Polls (GOP Club)

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  • Poll: Clinton's Margin Narrows in Key Swing States

    03/31/2015 11:53:22 AM PDT · by entropy12 · 13 replies
    RealClearPolitics ^ | March 31, 2015 | Caitlin Huey-Burns
    Voters in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania question the former secretary of state’s trustworthiness and honesty, according to a new Quinnipiac University survey taken after the controversy surrounding Clinton’s use of a private email server for government communications. Her favorability ratings are down in all three states. Pennsylvania, a key state that has been elusive for Republicans recently, could be competitive this cycle, with Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul narrowly topping Clinton, 45 percent-44 percent. Clinton beats Bush by six percentage points, Walker by five and Rubio by four in the Keystone State.
  • Matt Mackowiak Talks About Ted Cruz Campaign [VIDEO]

    03/30/2015 10:38:27 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet
    KFYO-AM ^ | March 30, 2015 | Jody Smyers
    (AUDIO-AT-LINK)On Monday, The Chad Hasty Show was joined by GOP strategist Matt Mackowiak to recap the last week and weekend in state and national politics. Mackowiak talked about Ted Cruz’s announcement that he is running for president, and discussed standings of Cruz (R), Martin O’Malley (D), Hillary Clinton (D) and Elizabeth Warren (D). When asked how he thought Cruz’s campaign is going so far, Mackowiak replied, I think fairly well. Particularly the first two or three days, he earned a lot of media. Looks like he’s raised about three million dollars so far. He said he wanted to raise about...
  • Being first doesn't help, hurt Cruz

    03/28/2015 9:16:10 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    The Pittsburgh Tribune-Review ^ | March 28, 2015 | Eric Heyl
    John Zogby, founder of the Zogby Poll and the Zogby companies, is an internationally renowned pollster, author and political pundit. He spoke to the Trib regarding U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas becoming the first Republican candidate to officially announce a 2016 presidential bid. Q: Does Cruz benefit at all by being the first GOP candidate to be formally out of the gate? A: I don't think so, but it doesn't hurt him, either. He got the news cycle on a slow news day, so he took advantage of that and he got the announcement in his hometown newspaper first,...
  • Another"Place Your Bets"Poll:This Time,Betting On The GOP Ticket.

    03/28/2015 5:20:24 PM PDT · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 22 replies
    Last week we were betting $200.00 on all of the potential presidential candidates, this weekend lets see how we are visioning the GOP Ticket, or an "Any Combination"Ticket. At this point of the race, the leading four or five candidates are to no surprise and haven't changed much over the last six/seven months. So how many combinations are there among Cruz, Walker, Rubio and Paul? But will the winner select a "Wild Card Pick" for his V.P.? So pull out the "Crystal Ball" and Place Your Bets.
  • Humiliating Home State Poll Numbers For Jeb Bush As He Trails Hillary Clinton in Florida

    03/25/2015 2:51:20 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 55 replies
    PoliticusUSA - Real Liberal Politics ^ | March 25, 2015 | Keith Brekhus
    A Public Policy Polling (PPP) survey released on March 24, 2015, shows Hillary Clinton leading all Republican 2016 presidential contenders in the state of Florida. Her lead ranges from 2 percentage points over Florida Senator Marcio Rubio (48-46), to an 8 point margin over both Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker (49/41) and Texas Governor Rick Perry (50/42). Notably, neither Marco Rubio, nor former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, have a lead over Hillary Clinton in their home state. Clinton holds a 47-44 lead over Jeb Bush in the Sunshine State. Florida is the most populous competitive state in presidential elections. George W....
  • Cruz told Megyn Kelly that his 2012 race proves he can win 2016. It’s impossible to prove him wrong.

