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Polls (GOP Club)

Brevity: Headers | « Text »
  • Paul Wins CPAC Straw Poll; Cruz Finishes Third

    02/28/2015 3:18:54 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 89 replies
    The Texas Tribune ^ | February 28, 2015 | Abby Livingston
    U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky won the Conservative Political Action Conference straw poll Saturday, his third victory in as many years. This year he carried 26 percent of the vote. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz placed third, with 11.5 percent, while former Gov. Rick Perry came in eleventh, with 1.1 percent. Both Paul and Cruz openly campaigned at the event. Cruz volunteers distributed custom-made buttons that said "Cruz Crew." Perry had a smaller get-out-the-vote operation at the conference. The contest comes after three days of speeches from presidential contenders and noteworthy conservative activists. On Thursday, Cruz touted his battles within...
  • In Early Polling, Walker Stands Apart

    02/27/2015 3:47:14 PM PST · by entropy12 · 45 replies
    National Journal ^ | February 27, 2015 | RONALD BROWNSTEIN
    After a well-received January appearance before a high-profile gathering of conservatives there, and several recent scraps with reporters, the new Quinnipiac University Poll put Walker, the Wisconsin governor, at 25 percent among likely participants in next year's Iowa Republican caucus. That total was nearly twice as much as the second-place finisher, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul who drew 13 percent. Former Arkansas Gov. and 2008 caucus winner Mike Huckabee (at 11 percent), fiery surgeon Ben Carson (also 11 percent), and former Florida Gov Jeb Bush (10 percent) were the only other candidates who attracted backing from more than five percent of...
  • Pre-CPAC Reader Poll Results

    02/25/2015 6:32:16 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 25 replies
    Legal Insurrection ^ | February 25, 2015 | Professor William A.Jacobson
    And the winner is … We had good participation in our Pre-CPAC Reader Poll, in which readers could pick up to 3 candidates. Of course it’s not a “scientific” poll, it’s a snapshot of the Legal Insurrection Readership at a moment in time — more towards the conservative, Tea Party, libertarian …. definitely not “establishment” (however you want to define that, you know it when you see it). There are two clear winners: Ted Cruz who edged out Scott Walker by a narrow margin, after a late surge, with Rand Paul a clear third. No one else was close. There...
  • Hot Air Primary Survey: February Results

    02/25/2015 1:35:11 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    Hot Air ^ | February 25, 2015 | Patrick Ishmael
    Scott Walker has pulled the trifecta again, winning the first choice, second choice and consensus choice survey questions. Walker won the first choice question with 58% of the vote, Ted Cruz came in second with 22%, and Rand Paul came in third with 5%. Top 10:(RESULTS-AT-LINK)
  • Carville’s remarks at Saint Leo are provocative, snappy

    02/25/2015 12:55:21 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    The Laker / Lutz News ^ | February 25, 2015 | Kathy Steele
    Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is almost certain to be the Democratic nominee for president in 2016, according to political strategist James Carville. Her chances of winning are “no worse than 50-50,” said Carville who was keynote speaker on the opening day of the sixth annual International Business Conference at Saint Leo University. This year’s conference theme was “Best Practices in Global Organizations.” Before an audience of about 200 people, Carville entertained with funny anecdotes and blunt remarks on the dysfunctions of national politics. The ‘ragin Cajun,” as he is sometimes called, was the Democratic strategist who led Bill...
  • Walker leads Bush But It Could Be Short-lived

    02/25/2015 6:17:00 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    News Talk Florida ^ | February 24, 2015 | James Williams
    Well former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has been ahead in most of the early polls of those seeking the 2016 Republican presidential nomination. But he has been passed by Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker who now takes his turn a top the latest polls. But that lead could change as back in Madison, Gov. Walker faces a battle over strong support from the voters and health care groups that he accept Medicaid Expansion money. According to the Congressional newspaper The Hill, Walker has been informed that Wisconsin could save $400 million over two years if state officials agree to expand Medicaid,...
  • CPAC: For Conservatives, It’s Burning Man Meets the Super Bowl

