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Polls (GOP Club)

Brevity: Headers | « Text »
  • Fiorina: A Falling Star

    10/13/2015 8:31:42 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 2 replies
    Real Clear Politics ^ | October 14, 2015 | Dick Morris and Eileen McGann
    The rapid rise and equally rapid fall of Carly Fiorina deserves our attention. Before the most recent debate, she was languishing in the polls with only 4 percent of the vote (CBS, Sept. 9-13). After a smashing performance in the second debate, she soared into second place with 15 percent (CNN, Sept. 17-19). Now the most recent polls have her falling back into the pack with only 6 percent support (CBS, Oct. 4-8). What happened? Her initial rise was partially due to her headline-stealing riposte to Donald Trump for his ill-considered comments demeaning her physical appearance. By linking her cause...
  • Poll: Carson, Trump neck and neck in Pennsylvania (Cruz, Fiorina tied for third)

    10/13/2015 6:34:26 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    The Hill's Briefing Room Blog ^ | October 13, 2015 | Mark Hensch
    Ben Carson and Donald Trump are neck and neck in the battle for Pennsylvania’s 2016 GOP presidential primary voters, a new poll says. Trump edges out Carson by 1 percentage point in the Keystone State, according to the latest Public Policy Polling (PPP) sampling released Tuesday. Trump leads the GOP presidential race in the state with 24 percent support. Carson closely trails the outspoken billionaire at 23 percent. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina follow them at 9 percent apiece. Former Gov. Jeb Bush (R-Fla.) and Gov. Chris Christie (R-N.J.) are next with 7 percent each....
  • Hey, what happened to Carly Fiorina’s bounce in the polls?

    10/13/2015 6:09:40 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 54 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 13, 2015 | Allahpundit
    I’m not asking that rhetorically. I really don’t know the answer. You tell me what’s going on here. Have a look at HuffPo’s table of national polling in the GOP primary. The second debate, Fiorina’s breakout moment, was held on September 16th. In the last poll taken before that day, she was stuck at two percent. The next poll? 22 percent, tied with Trump nationally. She never approached that number again but she hit double digits in various polls afterward, notching 11, 15, 7, 6, 12, and 11 percent in the six surveys that followed. A week after that, at...
  • Christie, Kasich Fall to 1% in New Poll (Trump 1st, Carson 2nd, Cruz 3rd)

    10/13/2015 3:51:10 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 38 replies
    The Weekly Standard ^ | October 13, 2015 | Daniel Halper
    A new poll by Fox News finds Donald Trump remains the leader of the Republican pack. Trump holds 24 percent of the vote, but is in a virtual tie with Ben Carson, who is getting 23 percent of the vote. But the real news might be that New Jersey governor Chris Christie is polling at 1 percent. And is tied with Ohio governor John Kasich, who is also only at 1 percent. Ted Cruz has 10 percent, Marco Rubio is at 9 percent, and Jeb Bush is at 8 percent. Carly Fiorina has fallen to 5 percent.
  • USA TODAY GOP Power Rankings: Cruz rises, Fiorina falls

    10/13/2015 7:56:05 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    WTSP-TV | October 13, 2015 | USA Today
    Link only due to copyright issues:
  • Zogby: Trump Will 'Fizzle Out Shortly'

    10/13/2015 5:27:09 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 66 replies
    NewsMax ^ | October 12, 2015 | Bill Hoffmann
    Veteran pollster John Zogby is continuing to stick to his longstanding prediction that Republican front-runner Donald Trump's run for president will not last. "I'm in a margin-of-error business, so plus or minus a couple of weeks … I do think he'll fizzle out, I really do," Zogby, senior analyst at Zogby Analytics, tells "Newsmax Prime" with J.D. Hayworth on Newsmax TV. "He's starting to, he's peaked a little bit and I think his numbers are coming down … he'll fizzle out shortly." Zogby said he is not surprised that Trump supporters say if the billionaire developer ends up dropping out,...
  • CBS News: Ted Cruz in Third Place

