Translation:
NBC hopes for a depression soon so that they can blame Donald Trump.
Financial predictions are very unreliable and are not to be trusted.
1. An inverted yield predicts a recession, it doesn’t cause it.
2. We can’t repeal the economic cycle, so there IS a recession in the future.
3. The main cause of recession is that too many people end up with too much excess capital after a long expansion and when they all put it to work at the same time they outrun demand.
4. The FED doesn’t cause recessions, it just makes them worse.
IOW: The damn stock market keeps going up and we need to find a way to stop it.
If I recall, the last yield curve inversion “predicted” a recession that happened nearly 3 years later. Another inversion hasn’t even happened yet, so what we have is a prediction of a predictor of an eventual recession. I’m not ready to panic.
Election time downturn to get the Commies elected.
Now, I have been noticing that the municipal bonds are beginning to have their yields rise and the premiums over the issue price beginning to get into proper relationship.
So, will wait until the bonds yields get back into the 4 to 5 percent range.
As a side note, bond yields as well as bank interest for the past number of years has been lower than what I was getting in the early 1970's.
BS. They’re running for cover during this “trade war”.