    02/24/2015 6:13:21 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    Newsweek ^ | February 24, 2015 | Matthew Cooper
    It’s an industry trade show like Comic-Con, but also a feel-good festival à la Burning Man. It’s got Super Bowlesque hoopla, and for activists on the right, the annual meeting is the get-together in Washington. Thousands of conservatives will gather Wednesday for the weeklong Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), where presidential hopefuls Jeb Bush, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz and others will try to woo their base in the lead-up to 2016. The event, long held at Washington’s Omni Shoreham Hotel, was moved by organizers to the recently built Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center in National Harbor, Maryland—a Democratic stronghold,...
  • Ted Cruz surges ahead of Rick Perry in Texas poll

    02/23/2015 10:58:10 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    The Politico ^ | February 23, 2015 | Nick Gass
    Sen. Ted Cruz leads a crowded field for the Republican presidential nomination in Texas, according to a new University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll released on Monday. Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker grabbed only 2 percent of the vote in the last such poll in October, but he has surged to a close second. Former Texas Gov. Rick Perry, whom 14 percent of Republican voters would have chosen in October, fell to fifth place in a wide-open field. Twenty percent of those surveyed went for Cruz, with Walker coming in with 19 percent. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and neurosurgeon Ben Carson...
  • Gov. Scott Walker’s newfound visibility has exaggerated impact

    02/22/2015 11:12:05 AM PST · by entropy12 · 26 replies
    WaPo ^ | Feb 21, 2015 | Dan Balz
    The rapid rise of Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker as a top-tier contender for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016 is one of the more surprising stories of the opening months of this year. Whether he was prepared for this sudden emergence is an open question.
  • Democrats Call for Focus on Narrative, White Voters After 2014 Losses

    02/21/2015 2:55:03 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    Time Magazine ^ | February 21, 2015 | Zeke J. Miller
    The party chair calls a new report "tough love" The Democratic Party’s autopsy of its devastating defeat in 2014 calls for a renewed focus on the party’s message and winning back white Southern voters. In preliminary findings unveiled Saturday at a meeting of the Democratic National Committee, a task force studied the party’s defeats in 2010 and 2014—despite its victories in the 2008 and 2012 presidential years. It called for the creation of a “National Narrative Project” to help the party develop a message that can survive in midterm election years. It called for the creation of a “National Narrative...
  • Pre-CPAC Reader Poll — Favorite Republican Candidates?

    02/20/2015 7:59:28 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    Legal Insurrection ^ | February 20, 2015 | Professor William A.Jacobson
    POLL HAS BEEN RESTARTED (NOON EASTERN, 2-20) BECAUSE OF MISTAKES IN THE ORIGINAL. PLEASE VOTE AGAIN IF YOU ALREADY DID SO. In my column yesterday at The Daily Caller, I asked: Will CPAC Thin Or Expand The Republican Presidential Herd? I gave a quick take on those I perceive as real, likely candidates, and how a CPAC appearance could help/hurt them: Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum, Rick Perry, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Scott Walker, Rand Paul, and Carly Fiorina. Here’s my take on Bobby Jindal: Bobby Jindal needs to show he’s not just a policy wonk, and can excite...
  • Hotline's GOP Presidential Power Rankings: Walker's Early Moment

    02/17/2015 2:16:06 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 5 replies
    National Journal ^ | February 17, 2015 | Staff
    Scott Walker climbs the rankings after a great start to the year, while Paul and Christie stumbled down the list.Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio and a surging Scott Walker top Hotline's new GOP Presidential Power Rankings – in part because they're that good, and in part because the competition has been so bad. If you're going to make mistakes in the presidential race, it's better to make them early. But Rand Paul and Chris Christie have stumbled so often they've slipped from the top-tier slots they occupied in the first round of the Power Rankings we released last month. Walker is...
  • Presidential politics: what to watch for in 2015

    02/17/2015 2:15:36 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    Powerline ^ | February 16, 2015 | Paul Mirengoff
    It’s far too early to guess intelligently about who will be elected president next year or whom the Republicans will nominate, but this doesn’t seem to be stopping many pundits. Fox News has its Special Report panels lay odds on the Republican field once a week. The Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza handicaps the Republican field once a week. And the Weekly Standard’s Steve Hayes has just produced an assessment of that field so exhaustive that it includes Donald Trump. Memories of eight years ago prevent me from joining in the fun. At this time in 2007, and for a considerable...
  • Will a Hillary coronation crown the GOP nominee too?

