The rate of case Growth may be slowing dramatically.
Posted on 03/24/2020 10:27:45 AM PDT by dalight
Coronavirus Cases: 49,594 Deaths: 622
The rate of case Growth may be slowing dramatically.
(Excerpt) Read more at worldometers.info ...
Check out the Daily New Cases Chart https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
Its early, and testing is rapidly expanding, but when you consider this in the light of 5.5 ave days for symptoms and 98% in 11 days, this puppy may have hit a wall 5+ days ago except for in New York State.
Perhaps the Dem's greed putting a hold on this gush of spending is a good thing. Within a week, the real results of currently available drug therapies will become very clear.. and the whole picture will look different.
I would add, I know someone who is pending a test result, and is being told it may only be received one week post the test. I would assume - if confirmed - it will be reported on the day the test result is available. So there may also be a lag in the reporting v actual new infections.
Use the slider on the curves up above. Mar 17 was 8,000, today is 16,000. It is doubling every 5 days in “the world”.
Completetly agree, the results of the NY HDC/antibiotic blend will be very interesting. Hopefully they get results like France did.
New tests are coming next week that take 45 minutes not several days
I imagine those New York stats are coming mostly from the big city.
Getting information of “total recovered as of now” is going to be impossible. You are going to terribly undersample the mild and asymptomatic. So much so the thought is meaningless at this time. Months down the road epidemiologists will deal with this.
Don’t look at the individual bars. Look at the trend line. The digits regarding any parameter don’t mean much. That trend tells us the “Storm” hasn’t broken. In most of America it hasn’t;t started. If we can stamp out the hot spots it could happen that most of America never sees it (geographically). The urban centers are going to get hammered.
This site would be an ok source if they would just use ALL available data. As you rightly stated, their “recovered” number is based on the most critical cases.
Their death rate numbers are pretty skewed as well - as it doesn’t discern those who’s death was only PARTIALLY connected to COVID-19, it doesn’t have any way to allow for the intentionally LACK of care for hundreds of cases in Italy (where they aren’t even bothering to try with elderly patients).
And of course - while flu death rates are calculated based on total flu-related deaths vs the ESTIMATED total number who contract the flu, COVID death rates are being calculated based on total confirmed cases - which by the nature of testing still means mostly those who are seriously ill with the virus. We are still below the flu mortality rate, if we use total estimated infections...
Maybe NY should let in a bunch more Iranian mooselimbs?
Why? Socialized medicine - they pick and choose who lives and dies - in this case, based on age. Their system is barely adequate for normal day-to-day care. They had absolutely ZERO reserves in case of tragedy or epidemic. So, for weeks, they have been essentially kicking elderly patients out of ICU so that younger patients can have the ventilators.
And because of their horrifically late response time at the earliest stages, the infection has run rampant.
I also can’t help but wonder how much (IF ANY) the higher-than-average percentage of smokers would have any connection to their numbers?
If your going by the number of new cases today, you can’t really conclude a dramatic drop. Worldometer posts data as it is received so today’s total is incomplete. Keep checking back until 8PM EDT for more updates. The current day ends then (Midnight GMT)
It occurs to me, if NYC can recover from this and it dies down, they are going to have a cohort of doctors that are world experts on COVID-19. The Public Health Service should just draft them and move them from hot spot to hot spot. “The Firemen.” It could allow the staff at those places to continue as much as they can with normal operations. Just a thought.
Don’t worry about the recovered number. Right now it is meaningless. # of new deaths is the number at this time.
I just checked for Oneida County, NY where I live, and there are 7 cases listed. That was just updated today a few minutes ago.
New York 12,305 cases; Westchester 2,894; Nassau 2,442; Suffolk 1,458; Rockland 592; Orange 389; Albany 127; Dutchess 100. All the other counties are below 100 cases.
As much as I don’t like the Quinones if it is “very effective” it could make a difference of 1,000 lives in the next 7 days. As much as I hate the thought of “performing an experiment in the middle of an epidemic” if the physicians seeing the patients are impressed we do need to do it. The Medical Ethicists head’s are spinning right now.
Agreed for most part...other areas of country could have infection curves lagging to new york...we will see...but new york is skewing the whole curve...but then you got people living in close proximity in nyc...p.s. Wuhan has 11 million souls...in about 600 sq miles urban area where ny is 8 mill in 302 sq. Miles...so not surprising..p.s.nyc has about 15,000 cases....usa has 48,000...almost 1/3 of all cases in us? Wow.what a sewer...criminals running free.....sanctuary city..AOC...diBlasphemeo as mayor..corona virus outbreak...what could go wrong in a city which doesn’t sleep?
So the epidemic in that area is being spread out in time now. Those locations with low numbers should stay low if they are “good boys and girls.” Good news! Thanks. We need some.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.