    10/12/2015 5:28:09 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 50 replies
    Patterico's Pontifications ^ | October 11, 2015 | Patterico
    As the silly season continues, CBS News reports that Trump is still on top and Ben Carson is still second. The real lede, however, is buried in paragraph two. Guess who’s #3? If you didn’t read the headline, I won’t keep you in suspense any longer: The rest of the Republican field is in single digits, with Texas Senator Ted Cruz inching up into third place with nine percent, followed by Florida Sen. Marco Rubio with eight percent. Businesswoman Carly Fiorina and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush follow at six percent each. Former Governor Mike Huckabee has also slipped considerably...
  • Millennial voters weigh in on ’16 candidates

    10/12/2015 2:10:52 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    WGNO-TV ^ | October 12, 2015 | Anthony Perrucci, CNN
    CNN asked millennial voters from a range of backgrounds to weigh in on whether, and how well, the 2016 presidential candidates are reflecting the priorities of their generation — the largest and most diverse demographic cohort in American history — as they make their case to voters. The opinions expressed are solely those of the authors. Elizabeth Elizalde, 22, is a New York-based journalist and a former CNN en Espańol intern. Follow her on Twitter @EElizalde5. I’m a 22-year-old Latina living in New York City, and as a recent college graduate, I know the struggle of making ends meet. My...
  • 2016 GOP power index: Jeb breaks down, Rubio races ahead

    10/12/2015 1:45:24 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 20 replies
    Fox News ^ | October 12, 2015 | Chris Stirewalt
    2016 GOP POWER INDEX: JEB BREAKS DOWN, RUBIO RACES AHEAD In what could end up being the final pairing of the Republican nominating contest two 44-year-old Cuban American senators hold the top two spots in this week’s 2016 GOP Power Index. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, remains the FNF favorite to win the votes of Republican insurgents. Cruz is running a disciplined campaign and mostly avoiding the candidate-on-candidate violence of the cycle. And he is raising enough money to burn a wet elephant. But on the other side of the map, the terrain is shifting. Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., is consolidating...
  • Horry likes Ted Cruz, straw polls show (South Carolina)

    10/12/2015 1:22:03 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    The Sun News ^ | October 12, 2015 | Donna W. McKinney
    It has been rewarding to join a group of dedicated S.C. grassroots conservatives. Recently a group of Horry County volunteers for Ted Cruz engaged in their first two events: the Aynor Harvest Hoedown and the Irish-Italian Festival. We proudly wore our red shirts declaring the same values as our favorite presidential candidate. National polls have indicated that billionaire TV reality star Donald Trump is still leading. However, based on straw polls, Horry County residents who participated clearly indicated they preferred Ted Cruz over all other candidates. Straw polls top 3: Aynor Harvest Hoedown: Cruz 45.5%, Trump 20.8%, Carson 18.2% Irish-Italian...
  • Free Republic STRAW POLL (October 2015 Edition)

    10/12/2015 12:05:02 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 85 replies
    FreeRepublic | October 12, 2015 | 2ndDivisionVet
    If you had to vote in your state primary/caucus today, knowing what you know now about the various declared and probable candidates, who would you vote for? Why? Who would you like to see as the running mate for your preferred candidate? If you could help staff your candidates cabinet and other top appointments, who would you choose? If you could recommend different congressional leaders than we have now, who would they be? And who would you like to see on the Supreme Court and why? And finally, feel free to donate to Free Republic.
  • Cruz For President - Cruz Scores Major Upset Among Libertarian Voters

    10/11/2015 7:19:12 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    NH Insider ^ | October 11, 2015
    Earns 51% of voter approval in Republican Liberty Caucus Straw Poll -- just a few points behind Rand Paul, among Libertarians. HOUSTON, TEXAS - Presidential candidate Ted Cruz continues to shore up his strong support among libertarian voters, earning 51 percent support from voters participating in the straw poll held at the Republican Liberty Caucus in Nashua, NH over the weekend. Cruz received 399 votes (51%), just a few points behind Rand Paul's 445 votes (57%). “We are very encouraged by the growing support we are seeing among liberty voters in the early states and across the country,” Cruz said....
  • New polls: Clinton, Trump hold leads; Boehner receives poor rank (Cruz now in third place)