    02/16/2015 5:21:02 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    MSNBC ^ | February 16, 2015 | Benjy Sarlin and Alex Seitz-Wald
    The 2016 Republican presidential field is shaping up into a legendary free-for-all, with polls showing the race wide open and more candidates expressing interest by the day. Will it be Jeb Bush who consolidates establishment support? Can Rand Paul or Ted Cruz break through with a powerful grassroots coalition? Could Scott Walker thread the needle between both sides? What about Marco Rubio? And then there’s the Democratic side. Will it be Hillary Clinton who prevails? Or will – actually, you know what, it will probably just be Hillary Clinton. While the former secretary of state hasn’t even said whether she’ll...
  • Answering the Evolution Question

    02/15/2015 5:39:46 PM PST · by DWW1990 · 23 replies
    TrevorGrantThomas.com ^ | 2-15-15 | Trevor Thomas
    I tried to warn them. In addition, back in 2012, after Marco Rubio was asked about the age of the earth, I provided conservative politicians (and others interested) a primer for answering some of the “gotcha” questions that most every conservative running for political office in the U.S. will inevitably face. It seems that Scott Walker or his staff need to spend more time on my website, or on American Thinker (one of the top conservative websites in America). Byron York hopes Walker learned a valuable lesson. Silvio Canto at American Thinker doesn’t care what Scott Walker (or Hillary Clinton)...
  • Who's going to win Iowa and N.H.? Introducing The POLITICO Caucus (Might surprise you)

    02/13/2015 4:03:56 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    The Politico ^ | February 13, 2015 | James Hohmann and Kristen Heyford
    The Walker surge in Iowa, Hillary’s Obama problem and other news from Week One of our yearlong insiders’ survey from the ground in 2016’s first-in-the-nation races.Most Iowa insiders believe Scott Walker would win their state’s Republican caucuses if they were held this week. But they’re not this week, and virtually none of the most influential thought leaders in the Hawkeye State believe that the Wisconsin governor will sustain his recent bounce in polls. This is one of several intriguing findings in the debut survey of The POLITICO Caucus. More than 100 of the most plugged-in activists, operatives and elected officials...
  • Andrew Cline: Why Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is surging

    02/12/2015 11:14:53 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    The Manchester Union-Leader ^ | February 11, 2015 | Andrew Cline, editorial page editor
    Mitt Romney announced on Jan. 30 that he would not run for President in 2016, and immediately the commentariate ordained Jeb Bush the big winner. Bush was Romney’s heir, a thousand wagging tongues proclaimed. The donors would fall to him, and with them would go the Republican establishment, then the voters. The Republicans had a “frontrunner.” If there is a 2016 frontrunner for the GOP, he achieved that status six days before Romney’s announcement. On that day, Sat., Jan. 24, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker delivered a speech at the Iowa Freedom Summit in Des Moines, It vaulted him into the...
  • The manufacturing of the AstroTurf Jeb Bush campaign

    02/09/2015 11:35:12 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    The Arlington Examiner ^ | February 9, 2015 | Dean Chambers
    Potential president candidates like Ted Cruz, Scott Walker and Rand Paul have very real and substantial grass roots support across the country from voters in the Republican base. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush has very little support of that kind, so his well-funded and GOP establishment supported campaign is entirely made of “AstroTurf.” In this context, “AstroTurf” is a description of campaign efforts, almost entirely organized by paid staff and other methods secured by spending money rather inspiring volunteer activists, to gain support for a candidate or cause. The Republican establishment, who have quietly anointed Jeb Bush as their candidate,...
  • 2016 Election: Who’s Winning the T-Shirt Primary? (Hint: Two women)

    02/08/2015 2:46:42 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    The Wall Street Journal's Washington Wire ^ | February 5, 2015 | Reid J. Epstein and Brian McGill
    <p>The 2016 primary elections begin in just under a year, but the nation’s T-shirt primary is well underway — and Hillary Clinton and Sarah Palin are winning.</p> <p>Mrs. Clinton, who polls show is the runaway Democratic favorite for the party’s 2016 presidential nomination, and Mrs. Palin, the 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee, have sold more T-shirts, coffee mugs and buttons on the do-it-yourself CafePress website than any other would-be presidential candidate.</p>
  • NH Poll: Walker surges to top with Romney's exit; Bush second

