Posted on 07/29/2023 4:18:59 AM PDT by fruser1
The PJM fuel mix is balanced and diversified between different fuel types and we have adequate generation resources to serve the anticipated needs of our system today.
However, as we look further out, maintaining an adequate level of generation resources will be essential for PJM’s ability to reliably serve electrical demand through the energy transition. Our recent analysis observed four trends that increase the risk that we may have difficulty maintaining such an adequate level of generation resources with the necessary attributes over time.
1| The rate of electricity demand is likely to continue to increase from electrification and increasing deployment of high-demand data centers in the region.
2| Dispatchable generators are retiring at a rapid, date-certain pace largely due to government and private sector policies.
3| Replacement generation is primarily intermittent and limited-duration resources, requiring multiple megawatts of these resources to replace one megawatt of dispatchable generation.
4| Retirements are at risk of outpacing the construction of new resources, due to a combination of industry forces, including siting and supply chain, whose long-term impacts are not fully known.
Concerningly, we are finding that even projects that have completed our interconnection queue are still not undertaking construction at an adequate rate. In 2022, we had only 2,000 MW of projects get built, of which only 700 MW were renewables, when there were over 30,000 MW of generation with signed interconnection agreements.
Today, we currently have about 44,000 MW of projects that have come through our study process with either signed or pending final agreement and should be moving to construction; that should grow to about 62,000 MW by year’s end. And thus far in 2023, we recently had a 1,900 MW combined-cycle gas plant come online, but we have seen only 250 MW of renewable generation start up this year.
(Excerpt) Read more at pjm.com ...
I said two days ago on here, every single target with respect to utility distribution is a lie.
This confirms generation and transmission targets are also lies.
Parent utility companies in highlighted areas are Exelon, AEP, and Dominion.
First Energy as well.
This is the result of trying to rely on green energy, which will never have the ability to replace that of oil, coal, and natural gas. That is just the reality.
There is the problem in a nutshell. Utilities, system operators, and reliability councils bought into the impossible green wet dream instead of pushing back. Given the extremely dire numbers in the article,
PJM should be screaming from the rooftops…
“It won’t work! It cannot work! This “green” path is leading to intermittent, high priced power and probably complete grid collapse!”Instead, they still pretend the “energy transition” will work. Sweden recently came to its senses.
https://www.pjm.com/library/~/media/about-pjm/pjm-zones.ashx
Thanks. I’ve done work on quite a few of them.
Exelon is ComEd, PECO, Delmarva, Atlantic City Electric, BGE, and PepCo.
South of the highlighted area, Duke is huge.
The CEO of the Mid Continent System Operator (MISO) is basically saying the same thing for the past 2 years. Actually they are engaging in some preemptive CYA. They understand that when the blackouts start the politicians will try to blame them. Now they’ll be able to say, “we told you so”
That 7.5 GW of power from windmills offshore in NJ is looking less possible.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.