    10/11/2015 3:50:22 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 53 replies
    KCCI-TV Des Moines ^ | October 11, 2015 | Kait McKinney
    DES MOINES, Iowa —CBS News polls released Sunday during “Face the Nation” reveal new rankings in the Republican and Democratic presidential races, as well as approval ratings of Congress and President Barack Obama. With the first Democratic presidential debate just days away, the newly released poll shows Hillary Clinton maintains a sizable lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders and Vice President Joe Biden, even though Biden hasn’t officially jumped in the race. Clinton leads at 46 percent, Sanders has 27 percent and Biden has 16 percent. In the race for the GOP nomination, the CBS News poll reveals Donald Trump maintains...
  • Quotes of the day (Many taking a second look at Ted Cruz)

    10/11/2015 12:52:25 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 55 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 10, 2015 | Allahpundit
    Texas Senator Ted Cruz’s presidential campaign raised $12.2 million in the third quarter, more than twice as much as the $6 million that Florida Senator Marco Rubio brought in during the same period. Cruz’s campaign said it took in 184,800 donations in the third quarter, the average coming in at $66, bringing the total Cruz has raised since launching his presidential bid to $26.5 million. “We are thrilled to see a grassroots wave of support for our campaign gaining momentum all over the country,” Cruz said in a statement Thursday night. “Not only are we seeing a surge of new...
  • The Republicans’ Ugly Revolt

    10/10/2015 1:22:37 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 59 replies
    The New York Times' Sunday Review ^ | October 10, 2015 | Frank Bruni
    OVER the last two decades, through Bob Dole and George W. Bush and John McCain and Mitt Romney, it has become an article of faith that the Republican presidential nominee is a person blessed by, or acceptable to, the party’s establishment, meaning the elders, the bankers, the cool heads, the deep pockets. There’s mess along the way — brief tantrums by restive voters, fleeting triumphs by renegade candidates — but order and obeisance in the end. Is this the election cycle when that changes? The twilight of the Republican elite? Donald Trump’s stamina and the ascendance of Ben Carson and...
  • Iowa Caucus: Will There Be a 2016 Dark Horse Candidate?

    10/10/2015 11:07:27 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    The Christian Post ^ | October 10, 2015 | Ray Nothstine, Reporter
    The Iowa caucuses have a history of propelling late surge candidates in presidential races. Will there be a 2016 dark horse? If the Iowa caucuses were held today, notable Iowa radio host Steve Deace believes Ted Cruz or Ben Carson would emerge victorious on the Republican side while Bernie Sanders would capture the coveted race for Democrats. Deace called the track record of polling in the race "a joke," saying the outcome depends on the organization and effectiveness of the candidate's ground game. The Iowa Caucus has produced many surprise winners over the years who have benefited from a late...
  • Should Jeb Bush Be Freaking Out Right Now? (Rubio, Rubio and more Rubio)

    10/09/2015 11:40:30 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    FiveThirtyEight ^ | October 7, 2015 | Various staff
    It’s time again for our weekly 2016 election Slack chat, in which FiveThirtyEight’s political team debates the latest developments. As always, the transcript below has been lightly edited. micah (Micah Cohen, politics editor): So, is Jeb! toast? There’s been a spate of articles recently suggesting he should be panicking right now. And he’s at a low ebb in national polls: hjenten (Harry Enten, senior political writer): Why should he panic? The leader in the polls is Donald Trump (though trends indicate that he may not be for much longer). A man who basically spent no money on his campaign. A...
  • Marco Rubio Is Not “Surging in the Polls,” Shows No Signs of Actual Momentum

    10/09/2015 7:26:41 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 23 replies
    Slate ^ | October 9, 2015 | Josh Voorhees
    Following a second strong, if understated, debate performance late last month, Marco Rubio is currently riding a wave of positive press. He is “surging in the polls,” has “the hot hand,” and is even emerging as “the favorite to win the GOP presidential nomination.” With the summer of Trump coming to a close, it seems, we are at the cusp of a new stage of the campaign where the non-silly-season favorites begin to assert themselves and the race finally gets serious. And there is good reason why that means Rubio’s stock is on the rise: With Scott Walker out and...
  • Ted Cruz sets sights on Rand Paul’s libertarian base

