Corona Virus Daily Thread #43

[LilFarmer]

Previous thread here: http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3833419/posts

[chris37]

Oh my God.

I don’t understand how it becomes such Hell in some people.

[justa-hairyape]

Off the hook. Exactly what we all warned about two months ago.

[justa-hairyape]

What good are those ships now ? Cannot even be used as museum pieces. Sink em in place and you get a reef.

[blueplum]

that and #159

if young people are coming out of this with lung fibrosis, that has wide-ranging effects - including service eligibility

[riri]

Thank you! In late. Gotta play catch up

[PA Engineer]

I live in CA. just in case you didn’t know that!!

We figured that out!!!!!!!

[metmom]

You don’t suppose that was part of the plan, do you?

Drag this out long enough to deny Christians an Easter Sunday church service that many nominal Christians and unbelievers are willing to go to. Cause then they might actually hear the gospel message and become Christians.

[amorphous]

I've decided to call my ND/TD metric, the Daily Fatality Ratio (DFR). That should at least make it easier to address in the comments and etc. It's a really simple formula ((New Deaths / Total Deaths) x 100).

The projection made on Sunday, 6 April, of 17,328 deaths by COB April 10th, missed by an underestimated 1,419 fatalities. Worldometers.Info has an accumulated death toll for the US of 18,747 for today, April 10th.

The key DFR# I used in the projection calculation was from Sunday's, April 6, number which included a large dip, followed by Monday's significant spike. In hindsight, my projection would have been far more accurate if I had used the mean DFR of Saturday and Sunday. Just goes to show how these numbers balloon in just a few short days.

I had hoped the US would have broken below the 10% DFR level today. Unfortunately this didn't occur. Tonight the number is 10.86. The US must get this number down as soon as possible. It has a huge affect on our final death toll later on, as we've seen above.

Several Freepers observed regularly occurring irregularities in the data. These are Friday spikes and Sunday dips. The Sunday dip is what took out my projection for today. So please take this days into consideration when evaluating irregular graph lines. Many thanks to DoughtyOne, datura, Mariner, and others for discovering and pointing these irregularities out.

On a positive note, the US held its own today, and France had another nice drop after keeping its recent spike in check. It really is up to us to bring the US DFR down by practicing careful hygiene, distance, keeping trips to a minimum, and above all wear your PPE, including masks and eye protection.

Daily percentage of new Corona virus deaths to previous day's total by country. 25% = total deaths double every 3 days, 20% = every 4 days, 15% = every 5 days, 10% = about 1 week, 5% = about 2 weeks.

[EarlyBird]

If only China shared its early data with us, and accepted our help, none of this would be happening.

We all must always remember that.

[EarlyBird]

Good points. And Los Angeles requires a mask when shopping now. Texas city on border says you have to have masks outside or $1,000. It is going that way.

It was always going that way.

If the administration admitted the lack of masks at the beginning of this crisis, it would have caused panic. Shut down was all they could do until they got enough masks.

[EarlyBird]

BS

Just let the “infectected” clothes hang outside for for 12 to 24 hours before washing them.

[PA Engineer]

Very good video (requires full attention) on the intercellular actions of chloroquine by JJ Medicine.

Chloroquine, Hydroxychloroquine & SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19): Mechanism & Overview of Anti-Viral Effects

[MplsSteve]

Latest News from Minnesota (much earlier today)...

Per the Minnesota Department of Health, they are reporting 1336 positive tests for COVID-19, an increase of 94 cases from yesterday (Thursday).

7 new deaths were reported, raising the statewide total to 57. Yesterday’s (Thursday) new death total was 11.

Currently 143 patients are hospitalized for COVID-19, a decrease of 2 from yesterday (Thursday). 64 patients are in ICU, an increase of 1 from yesterday (Thursday).

The median age of all reported cases is 51. The median age of all hospitalized cases is 65. The median age of all deaths is 87.

Of all cases, 52% are female and 48% are female.

By ethnicity, whites comprise 73% of all cases and 86% of all deaths. Blacks comprise 8% of all cases and 2% of all deaths. Hispanics comprise 5% of all cases and 2% of all deaths. Asians comprise 4% of all cases and 2% of all deaths.

For more interesting charts and maps, go here:

https://www.health.state.mn.us/diseases/coronavirus/sit

[PA Engineer]

More Limerick nuclear plant workers test positive for coronavirus; refueling to continue

[blueplum]

if you’re going to wash them after hanging, why not just strip and wash?

I think it’s still up in the air, tho, about how long virus lasts on clothing. I admit I pay attention more to shoes

[Mariner]

“Add to that chaos the force of inflammation, which flares in those with severe COVID-19”

Yikes. Sounds gruesome and something to avoid.

[blueplum]

if the flu for 2019-2020 numbers are 19K-21K, then we are at, and will exceed 6 months of flu deaths (they started in Sep), within the first 6 weeks of CCPVirus. That aughta sober some of them up.

not to mention it would seem our annual flu numbers are down, because intl travel from Jan-Mar is also down. So maybe about 2/3rds our annual flu numbers are, to borrow a CCP phrase, ‘imported’

[Paul R.]

It’s good to get away, that’s for sure.

You do realize that at least 50% of the people viewing your post are now insanely jealous of you...

Just kidding.

I hope.

;-)

[mrsmith]

Good, though frustrating, thread on the failure of the modelling.
https://twitter.com/BaldingsWorld/status/1248796814779637760
I blame it on unknowns and uncertainties.
What I liked about your graph is the relative certainty of it’s inputs.

[grey_whiskers]

NUKED FROM ORBIT - Acucksta says the Task Force briefings are “Happy Talk.” POTUS: “Maybe it’s Happy Talk for you, it’s not Happy Talk for me. We’re talking about death.” - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jEeagiSZJBk

That little exchange in humorous video format: