numbers don’t mean squat.


20 posted on 06/30/2014 1:14:21 PM PDT by Nervous Tick (Without GOD, men get what they deserve.)
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