    10/09/2015 3:49:59 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 6 replies
    The Politico ^ | October 9, 2015 | Katie Glueck
    NASHUA, N.H.—He’s sliding in the polls, struggling to raise money — and now the only base he has left is starting to wobble. Rand Paul returned to what should have been home turf on Friday when he appeared at the Republican Liberty Caucus, a gathering of libertarian activists in New Hampshire. And while he was a crowd favorite, there is an intensifying buzz around rival Ted Cruz, even from ideological purists still pining for Rand’s dad, Ron. “Cruz is stronger, he’d have more spunk as president,” said Shirlene Van Doorne, 64, of Nashua, after the Texas senator delivered a rousing...
  • Trump Will Make Fools Of Us All

    10/09/2015 2:44:30 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 51 replies
    The Huffington Post's Post 50 The Blog ^ | October 9, 2015 | Joe Seldner, Journalist and producer
    Donald has signaled loudly and clearly that he will drop out of the presidential race if his poll numbers don't continue to soar above the mediocre crowd of candidates. He (sort of) backtracked later, but his message was unmistakably that he will take his ball and go home if too many voters polled like other kids more than him. This will, in fact, happen. Donald doesn't like to lose, and more importantly, doesn't like to be ignored, and when his luster starts to fade, as it already has, he will return to the business of insulting Mexicans and women in...
  • Ted Cruz's Wait-It-Out Strategy Could Prove Successful—or a "Colossal Mistake"

    10/09/2015 10:58:10 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    Mother Jones ^ | October 9, 2015 | Pema Levy, Reporter, DC Bureau
    The senator from Texas is banking on a war of attrition among the other outsider candidates.Ted Cruz's run for president has gotten off to a rough start. He's currently in sixth place in the polls. The thirst for an outsider candidate that was supposed to propel his campaign has instead been quenched by Donald Trump, Ben Carson, and now Carly Fiorina. But Cruz has a strategy for overcoming his lackluster performance thus far, one that's drawn strong reviews from some party insiders. Republican consultant Doug Heye praised his "smart" campaign to the Hill newspaper, and the conservative National Review Online...
  • The contradiction that is Ted Cruz

    10/08/2015 11:13:20 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 63 replies
    The Examiner ^ | October 8, 2015 | Sylvia Van Peebles, San Diego Politics
    Ted Cruz is called the pit bull in Congress because he relentlessly sinks his teeth into battles that he is passionate about such as defunding Planned Parenthood and defeating the Iran Nuclear Deal. He has no fear in calling out fellow Congressional leaders who support the status quo over the will or well-being of the people-even if he is alone. Cruz staunchly supports the Constitution and calls out those who circumvent it, all the way to the White House. He stands strong in his Christian faith and is not shy about sharing his testimony. All-in-all a perfect candidate. However, if...
  • Hillary Clinton’s Problem With Men

    10/08/2015 10:44:13 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 29 replies
    National Journal ^ | October 7, 2015 | Josh Kraushaar
    Clinton is performing as poorly with men as Republicans do with Hispanics. She won’t win a general election unless she can close the gender gap. When Hil­lary Clin­ton entered the pres­id­en­tial race, she ex­pec­ted to win over­whelm­ing sup­port among wo­men in her bid to be­come the first fe­male pres­id­ent. In­stead, she’s find­ing out that an un­pre­ced­en­ted level of res­ist­ance to her can­did­acy among men is un­der­min­ing the con­ven­tion­al wis­dom that she’d be the strongest Demo­crat­ic nom­in­ee in the gen­er­al elec­tion. Put an­oth­er way: Clin­ton is now nearly as un­pop­u­lar with men as Don­ald Trump is with wo­men. That’s say­ing something....
  • Iowa Radio Host: ‘If The Caucuses Were Today, Ben Carson Or Ted Cruz Would Win’ [VIDEO]

    10/08/2015 7:43:20 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 29 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | October 8, 2015 | Steve Guest, Media Reporter
    Nationally syndicated talk show host Steve Deace said Thursday that if the Iowa caucuses were held today, former neurosurgeon Ben Carson or Texas Sen. Ted Cruz would win, even though businessman Donald Trump currently outpolls both candidates. The reason: Carson and Cruz have superior on-the-ground organizations. “I don’t believe almost any of these polls,” Deace said on “MSNBC News Nation.” “The record of polling in Iowa is a joke.” Deace noted that pollsters have warned the Republican National Committee against trusting their results to determine debate placement, and that Gallup will stop polling the 2016 primaries “because they don’t trust...
  • Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio Are Rising, Focus Groups Say (VIDEO)