    02/05/2015 4:11:52 PM PST · by entropy12 · 47 replies
    nh1.com ^ | Feb 4, 2015 1:00 AM | Paul Steinhauser
    Feb 4, 2015 1:00 AM NH1 Pulse Poll: Walker surges to top with Romney's exit; Bush second By: Paul SteinhauserNH1 Political Director - NH1.com CONCORD - New Hampshire may have a new front-runner in the race for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination. The first survey conducted in the first-in-the-nation primary state since Mitt Romney's exit from the 2016 White House race indicates that Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker leads the pack of potential Republican presidential contenders. According to an NH1 Pulse Poll released Wednesday, Walker has the backing of 21.2% of those who say they're likely to vote in next year's...
  • Bush, Walker in GOP ‘16 top tier, says new Sabato ranking

    02/05/2015 2:06:29 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    McClatchy DC ^ | February 5, 2015 | David Lightman
    Jeb Bush and Scott Walker are alone in the top tier of potential 2016 Republican presidential candidates in the latest Sabato Crystal Ball/University of Virginia Center for Politics rankings. Bush, the former Florida governor, appears to the overwhelming Republican establishment favorite now that 2012 presidential nominee Mitt Romney is not running. Walker, the governor of Wisconsin, did well at the January 24 Iowa Freedom Summit and is seen as having appeal to both mainstream and more conservative Republicans. Bush’s advantages include a built-in network of donors and supporters he inherits from his father and brother. But, the center noted, “Bush...
  • The GOP Elite Puts Its Foot Down: For 2016, only the strongest candidates need apply

    02/03/2015 3:25:31 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    Politico Magazine ^ | February 2, 2015 | Bill Scher, ultra progressive NGO writer
    Shots have been fired. The GOP herd is beginning to be culled. In less than a week, the establishment hounded Mitt Romney out, and the conservative movement wrote Sarah Palin out. The message from Republican insiders is clear: We cannot let our primary become another clown show. Meanwhile, the nascent Hillary Clinton campaign has signaled it wants to push back its planned entry from the spring to the summer. “If you have the luxury of time, you take it,” one Democratic insider told POLITICO. But these Republican moves indicate that she may not have that luxury. Here’s why. We already...
  • Picked Off: Jeb grabs top spot in 2016 Power Index

    02/02/2015 5:56:58 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 39 replies
    Fox News ^ | February 2, 2015 | Chris Stirewalt
    It wasn’t a goal-line interception, but it was a game changer. Just one week in to our Fox News First Power Index and we already have a major overhaul after frontrunner Mitt Romney’s unexpected departure. (Though his conditional statement to supporters left enough doubt to still be “on the radar” until he makes a more Shermanesque statement.) Not only did the frontrunner self-deport, but several second- and third-tier competitors showed surprising strength to make substantial strides. We would expect to see the field unsettled a year out from the first nominating contest, but as you’ll see below, the tumult is...
  • Fivethirtyeight Has Some Interesting Statistics on the GOP Field

    01/30/2015 7:09:38 AM PST · by lifeofgrace · 15 replies
    Charting Course ^ | 1/30/15 | Steve Berman
    “Exposing the obvious using statistics” may be the new slogan over at fivethirtyeight.com.  Harry Enten has written two pieces based on his analysis of Republican presidential hopefuls name recognition vs their favorability.  His conclusion?  That Chris Christie and Sarah Palin likely have no chance at the nomination.  Duh.  But their data is much more interesting—and useful—than that. Based on polls taken at this point in the race in presidential elections since 1980, the Manhattan cheeze-wizzes have plotted the candidates name recognition on the X axis and their net favorability rating on the Y axis. The trend line is telling.  I have to quote Motor Trend to really...
  • Looks Like We Have A "GOP TagTeam Battle".Romney&Bush VS Walker&Cruz.

