Posted on 11/01/2004 5:27:58 AM PST by BuckeyeGOP
first I hear W is winning in early fla polling, now I here it's flipped drastically to Kerry. I've heard the same stuff in IA. Where's our bloggers with the scoop?
If I may give some advice, don't worry about early voting...either way. Just do everything you can to get out the vote. Don't get complacent if Bush is up, don't get down if Bush is down. It does not matter who is leading in the beginning of the race, what matters is who ends with the most votes.
Don't worry. they're going off of a subgroup of an already small sample. This is utter bull$h!t. 30% of maybe 500 to 800 people at best. These are polls of somewhere around 200 people. So they are getting maybe 15 more Kerry voters than Bush voters. This is what we call the science of small numbers, or in logic terms, a fallacy of hasty generalizations.
Also keep in mind that conservative voters are much more likely to vote on Election Day, like normal people. It's mostly going to be the energized Bush haters who are out voting early (and hopefully not often.)
I vote on election day.
I voted for President Bush in Duval County last week & no one polled me. So that is at least one vote he received.
Same here in Pinellas! (We're both Florida BTW) Bush takes Florida by 6...:)
Not to worry, cBS is investigating, which of course will blow up in their face!...LOL
Please read the articles posted here.
They provide the answers you seek.
This is a sterling example of my complaints regarding vanities.
Oh, I really wish you hadn't brought me to this place....
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