    10/08/2015 6:24:25 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 5 replies
    Bloomberg Politics | October 8, 2015
    Link only due to copyright issues:
  • After talking up money, Donald Trump isn’t spending it

    10/07/2015 4:16:37 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 26 replies
    MSNBC ^ | October 6, 2015 | Ari Melber
    Many Republicans have tried and failed to win the presidential nomination without support from the party establishment. Donald Trump argues he is different from those hopefuls because his wealth enables him to fund an insurgent campaign all by himself. But for all the talk about his money, so far, Trump isn’t using it. Trump campaign officials say he has only spent about $2 million – far less than fellow GOP candidates Dr. Ben Carson and Sen. Ted Cruz, for instance. each spent $5.5 million just through July, according to the latest FEC reports. Hillary Clinton’s campaign, meanwhile, spent $18 million...
  • Ohio Republican voters shift support from Kasich to Trump, Carson

    10/07/2015 2:03:32 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 32 replies
    The Aurora Advocate ^ | October 7, 2015 | Marc Kovac, Capital Bureau Chief
    Columbus — Gov. John Kasich is no longer the leading Republican presidential candidate among Ohio voters, according to a new poll released Oct. 7. Registered Republican voters in the state have shifted their support to business mogul Donald Trump and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, who received 23 percent and 18 percent support, respectively, in the latest Quinnipiac University Polling Institute survey. Kasich was third with 13 percent, down from 27 percent in August and ending a string of Quinnipiac polls where he was atop the GOP field in his home state. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz and businesswoman Carly Fiorina were...
  • Will Conservative Hardliners Break the 'RINO' Spell in 2016?

    10/06/2015 11:50:53 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    Bloomberg Politics | October 6, 2015 | Sahil Kapur
    Link only, due to copyright issues:
  • In 2016 race, voters still shopping for a candidate to love (RINO-riffic!)

    10/06/2015 10:24:22 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    CNN Political Op-Ed ^ | October 6, 2015 | Alex Castellanos, Republican strategist
    Yes, it is time again to play that game, "What's Happening in The Campaign For Leadership Of The Free World?" A few observations, from the front lines: 1. Last week, a friend reported on an Iowa focus group. Of 31 Republican voters, only one was irrevocably committed to a candidate. The rest split their preferences among two candidates or more. Point: This race is remarkably fluid. Voters are still shopping. 2. There is no impetus for Republican voters to place their final bets soon. They fear their country is in decline, and this may be their last chance to save...
  • Donald Trump is dropping in the early states — with very different beneficiaries

    10/05/2015 5:46:32 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 55 replies
    The Washington Post's The Fix ^ | October 5, 2015 | Philip Bump
    Donald Trump is starting to drop hints about a world in which he is not a presidential candidate. In an interview on "Meet the Press" on Sunday, Trump said that he'd quit the race if his poll number started to drop. Talking to the Times, he bemoaned what a Trump-less race would look like: boring. "There’d be a major collapse of the race, and there’d be a major collapse of television ratings," he told the Times's Michael Barbaro. "It would become a depression in television." He's probably not wrong. Polling released in concert with that "Meet the Press" interview shows...
  • Trump: There would be a “major collapse” of the GOP race, and in the TV ratings, if I quit

    10/05/2015 3:41:06 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 50 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 5, 2015 | Allahpundit
    When he’s right, he’s right. And it’s … interesting that he’s contemplating his own political mortality this way. “There’d be a major collapse of the race, and there’d be a major collapse of television ratings,” he said from his office in Trump Tower. “It would become a depression in television.” Mr. Trump said that a presidential campaign without him would become so “boring” that he would struggle to pay any attention to it. “I wouldn’t even be watching it probably, and neither would anybody else,” he said. Debate ratings would indeed collapse. I’m not sure what he means by a...
  • Savvy observers think the GOP race is down to Bush and Rubio. Here's why I don't agree.