    01/28/2015 4:01:45 PM PST · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 26 replies
    Let's just add this match-up to the next WWE Wrestlemania. Could this be the first time we have ever seen candidates already teaming up in pairs? Possibly making agreements where as if one wins, the other gets the VP Spot? This was brought up with Cruz and Paul last year. We pretty much assumed that was their agreement. But this week the Dark Horse has been making headlines. Most Conservatives approve and love Scott Walker, and most conservatives are also leaning towards Ted Cruz. So here we are one year before the Iowa Caucus and looks like we might already...
  • Rubio surges to second, just 3 points behind Romney

    01/23/2015 1:52:48 PM PST · by entropy12 · 42 replies
    Examiner ^ | January 23, 2015 | Paul Bedard
    Florida Sen. Marco Rubio’s apparent decision to speed up his entry into the growing field of 2016 Republican presidential primary challengers is coming at the perfect time, as a new poll out Friday shows him moving into second place behind repeat candidate Mitt Romney.
  • Hot Air Primary Survey Results: January 2015

    01/23/2015 1:43:10 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    Hot Air ^ | January 23, 2015 | Patrick Ishmael
    With 2735 votes counted, Scott Walker came out on top in this survey in more ways than one: he swept the first choice, second choice, and consensus pick votes. Ted Cruz is a close second, and Mitt Romney came in with a strong third place showing. Other than Ben Carson, no other candidate broke 5%. Rick Perry emerged as a strong second choice behind Walker and Cruz. The consensus choice top 5 belonged to Walker, Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Perry and Carson.Some notable issue votes are below. Over sixty percent of primary voters are at least somewhat satisfied with the field,...
  • What America thinks about potential presidential candidates

    01/08/2015 5:29:12 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    The Myrtle Beach Examiner ^ | January 8, 2015 | Jesse Broadt
    Hillary Clinton is still receiving the majority of attention among Democrats with regard to the presidential nominations, despite the fact that her chances of becoming Mrs. President are slim to none. However, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is still in the circle of limelight as well, although her chances are only marginally better than those of the former first lady. Republicans, on the other hand have a wide open field that includes candidates new and old alike. Interesting statistics Sixty-six percent of registered voters across all political parties believe Republicans should seek a fresh candidate for 2016, while 42 percent of...
  • Hotline's GOP Presidential Power Rankings: Bush and Rubio Have Early Lead

    01/04/2015 7:56:42 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 33 replies
    National Journal ^ | January 4, 2015 | Tim Alberta, Scott Bland, Shane Goldmacher, Josh Kraushaar, Alex Roarty and Adam Wollner
    From the first day of 2011, Mitt Romney was the favorite to win the 2012 Republican presidential primary campaign. No one else was even close. The 2016 outlook could not be more different. Offered the choice to bet on one single candidate to win the nomination versus the rest of the field, the choice would have to be "the field." For the first time in years, there is no one next in line. And without a former vice president or powerhouse former candidate looking likely to run, Republicans are shaping up to spend the next year and a half fighting...
  • 5 Presidential Candidates (This guy is all over the place)

    01/02/2015 5:47:43 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 5 replies
    The Huffington Post's The Blog ^ | January 2, 2015 | Bob Burnett
    Happy new year! Welcome to the start of the presidential campaign marathon. For your consideration are five likely candidates, each representing a distinct segment of the U.S. political spectrum. Republicans have three probable candidates. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush would represent the business conservative wing of the GOP -- Pew Research estimates this is 12 percent of likely voters. Bush would be the favorite of the big GOP spenders, the one percent that favors capitalism over democracy. Jeb's strengths are national name recognition, personable manner, Hispanic spouse, and reputation for moderation on social issues. His weaknesses: high unfavorability ratings and...
  • Federalist Poll Shows GOP Fracture: “REPUBLICAN” PRIMARY SITUATED ON FAMILIAR FAULT LINE …

    12/31/2014 12:08:44 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 23 replies
    FITS News ^ | December 31, 2014
    It’s happening again … and there doesn’t appear to be anything anyone can do to stop it. We’re referring, of course, to the quadrennial election of an American president – which has followed an eerily predictable pattern in 2008 and 2012. It’s gone like this: An “electable” status quo candidate with support from the left-leaning media and the “Republican” establishment gets swept to the GOP nomination – via Borg-like assimilation. At that point, the media shifts its narrative on a dime and begins perpetuating marginal distinctions between two eerily similar ideologues – hoping to portray the big government “Republican” nominee...
  • Early CNN GOP Polls Already.Jeb Bush Ahead?,Who Are They Polling?, Democrats?

