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How to Spot a Misleading Graph
Real Clear Science ^ | 7-8-2017 | Steven Pomeroy

Posted on 07/08/2017 6:20:54 AM PDT by Sir Napsalot

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Actual credit goes to Lea Gaslowitz at TEDEd. Well worth the ~ 4 min of your time.

We used to be more skeptical of what other people were trying to peddle, now we just don't have enough time to spot the 'misleading'.

1 posted on 07/08/2017 6:20:54 AM PDT by Sir Napsalot
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To: Sir Napsalot
When I was in grad school, I read How to Lie With Statistics by Darrel Huff. It should be read by everyone who watches a TV ad or listens to ads on the radio. Something else that's interesting: Close your eyes and just listen to an ad that you are familiar with. Usually, you get a totally different picture.
2 posted on 07/08/2017 6:32:53 AM PDT by econjack
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To: Sir Napsalot

I think it is funny that early in the video, the narrator describes the use of changing values along the x or y axis to make the charted data seem more significant. The example was a graph showing the reliability of Chevy trucks seemed to show that Chevy is twice as reliable as Toyota and several times more than Nissan—but the graph really shows that they are all better than 95% reliable, and there is only a ~3% difference in reliability between the most and least reliable. But then, at the end, the narrator explains that an ocean temperature graph showing little change since 1880 is misleading because it *didn’t* change the scale to exaggerate the change.

If you want to determine how graphing techniques can be manipulated, you have to apply the same standards across the board.

You can’t have it both ways.


3 posted on 07/08/2017 6:35:55 AM PDT by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org/)
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To: Sir Napsalot

Learned all this in 4th and 5th grade, back in early ‘60s. Shame the kiddies aren’t educated as well today.


4 posted on 07/08/2017 6:35:57 AM PDT by Montana_Sam (Truth lives.)
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To: econjack
When I was in grad school, I read How to Lie With Statistics by Darrel Huff.

This book is still easy to find! Wish they'd re-write it with modern examples.
5 posted on 07/08/2017 6:39:34 AM PDT by plsvn
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To: Sir Napsalot
The natural disposition is always to believe. It is acquired wisdom and experience only that teach incredulity, and they very seldom teach it enough. The wisest and most cautious of us all frequently gives credit to stories which he himself is afterwards both ashamed and astonished that he could possibly think of believing.

The man whom we believe is necessarily, in the things concerning which we believe him, our leader and director, and we look up to him with a certain degree of esteem and respect. But as from admiring other people we come to wish to be admired ourselves; so from being led and directed by other people we learn to wish to become ourselves leaders and directors . .

The desire of being believed, the desire of persuading, of leading and directing other people, seems to be one of the strongest of all our natural desires. - Adam Smith, Theory of Moral Sentiments (1759)

So the way to tell if someone is trying to convince you of something is to look and see if their lips are moving.

Skepticism is the golden mean between naïveté and cynicism. Enough to often, at least, avoid afterwards being both ashamed and astonished that we could possibly think of believing” a positive assertion - and not enough to eliminate “faith, hope and love."

6 posted on 07/08/2017 6:42:38 AM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion (A press can be “associated,” or a press can be independent. Demand independent presses.)
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To: Sir Napsalot

Look for the CNN logo?


7 posted on 07/08/2017 6:42:58 AM PDT by null and void (This is how socialists work: Erase the past, Bankrupt the present, Steal from the future.)
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To: exDemMom

Stock performance graphs on CNBC. They always skew the value scale to make any change look huge.


8 posted on 07/08/2017 6:47:29 AM PDT by USNBandit (Sarcasm engaged at all times)
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To: Sir Napsalot
Edward Tufte's "The Visual Display of Quantitative Information" was a ground breaking work on graphic presentation and data in pre-PC days. Much of computer generated graphs are based on the techniques he presented. As an end user I found his book fascinating and gave it a prominent place on my office shelves.The Visual Display of Quantitative Information

His now classic graph of Napoleons March to Russia is a tour de force of the sheer amount of data displayed in a single graph. The first edition was accompanied by a poster of that graph.


9 posted on 07/08/2017 6:53:56 AM PDT by Covenantor (Men are ruled...by liars who refuse them news, and by fools who cannot govern. " Chesterton)
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To: exDemMom

I had to rewind to see the oceanic temp graphs twice to get a sense, too.

While the overall oceanic temp didn’t change too much from 1880 to 2016, but the second graph showed the Celcius deg change from year to previous year (change between -1 to +1 deg).

The graph does not explain how and why the change (no cause) from this short presentation, but I guess we’ll need to dig deeper in which the original graph was created.


10 posted on 07/08/2017 6:56:24 AM PDT by Sir Napsalot (Pravda + Useful Idiots = USSR; Journ0List + Useful Idiots = DopeyChangey)
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To: Sir Napsalot
misleading graph

You're welcome.

11 posted on 07/08/2017 6:57:00 AM PDT by thoughtomator
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To: Covenantor
Florence Nightingale's is also a classic:

Let to significant changes in military medical care

12 posted on 07/08/2017 7:00:16 AM PDT by P.O.E. (Pray for America)
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To: thoughtomator

LOL, I am totally (unashamed) stealing it.


13 posted on 07/08/2017 7:00:47 AM PDT by Sir Napsalot (Pravda + Useful Idiots = USSR; Journ0List + Useful Idiots = DopeyChangey)
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To: exDemMom

“But then, at the end, the narrator explains that an ocean temperature graph showing little change since 1880 is misleading because it *didn’t* change the scale to exaggerate the change.”

Also note the 2 graphs compared different things. The first was actual ocean temp and the second was temperature “anomaly”. The anomaly graph seems to show unusually low temps in the 1800s gradually changing to increasing temps. The question is, what caused the anomalous low temps prior to large scale industrialization and autos?


14 posted on 07/08/2017 7:16:49 AM PDT by Brooklyn Attitude (The first step in ending the War on White People, is to recognize it exists.)
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To: Sir Napsalot

Bfl


15 posted on 07/08/2017 7:18:36 AM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (Apoplectic is where we want them!)
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To: Sir Napsalot

If a graph is being used to convince you of something it’s false. There are lies, damned lies, statistics, and graphs.


16 posted on 07/08/2017 7:21:00 AM PDT by discostu (You are what you is, and that's all it is, you ain't what you're not, so see what you got.)
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To: exDemMom

I was just going to point out the same thing but you beat me to it. Good eye. Recent ocean temperatures easily falls within the range of normal temperatures.


17 posted on 07/08/2017 7:24:07 AM PDT by MichaelRDanger
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To: Sir Napsalot

I use graphs a lot. All of the points in the article are pretty basic stuff. Heck, the chevy truck type of manipulation was one I learned about in high school in 1970.

And has anybody seen the youtube video showing the Climate change “hockey stick” when inserted into the graph of hundreds of thousands of years of data? It’d comical. And that is even assuming the hockey stick itself was not manipulated in the first place.


18 posted on 07/08/2017 7:26:39 AM PDT by robroys woman
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To: exDemMom

Exactly what I saw. The long time series showed that we are within the normal variation. The some time series suggests we are outside the normal range of variation.

But, it’s for climate change. As the faculty of Penn State have decided in the case of Michael Mann, it’s is o.k. to withhold data that contradicts the theory of catastrophic global warming. Hence, Mann-made global warming.


19 posted on 07/08/2017 7:29:52 AM PDT by Redmen4ever (u)
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To: reed13

save for later


20 posted on 07/08/2017 7:53:19 AM PDT by reed13k
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