    10/05/2015 2:58:14 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 44 replies
    Vox ^ | October 5, 2015 | Andrew Prokop
    Over the past week, responses from political scientists to my recent feature critiquing The Party Decides have poured in — see Seth Masket at the Pacific Standard, and Hans Noel and Jonathan Ladd at Mischiefs of Faction here on Vox. And one common point made by them is quite true — it's still early, the theory is about who will actually win, and polling conducted around this time has frequently failed to predict who will win. Clearly, we can't settle that question now. Yet my skepticism isn't just about what's unfolding this year. It's about what's happened over the past...
  • Polls: Trump still tops in Iowa, New Hampshire (New NBC News/WSJ/Marist polls out today)

    10/04/2015 3:18:04 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 4 replies
    CNN Politics ^ | October 4, 2015 | Eric Bradner
    Donald Trump still leads the Republican pack in the two first two states in the presidential nominating contest, though Ben Carson is on his heels in Iowa and Carly Fiorina is close behind in New Hampshire. New NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls out Sunday morning show Trump up in Iowa, with 24% support to Carson's 19%. Fiorina is third at 8%, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 7%, and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal at 6% each, according to the poll. In New Hampshire, Trump remains in first place with 21% support...
  • Maybe Rand Paul Took That 'Snapchat Election' Thing Too Seriously

    10/04/2015 2:55:34 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    The Huffington Post Huffpost Politics ^ | October 4, 2015 | Howard Fineman, Global Editorial Director
    He gave the voters a good look at him -- and now it looks like he's gone.Last October, for the third time in three years, Sen. Rand Paul made the cover of Time magazine. The headline: "The Most Interesting Man in American Politics." The New York Times Magazine had just put him on the cover that August, with a lot of edgy graphics proclaiming him a "Major Threat" to the Republican establishment. It made sense, or it seemed to. In the very, very early polls, the Kentucky senator was running neck-and-neck with former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush for the top...
  • ANAPHYLACTIC SHOCK: GOPe in panic mode-Kasich support evaporates & Jeb! numbers drop below Biden IQ

    10/04/2015 2:37:23 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 42 replies
    Doug Ross @ Journal ^ | October 4, 2015 | Doug Ross
    The Beltway Establishment's secretive plan to hand Jeb Bush the GOP nomination by flooding the zone with candidates (also known as the "GOPe Splitter Strategy") has totally unravelled. Let's start in New Hampshire, where support for John Kasich has fallen off the cliff: The rise of anti-establishment candidates ... have stalled Ohio Gov. John Kasich's momentum in New Hampshire, a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll shows. Kasich, who a month ago sat in second place, behind real estate mogul Donald Trump, does not rank among the Republican presidential field's top 5 this time. Kasich has distinguished himself as a...
  • Why pundits (still) don't expect Trump to win GOP nomination

    10/03/2015 8:41:02 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    The Christian Science Monitor ^ | October 3, 2015 | Lucy Schouten
    Many people didn't think Donald Trump would get this far. A lot of people are saying he won't go any further. Mr. Trump still holds the lead in most polls, but someone with more traditionally recognized political acumen will win the Republican nomination, say pundits. "Businessman Donald Trump may be leading in opinion polls for the Republican presidential nomination, but bettors say someone else will be nominated next year," wrote Washington correspondent Jonathan Salant for NJ Advance Media. Mr. Salant was referring to British bookmakers. Thus far, the race has been dominated by "outsiders," as both the Republican and Democratic...
  • Jeb! at 4%: Will he drop out?

    10/03/2015 6:08:09 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 70 replies
    Red Alert Politics ^ | October 2, 2015 | Ryan Girdusky
    A new poll by Pew Research released Friday shows that former Florida Gov. Jeb! Bush (R) may be going the way of Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) and former Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R). The polling report found that Bush’s support among Republican primary voters has withered to a mere 4 percent. To make matter worse, among the majority of likely GOP voters who consider themselves conservatives, only 2 percent said they would vote for Bush. Bush fatigue is largely due to the massive change in what the electorate is looking for in a president. A majority of Republican voters...
  • Polling Convergence – OAN/GRAVIS and Reuters Show Donald Trump Surging With 34 – 35% Support…

    10/03/2015 5:58:17 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 21 replies
    Conservative Treehouse ^ | October 2, 2015 | Sundance
    Reuters Trend Polling and OAN/Gravis Polling have each announced and updated Presidential Polling for the GOP race 2016. The results are exceptionally similar. Both polling outcomes reflect Donald Trump with a massive lead amid the rest of the field. Gravis Polling has Trump with 35% support. Reuters shows an almost identical 34% outcome. The downstream alignments with the remainder of the field are also very similar. Here’s the OAN/Gravis result: […] Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted the random survey of 2,665 registered voters across the U.S. regarding the presidential election. The poll has a margin of error of...
  • The 4 Percent Man: ‘Stuff Happens’; Bush sees lowest poll numbers as he explains verbal slip-up