    12/29/2014 4:46:44 PM PST · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 25 replies
    First Of All, Its A "CNN Poll". So already we can assume they probably did not call people in "Crucial Purple" States". Maybe the far left media is already working on their own version of "Operation Chaos"?.Making sure they keep Ted Cruz and Scott Walker out of the race and polls. As the media keeps bringing up the 2016 race and potential candidates, they seem to be focusing on Bush, Christie, Romney and Paul. And please! enough of the biased polls with GOP candidates against Hillary! We all know that most Conservative candidates will beat Hillary. Lets just wait till...
  • 2016 GOP primary goes off-script (In which she attacks Cruz and bolsters the RINOcracy)

    12/29/2014 4:01:35 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    The Washington Post's Right Turn Blog ^ | December 29, 2014 | Jennifer Rubin, Queen of the NeoCons
    Early presidential polls are not predictive of much, but they do reflect current sentiment. In that regard, the latest CNN/ORC poll should cause the punditocracy to rethink its take on the Republican race. For starters, at 6 percent and 4 percent respectively, Sens. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) and Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) are not front-runners, nor arguably even top-tier contenders. The media infatuation with Paul reflects, one suspects, their enchantment with his systemic criticism of the police and fondness for anti-interventionism. Neither is in keeping with dominant GOP opinion, so it should not be all that surprising that he has sunk in...
  • A 2015 New Year’s Presidential Resolution: Hang together-or be hung out to dry, once again, in 2016

    12/29/2014 3:53:57 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 48 replies
    The Federalist ^ | December 29, 2014 | David Corbin and Matt Parks
    Congratulations to Texas Senator Ted Cruz for winning the Federalist Today Presidential Straw Poll with 26% of the nearly one thousand votes cast. Placing a respectable second and third, Senator Rand Paul (22%) and Governor Scott Walker (16%) showed that they also have considerable support among the “lovers of freedom and anxious for the fray” Federalist faithful. The political insider would, undoubtedly, not be impressed. Good luck getting Senators Cruz or Paul elected President of the United States. Any such insurgent’s campaign will be undone by a press that favors Democrats, a bare-knuckles Republican establishment that favors milque-toast candidates, and...
  • Shock poll: Jeb Bush is choice of conservatives, Romney is establishment pick

    12/26/2014 11:20:36 AM PST · by entropy12 · 196 replies
    washington examiner ^ | 12/25/2014 | Paul Bedard
    In a new poll of likely Republican primary voters nationwide by Zogby Analytics, 2012 GOP nominee Romney leads the pack with 14%, followed by former Florida Governor Jeb Bush (12%), Kentucky Senator Rand Paul (10%), New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (8%), former Arkansas Governor and now Fox News Host Mike Huckabee (7%), Florida Senator Marco Rubio (7%), Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker (5%), Rep. and former Vice Presidential nominee Paul Ryan (4%), Texas Governor Rick Perry (4%), Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal (3%), Texas Senator Ted Cruz (3%), South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley (2%), former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum (1%), and both...
  • Bill DeBlasio. Another Inexperienced Democrat Elected For Sole Reason Of A "D" Next To His Name.

    12/24/2014 6:56:49 PM PST · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 16 replies
    You could make quite a lengthy list of Democrats and Liberals who were primarily elected because there was a "D" next to their name. Pretty much what we have seen in the last two presidential elections. He may as well join the club that elected Maxine Waters, Al Green & Alan Grayson. Is it safe to assume that over half of Manhattan are not exactly educated? And to think half of them were going to vote for Anthony Weiner? And we thought California was one of the dumbest states in the nation when it came to electing their leaders!
  • Don’t Take Ben Carson Seriously (Except In Iowa — Maybe)

    12/24/2014 10:37:30 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    FiveThirtyEight ^ | December 24, 2014 | Harry Enten
    “Who is Ben Carson? Where did he come from?” asked CNN’s Jake Tapper after a CNN poll revealed that Carson, a political novice, was running second to former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. Carson has also placed second in other national polls, second in Iowa surveys and in the high single digits in New Hampshire. So just how seriously should we take Carson’s potential bid for the White House? Seriously enough. He could make some noise, particularly in Iowa. But not seriously enough to believe that he has any real shot of winning...
  • The 2016 Republican primary is the biggest crap-shoot since at least 1988

    12/17/2014 4:44:31 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    The Washington Post's The Fix ^ | December 17, 2014 | Scott Clement
    Early national presidential primary polls are, at best, rough indicators of who will eventually become the party's standard-bearer. But the Republican primary field is especially scattered heading into the 2016 cycle, which is one reason why Jeb Bush's recent moves toward a candidacy are getting so much attention. In fact, the GOP field is more scattered at this stage in GOP primaries since at least 1987, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. The table below looks back at early Post-ABC surveys in the past five open Republican primary contests. A few findings help give a sense of just...
  • Another Obstacle For Jeb Bush.Lacking Of An Alluring Charisma.

