We've read calculations that the confiscated wealth alone can totally cure our national debt, more than balance the budget as well as provide $trillions for infrastructure building.
Pretty close on your prediction.
The math says they can’t hold hold, much less gain in the Senate.
They have 25 seats up for grabs, compared to 8 for Republicans.
The probability is they lose seats, as they have at least 11 vulnerable while we have maybe one at risk.
If the economy continues its pace or grows faster, then it’s over for them....period.
Then we look toward 2020 and if I’m right, the Democrats are done for the next decade...
Yes, the “3-state sweep” is a classic media BS narrative designed to invalidate Trump, make Democrats “cool” again, and dishearten Deplorables.
We can hope the GOP can learn from the losses. But... McConnell.
This is very bad for the Deplorable Agenda. In Alabama, Dems have found a way to win....gin up the Black female population. Establishment Republicans have shown that they’d rather lose elections than have someone win who is opposed to them. I’m wondering if they’re planning to throw the next election in the US Senate just to keep control of the national agenda, along with their real allies, Democratic power brokers.
"Seat Forecast Simulated Seats Over Time Democrats earn a median of 222 seats in our simulations of the 2018 midterms. This may differ from the strict predictions below because of the larger number of Lean Republican seats than Lean Democratic seats in the current Congress. Effectively we are saying that the below number is an ideal estimate, meant to give you context as to which seats are competitive, but that we expect Democrats to overperform expectations based on the assessment of our error in past predictions."
"Of course, there is error in our forecast — measurable error. We can account for that error by simulating the election thousands of times, asking the computer each time to pick random error for national polling that is based on error from past predictions. "
https://decisiondeskhq.com/data-dives/ddhq-2018-house-midterm-forecast/
Here is Larry Sabato list of Toss Up , Leans & Likely House Seats http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2018-house/
And Cook Political
https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings
Re: “Republican candidate, Ed Gillespie, shunned the support of POTUS, Donald J. Trump.”
Maybe that’s why Gillespie got a higher percentage of the Virginia vote than Trump did?
2017 - Gillespie - Virginia - 45.0%
2016 - Trump - Virginia - 44.4%
The 2018 mid term elections are eleven months out and will be influenced by events unforeseen and unimagined. One thing is clear though, Trump supporters will stay home in droves if the Republican majority in Congress continues to obstruct the President’s agenda.
Senate R pick up 6-8 seats
The Democrats won because they have gotten away with being toxic. I would look to the race in Alabama to see what it is that the future holds tactic wise for 2018. Roy Moore was a badly flawed candidate, but he was a badly flawed candidate with a commanding lead UNTIL he was accused of harassing teen girls when he was in his 30’s in the 11th hour.
IMO, it is IMPERATIVE to go after corruption and to get people used to publicised prosecutions based on misuse of the levers of power. If the corruption angle is pursued with sexual harassment and other abuse of power prosecutions and the Republicans lay bare the Democrats methodology, step by step, then 11th hour protestations consisting of a ton of smoke and no fire will be put into perspective.
This will also benefit the women who are genuinely suffering in bad work situations because it will prevent the #MeToo issue from just turning into a “he said/she said” witch hunt and single-use issue to get the Democrats elected.
I know people who are stuck in the Democrats echo chamber. Otherwise intelligent people who seem to regard the infliction of toxic un-American nonsense and identity politics on everyone they know as a public service. People who have become utterly uncritical drone signaling devices. That’s pretty scary.
Good chance of picking up a few seats in the midterms - better than the dem’s chance and they won’t have the billions it would take to inundate all their weak areas.....
NJ is certainly no bellwether for the rest of the country; the Dem won after openly admitting he’d raise taxes in one of the highest-taxed states. The simple truth is that the demographic disaster here ensures we’ll probably never see a Republican governor again; taxpayers and their employers are fleeing the tax burden, while government workers, Welfarians, and an imported lower class (the former paid by taxes, the latter two paying no taxes at all) cement a socialist majority in place. We’re following CA into the abyss; like CA, we have pension obligations that will impoverish NJ for generations to come; would you move here and basically buy a share of that massive IOU? Any tax contributions you make will be used to pay people who haven’t worked for decades, and your neighborhood will look like the homelands of our imported lower class due to lack of funding for anything...
The republican party (not the President) needs to start playing offense otherwise the demoncraps will eat their lunch. Playing offense means putting criminal politicians and gov officials in jail. Playing offense means putting slanderous and libelous media people in jail. Playing offense means putting slanderous and libelous celebrities in jail.
You predicted GOP wins in those three elections. Your record of predictions is not so good. Case closed!
I’m still undecided. The Democrats are very enthusiastic. They are winning state seats in Iowa, Georgia, New York, and other areas that were red for decades. I am waiting on Pennsylvania house seat in March to see how things are going. That is a seat that was red for 40 years and now it is a toss up.......I am not optimistic like some on here. I see this being 2016 again but the Republicans are the ones with their head in the ground. Obviously I hope I am way wrong.