    10/03/2015 1:12:48 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    Polizette ^ | October 3, 2015 | Keith Koffler
    Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush scored just 4 percent of the vote in the latest national GOP survey, a catastrophically low number that is sure to raise grave concern among the establishment donors who have invested millions in his success for the 2016 presidential race. The poll, released Friday by the Pew Research Center, shows Bush slipping into sixth place behind Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who is at 6 percent. Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, Bush’s archrival for establishment backing, has twice Jeb’s support, with 8 percent. Rubio is tied with Fiorina, whose tally suggests the steam may have run out...
  • Rand Paul not bothered by comment on presidential race

    10/03/2015 12:03:28 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 4 replies
    TV Newsroom ^ | October 3, 2015
    Another Paul aide told BuzzFeed News that the campaign had made a few new hires in the past two weeks. The campaign insists there will be no shakeups or changes in strategy, that Paul will continue his campaign schedule in the early states and regions off the beaten track, and that it has enough resources to carry the candidate through at least the first four primaries. Now, Paul is bidding for ownership of a niche, and for a long primary where his libertarian base returns to grind out caucus wins. Despite the glimmers of hope, one adviser to the campaign...
  • Hot Air Primary Survey: October Results

    10/03/2015 11:27:03 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 25 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 3, 2015 | Patrick Ishmael
    For the sixth time in a row, Hot Air’s first choice winner for President is Ted Cruz, with 34.9% of the vote. He’s followed by Carly Fiorina (21.6%), Marco Rubio (18.3%), Donald Trump (16%) and — at a surprising distance — Ben Carson (3.1%.) Rubio and Fiorina have basically doubled their take from the last vote, while Carson’s vote was cut in half. Trump lost a few points; Cruz remained steady. Over 2800 votes were cast.I think it’s notable that the survey was dominated by six candidates: Cruz, Fiorina, Rubio, Trump, Carson and Bobby Jindal. I’ve color coded the candidates...
  • Pew: Jeb Now Polling at 4 Percent, Collapses Behind Rubio

    10/02/2015 10:16:45 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 37 replies
    NewsMax ^ | October 2, 2015 | Cathy Burke
    Jeb Bush has dropped into sixth place as real estate and TV billionaire Donald Trump is maintaining his lead in the Republican presidential campaign field, a new poll shows. In the Pew Research Center survey released Friday, 4 percent of likely GOP primary voters pick the former Florida governor as their first choice for the nomination; 25 percent select Trump, 16 percent choose retired pediatric neurosurgeon Ben Carson, Carly Fiorina and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio tie with 8 percent, and 6 percent name Texas Sen. Ted Cruz. "At this stage of the 2016 presidential campaign, key issues divide both Republican...
  • Trump still leads as Rubio and Fiorina rise

    10/02/2015 9:58:16 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 42 replies
    You.Gov ^ | October 1, 2015 | Kathy Frankovic
    Donald Trump again leads the Republican primary field – but his lead has dwindled since before the second debate, while Marco Rubio has seen a significant boost in support.Although businessman Donald Trump continues to lead the GOP field when it comes to presidential preference of those registered voters who think of themselves as Republican, he is by no means the best-liked contender for Republicans for those potential voters. At least five other candidates in the latest Economist/YouGov Poll are seen more favorably by Republicans than Trump. Trump’s lead has somewhat diminished in recent weeks, though he remains in first place...
  • Donald Trump's Silent Minority

    10/02/2015 8:19:39 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    The Atlantic ^ | October 2, 2015 | David A. Graham
    He’s identified a bloc of culturally conservative voters who are to the left of the Republican Party on economics. But is it enough to win the nomination? A new Pew poll on the Republican race says several useful things about Donald Trump. For example: He’s still solidly ahead of the field in the race for the Republican nomination. The poll has Trump at 25 percent, followed by Ben Carson at 16, Marco Rubio and Carly Fiorina at 8, and Ted Cruz at 6. Jeb Bush, meanwhile, has taken a beating—sliding out of the top five, only a bit ahead of...
  • The Edge: Rubio, Bush, Fiorina and Cruz win the week