    12/14/2014 6:53:28 PM PST · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 30 replies
    And who hasn't seen Jeb Bush over the last few months speaking to the media on either his views on current events or a possible run for President? He just comes off as rather dull. And a candidate's charisma/personality is generally the first aspect we look for in choosing a candidate. Jeb Bush would be the Vanilla Candidate if he chooses to run. We have not had a very entertaining President since Bill Clinton. And we also have not had anyone that would compare to Reagan as well.This time around we definitely have several candidates with intriguing personalities and would...
  • Columnist: attacks on guns and God, not racism, to blame for the demise of the Southern Democrat

    12/12/2014 7:11:01 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    Charleston City Paper's Haire Of The Dog Blog ^ | December 12, 2014 | Chris Haire
    In Timothy Carney's Dec. 9 article, the Washington Examiner senior political columnist makes the case that the conventional wisdom is wrong when it comes to why white Southerners have fled the Democratic Party. It's not because of the GOP's very successful Southern Strategy, which played up the racial fears and prejudices of white Southerners in response to an increasingly empowered black population. For Carney, the South no longer has a white Democrat in the U.S. Senate for two reasons and two reasons alone: the Democratic Party is hostile to guns and God, two things that every Southerner hold dear. Carney...
  • Clinton Will Need to Win Over the Black Voters That Landrieu Couldn't

    12/08/2014 3:29:35 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 19 replies
    National Journal ^ | December 7, 2014 | Alex Roarty
    The likely Democratic presidential nominee needs to duplicate, or at least come close to duplicating, Obama's performance among African-Americans. It's a tall task. Mary Landrieu lost her runoff race Saturday because President Obama isn't well-liked, national Democrats abandoned her, and, statewide, Louisiana pretty much only elects Republicans. But Democrats and their likely presidential nominee, Hillary Clinton, might squirm the most over her defeat for a different reason: The longtime senator couldn't get enough support from African-Americans. Like Landrieu, Clinton (or whoever becomes the party's standard-bearer) will try to win over black voters at the same rate Obama did in both...
  • Rand Paul wins AL.com's presidential poll and now, he's coming to Alabama: Today's political update

    12/04/2014 2:33:27 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    The Birmingham News ^ | December 4, 2014 | Leada Gore
    Alabama Republicans will host Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul at its winter dinner on Feb. 20. If a new AL.com poll is any indication, he will get more than a warm welcome. A recent AL.com poll puts Paul ahead of nine other leading contenders for the GOP presidential nomination. Paul garnered 43 percent of the vote, followed by Ted Cruz at 31 percent and Dr. Ben Carson at 14 percent. Of course, the poll is not scientific. And it's interesting to note the poll was shared widely among Paul supporters, showing up on sites such as dailypaul.com. Paul, a favorite among...
  • POLL: Who is Your First Choice for the 2016 GOP Nominee?

    12/03/2014 5:53:58 PM PST · by Windflier · 128 replies
    Patriot Action Network's Patriot Caucus is hosting a final 2014 poll to gauge the views of our members when it comes to 2016. We know it's early, but truth is some of these campaigns will likely begin kicking into gear the first quarter of 2015. With this in mind, please consider selecting your first pick for 2016 ....
  • 2016 Is No Democratic Slam Dunk

    12/01/2014 4:59:07 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 24 replies
    The Daily Beast ^ | December 1, 2014 | Lloyd Green
    Majorities disapprove of Obama’s immigration move and still see Democrats as being against them. And most Democrats still don’t get it.The Democrats’ upstairs-downstairs coalition is fraying. Just ask Sen. Chuck Schumer; he’ll tell you. Last week, Schumer announced that the Democrats had lost touch with Middle America, and that Barack Obama’s agenda was out of sync with middle-class needs and expectations. For Schumer—the third-ranking Senate Democrat and his caucus’s chief message-crafter—to go on the record like that, things must really be bad. Apparently, 2016 is not shaping up as a Democratic slam dunk. At the moment, the public’s discontent is...
  • ICYMI: Quinnipiac poll of 2016: Jeb Bush 14%, Chris Christie 11% and Ben Carson 9% (Baloney)

