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How Durable Is Trump's Surge?
http://www.realclearpolitics.com ^ | 8/4/2015 | John Cassidy

Posted on 08/04/2015 3:49:53 PM PDT by conservativejoy

Donald Trump holds a commanding lead in the polls, but past Republican Presidential candidates have collapsed after finding themselves in a similar position. Donald Trump holds a commanding lead in the polls, but past Republican Presidential candidates have collapsed after finding themselves in a similar position.

The Donald Trump surge continues. In the past two days, four new national polls have been released, and they have all shown the garrulous billionaire extending his lead over the other candidates in the G.O.P. primary. In some polls, Trump is getting double the support of his nearest rivals.

On Monday, a survey by the polling group at Monmouth University showed Trump gaining the support of twenty-six per cent of likely Republican voters. Jeb Bush came in second, with twelve per cent, and Scott Walker was in third place, with eleven per cent. None of the other candidates reached six per cent. Monday’s other poll, from Fox News, produced very similar numbers. It also showed Trump with twenty-six per cent of the vote; Bush had fifteen per cent, and Walker had nine per cent. The two polls released on Tuesday were in the same vein. A CBS News survey showed Trump with twenty-four per cent, Bush with thirteen per cent, and Walker with ten per cent. A Bloomberg poll showed Trump with twenty-one per cent, Bush with ten per cent, and Walker with 8 percent.

“Republican support for Donald Trump just continues to grow with no clear sense of who his constituency really is,” Patrick Murray, who directs the Monmouth University Polling Institute, said in a statement accompanying the release of the poll results. “This makes it very difficult for his opponents to figure out how to take him on in the upcoming debate.”

LINK

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Society
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1 posted on 08/04/2015 3:49:53 PM PDT by conservativejoy
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To: conservativejoy

Trump’s current constituency is “flyover country”. People that the political elites know very little of.


2 posted on 08/04/2015 3:52:36 PM PDT by Paladin2 (Ive given up on aphostrophys and spell chek on my current device...)
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To: conservativejoy

George Wills whose wife worka Dr Walker just repeatedly put Trump down on Brett Buyers special Report. FOX should be embarrassed and remove him


3 posted on 08/04/2015 3:53:40 PM PDT by hoosiermama (Obam65a: "Born in Kenya" Lying now or then or now?Shutting down and defunding is not enough. People)
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To: Paladin2

So true. It is amazing that he has the ability to connect with every day folks when he is anything but average. That is a special talent and seems to just be his real personality. I really like that about him.


4 posted on 08/04/2015 3:55:51 PM PDT by conservativejoy (We Can Elect Ted Cruz! Pray Hard, Work Hard, Trust God!)
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To: hoosiermama

I tuned out before that. He should Not be on the panel. It is a clear conflict of interest.


5 posted on 08/04/2015 3:57:24 PM PDT by conservativejoy (We Can Elect Ted Cruz! Pray Hard, Work Hard, Trust God!)
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To: conservativejoy

It just could be that he is attracted to the power. Though if put to good use, many would be happy.


6 posted on 08/04/2015 3:59:09 PM PDT by Paladin2 (Ive given up on aphostrophys and spell chek on my current device...)
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To: hoosiermama

Absolutely agree, but they would also have to remove Kraut and Steve Hayes...Yes they all 3 have shown they do not meet any fair and balanced standard .

I pretty much lately watch the panel every night, they all are insulting our intelligence, mocking us that do support Trump, as if we are somehow just idiots that dont understand.


7 posted on 08/04/2015 4:09:56 PM PDT by Chauncey Uppercrust (I COULD EASILY SAY...ALL IN FOR TRUMP)
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To: Chauncey Uppercrust

Sending messages to Fox is fairly easy they have active e mails and a message board on Facebook. I regularly express approval or disapproval


8 posted on 08/04/2015 4:13:00 PM PDT by hoosiermama (Obam65a: "Born in Kenya" Lying now or then or now?Shutting down and defunding is not enough. People)
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To: Chauncey Uppercrust

Sour kraut and Hayes are wrong every time they open their mouth.


9 posted on 08/04/2015 4:19:42 PM PDT by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance.)
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To: conservativejoy

This is a good question.
Is Trump a balloon full of hot air waiting to burst at the first encounter with a sharp object?
Or his he the eruption of a volcano about to to crush, burn, and smother his opponents?
Either way, there is a lot of hot air!


10 posted on 08/04/2015 4:35:51 PM PDT by Little Ray (How did I end up in this hand-basket, and why is it getting so hot?)
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To: conservativejoy
Trump, conceivably, could avoid these sorts of errors—although his latest statement, that he’d be willing to shut down the federal government to deprive Planned Parenthood of funding, suggests that he’ll continue to be embroiled in controversy.

PP is selling the body parts of babies, and it's Trump who is embroiled in controversy. These people are delusional.
11 posted on 08/04/2015 5:12:57 PM PDT by nhwingut (This tagline for lease)
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To: conservativejoy

I have been calling him “The Uncommon Common Man”


12 posted on 08/04/2015 6:10:13 PM PDT by Finatic (Sometimes I think it would be nice to just get it on and get it over with. Once and for all.)
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To: hoosiermama

Right on I have been doing it for years and an on record here saying that. For instance Bret Baer answers his email on occasion, I have had 3 answers from him over a number of years

His email, or one of them is special@foxnews.com

nobody else at Fox has ever responded to me, so I give Bret credit for that. I have complained about them never having a panelist that is a social Conservative /Tea Party person, I said any time they speak of Tea Party etc it`s always in the third person

He told me the panellists that are chosen are out of his control.

So yes was nice to have him reply on 3 different occasions, another time it was on how Sarah Palin was being mistreated, he did not see it that way

Another time I told him I was going to stop watching, he said he was sorry to hear that and wished me luck on finding a more fair and balanced program, I have particularly complained about Charles


13 posted on 08/05/2015 5:49:37 AM PDT by Chauncey Uppercrust (I COULD EASILY SAY...ALL IN FOR TRUMP)
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To: Chauncey Uppercrust

“they would also have to remove Kraut “

True. For years I had a bit of respect for Krauthammer. Then about a year ago Fox News did an hour-long documentary on him — his history, his life, etc.

In one interview with him he was recounting a dinner party where he was to meet Obama for the first time, I think it was just after the 2008 election. I believe he said the dinner party was at George Will’s house. He said that as he was going in to the party he wasn’t sure what kind of a president Obama was going to be — whether he’d be good or bad.

That was the precise moment I knew Krauthammer was a fool. For a year before the election, everyone here on FR knew exactly what kind of a president Obama would be. And Kraut was in a wait-and-see mode? I haven’t been able to watch the arrogant SOB since that time; he’s clueless.


14 posted on 08/05/2015 6:04:20 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam
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To: conservativejoy

1. NOBODY trusts Bush to actually do what he says. He will say whatever it takes and be a typical dc insider once elected.

2. The same applies to all the others as a general rule.

3. NONE of the other candidates can deny they are groveling for money and kow towing to their masters.


15 posted on 08/05/2015 10:03:11 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: MayflowerMadam

I hear ya, however he trashed Sarah Palin the moment McCain picked her, he just did his best to destroy her and then back handedly endorsed the pair at the very last moment.

I did not care what he said about McCain but was upset about his trashing of Palin from day 1.


16 posted on 08/05/2015 1:56:44 PM PDT by Chauncey Uppercrust (I COULD EASILY SAY...ALL IN FOR TRUMP)
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