    10/02/2015 7:37:02 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    Fox News ^ | October 2, 2015 | Chris Stirewalt
    Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, Carly Fiorina and Ted Cruz gained ground on the competition in this week’s installment of The Edge, a one-of-a-kind measurement from the New Analytics Company that “scrubs” television, radio, print, internet and social media to gauge positive and negative attention for the 2016 candidates. Last week saw interest in all of the candidates muted by blowout coverage of the papal visit, and this week everyone except eighth-place Ohio Gov. John Kasich got a lift. Candidates Donald Trump, Ben Carson, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee; Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie all rebounded...
  • Paul insists he’s staying in despite fundraising drop to $2.5M last quarter

    10/02/2015 5:53:43 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    Hot Air ^ | October 2, 2015 | Ed Morrissey
    For how long, though? The Paul campaign was supposed to energize younger voters with more libertarian leanings, and provide Rand Paul with his father’s constituency married to a higher level of respectability. So far, though, the results in terms of fundraising have been disappointing. Over the last three months, Team Paul only collected $2.5 million — less than one million dollars a month, far behind Paul’s competitors, and a decline of almost two-thirds from the previous quarter. Even so, the Kentucky Senator insists he’s staying in the race, and that his prospects have improved of late: Rand Paul raised just...
  • Trump Dominates One America News Network's National Poll: Clinton has Commanding National Lead

    10/02/2015 1:27:29 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 40 replies
    PR Newswire ^ | October 2, 2015 | Stephanie Gonzalez
    One America News Network, "OAN", a credible source for 24/7 national and international news, released its most recent 2016 National Presidential Poll conducted on September 30th through October 1st. Donald Trump is continuing to be triumphant as the GOP front-runner with a dominating 34.7 percent. Dr. Ben Carson comes in second at 17.2 percent, trailing behind the New York real-estate mogul with just under half of Trump's success. Senator Marco Rubio has a boost in the polling with 10.8 percent, making it into the top three. Trump, Carson and Rubio account for 62.7 percent of the tabulated votes. Businesswoman, Carly...
  • The collapse of Rand Paul and the libertarian moment that never was

    10/02/2015 1:19:41 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    Fox News ^ | October 2, 2015 | Jerry Taylor
    The libertarian moment in American politics—foretold just last year in the New York Times magazine—is like the horizon; always retreating as we advance upon it. The political events of 2015 are a brutal reminder about how far this country is from embracing libertarianism and how alien those ideas are even to the purported shock troops of the freedom movement. While libertarianism’s opponents can take heart, its champions are setting their cause back by pretending that all is well. The collapse of the Rand Paul campaign speaks volumes. In a 15-person field, Paul is the only candidate who looks even remotely...
  • Republican Power Rankings – Election 2016

    10/02/2015 7:05:07 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 2 replies
    PJ Media ^ | 10/02/2015 | Roger L. Simon
    Republican Power Rankings – Election 2016 OCTOBER 2, 2015 – The Republican Candidates Power Rankings are back! Thanks again to ESPN, the NFL and the NBA for the inspiration. You will notice some of the lead players in this second round are trending upwards although their ranking has fallen. Inconsistency? Maybe, but the truth is that numbers 2, 3 and 4 all had good weeks. It was hard to choose between them. Number 1 — El Trumpo — was not so hot. But am I predicting him to fall? That’s a fool’s game… until it happens. (NOTE: This will...
  • Donald Trump: 'If I tank,' I'll drop out

    10/01/2015 7:34:36 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 18 replies
    CNN Politics ^ | October 1, 2015 | Eric Bradner
    Donald Trump says he's no "masochist" -- so if one day he finds himself plummeting in the polls, he'd drop out of the Republican presidential race. Right now there's no reason to go anywhere: The real estate mogul has consistently led national GOP polls for months. But in an interview with CNBC's John Harwood, he said he'd drop out of the 2016 campaign if he found himself alongside Republican contenders who are struggling to get off the ground. "Well, I'm not a masochist," Trump said. "Right now I'm leading every poll, and in most cases big. That's good. If that...