    11/29/2014 7:12:51 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 50 replies
    SaintPetersBlog ^ | November 29, 2014 | Phil Ammann
    Republican voters nationwide look towards 2012 presidential nominee Mitt Romney to get back in the game for 2016, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released Wednesday. Voters give the former Massachusetts governor the top rank at 19 percent in an early glimpse of the 2016 presidential race. Romney continues to insist he will not seek the White House for a third time. With Romney out of the race, however, former Gov. Jeb Bush leads with 14 percent, followed by New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie at 11 percent. Neurosurgeon Ben Carson, a conservative Tea Party favorite, gets 9 percent, while...
  • Carson, Jeb, Rand, Huckabee: Of 13 possible GOP presidential contenders in 2016, who's your pick?

    11/29/2014 12:44:18 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 159 replies
    The Huntsville Times ^ | November 29, 2014 | Leada Gore
    With the GOP poised to take over the Senate and strengthen its control of the House in January, all eyes are now turning to 2016's presidential race. And while Democrats have a single strong contender - paging Hillary Clinton - the Republican side remains up in the air. The Hill recently listed what 16 possible presidential contenders in what one strategist described as the "most open field we've ever seen." Here's the likely contenders in the class of 2016: First String Sen. Rand Paul (Ky.) - One of the most recognizable names in the field, Paul he's comfortable in front...
  • The 2016 spotlight turns to Texas (A March 1st primary?)

    11/28/2014 2:55:41 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 18 replies
    The Texas Tribune's TribTalk Blog ^ | November 28, 2014 | Jim Henson and Joshua Blank
    With the 2014 election now in the history books, the reality is that the 2016 campaign is upon us. And you can expect Texas to get more time in the spotlight now that the 2016 GOP presidential primary is a main attraction. Four candidates with direct or indirect connections to the Lone Star State are on most early lists of top potential candidates: Gov. Rick Perry, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz and two scions of families with strong Texas ties — U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, the son of former Texas Congressman (and frequent presidential aspirant) Ron Paul, and...
  • Somebody is going to win the White House in Election 2016

    11/28/2014 2:21:52 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 52 replies
    Politics Examiner Blog ^ | November 28, 2014 | James George
    Will it be Democrats or Republicans who have “national appeal”? Do any of these 13 Republicans have a chance? Jonathan Easley put them out there in an article in The Hill this morning just as the National Politics Examiner published a list of Democrats. See the story link below. Let’s analyze the Easley list. He begins by positioning what are identified as the “big three”: Paul, Christie, and Bush. As porkers go, Paul doesn’t have a chance as Christie and Bush win the weigh in. Bush’s heaviness is as much of a concern as Hillary’s age, maybe. Christie loses on...
  • Talking 2016 on the NR Post-Election Cruise...

    11/17/2014 6:32:55 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 7 replies
    The National Review's The Campaign Spot ^ | November 17, 2014 | Jim Geraghty.
    From the first post-cruise edition of the Morning Jolt… What (Some of) You Missed on the National Review Post-Election Cruise Beats a polar vortex, doesn’t it? A bit of 2016 talk from our recently-concluded cruise… Allen West pointed out you don’t often see two presidential candidates from the same state competing against each other for long – their bases of support among donors, activists, and volunteers usually overlap and they can’t sustain two candidates simultaneously. At this very early date, the potential Republican 2016 field includes two candidates from Florida (Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio), two from Texas (Ted Cruz...
  • A Top Political Analyst Thinks Marco Rubio Is The Leading GOP Candidate In 2016

    11/15/2014 9:38:08 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 25 replies
    Business Insider ^ | November 11, 2014 | Colin Campbell
    The chief political strategist of the research firm Potomac Research Group released a new handicapping of the 2016 Republican presidential primary contest on Tuesday morning, and he had a somewhat surprising front-runner: Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida. Though Rubio hasn't been generating as many headlines as many of his competitors, the strategist, Greg Valliere, argued he uniquely benefited from the 2014 Republican landslide. "He flew beneath the radar screen this fall, but actually Rubio campaigned aggressively for GOP candidates," Valliere said. "He has a head start on putting together a campaign organization, and has shown increasing gravitas on key issues;...