    03/25/2015 11:31:07 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 2 replies
    The Washington Post's The Fix Blog ^ | March 25, 2015 | Chris Cillizza
    (VIDEO-AT-LINK)Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) had a simple response to Fox News Channel's Megyn Kelly when she asked him whether he could win the presidency: Look at 2012. That was the year in which Cruz, then Texas's solicitor general, was elected to the Senate. “We brought together conservatives and libertarians and evangelicals and women and young people and Hispanics and Reagan Democrats,” Cruz said of that race. To which I say: Who knows? The reason for the uncertainty is that there was no exit poll in 2012 in Texas. It was one of 19 states where the broadcast networks and the...
  • What to make of Ted Cruz?

    03/23/2015 10:23:40 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    The Charlotte Observer ^ | March 23, 2015 | Peter St. Onge
    The horse race for 2016 is several months old now, so it might surprise you that no presidential candidate left the gate before today. That changes with Republican Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas declaring for the presidency later today in a speech at Liberty University. He made it official this morning...
  • Does Cruz have a path to the nomination?

    03/23/2015 5:09:55 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 73 replies
    Hot Air ^ | March 23, 2015 | Allahpundit
    He sure does, says Team Cruz. But the key to victory, Cruz advisers believe, is to be the second choice of enough voters in the party’s libertarian and social conservative wings to cobble together a coalition to defeat the chosen candidate of the Republican establishment… To them, the Republican primaries are a series of single-elimination brackets where the four GOP leaders who best represent the party’s libertarian, establishment, social conservative and tea party wings will survive as the field winnows. Cruz will vie for the support of the tea party electorate, his advisers say, but will fare well enough with...
  • Why Ted Cruz Is Such a Long Shot

    03/23/2015 10:06:17 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 64 replies
    The New York Times' The Upshot ^ | March 23, 2015 | Nate Cohn
    In nearly every presidential primary, a few candidates attract a lot of news media attention even though they have almost no chance to win the nomination. Sometimes they even lead national polls or win states, but invariably their appeal is too narrow to allow them to build the broad coalition necessary to unite a diverse party. Ted Cruz, the Texas senator and Tea Party favorite, who on Monday became the first major candidate to formally enter the race, has seemingly been on track for this role since he first ran for the Senate in 2012. He is the darling of...
  • Rubio Doesn't Scare Or Annoy Liberals, So Of Course He's Low In The Polls

    03/21/2015 10:06:33 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 27 replies
    Crooks and Liars ^ | March 21, 2015 | Steve M.
    Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report is somewhat baffled. A recent NBC/Wall Street Journal poll gave Republican voters a list of potential presidential candidates and asked whether the voters could support each candidate in the primaries. On that measure, Marco Rubio finished first. And yet when pollsters have asked GOP voters to name a top pick, Rubio inevitably finishes far from the top. Why is that? And why is Scott Walker doing better? Walter writes: Yet, if Rubio’s got such obvious advantages, why is he stuck in the low single digits while Walker has become a “co-frontrunner” with Bush?...
  • Just For Fun,Place Your Bets On 2016 Race As They Do On Fox Special Report.

    03/20/2015 7:11:38 PM PDT · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 31 replies
    For those of you who watch Bret Baier every night on Fox,lately he has been asking his panel of "All Stars" to place their evening bets on the GOP and sometimes the Democrat race. Instead of betting $100.00, lets up it to $200.00 and bet on the 5 to 7 candidates for President. Odds are Cruz,Walker and Rubio will get most of the money and Hillary in the lower tier.Feel free to throw in O'Malley,Warren,Biden,Christie etc.
  • Scott Walker makes 2016 South Carolina debut

    03/19/2015 6:22:17 PM PDT · by entropy12 · 41 replies
    Politico ^ | 3/19/2015 | James Hohmann
    COLUMBIA, S.C.—On his inaugural trip to South Carolina as a presidential candidate, Scott Walker is trying hard to show that he shares the cultural values – and tastes – of the region that serves as the heart of the modern Republican Party. He even started peppering his stump speech with some “y’all”s for the occasion. Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/03/scott-walker-makes-2016-south-carolina-debut-116246.html#ixzz3Usutrtiw
  • Early line: 3-man race for 2016 GOP nomination (GOP-e. I could just faint)

    03/19/2015 5:01:59 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    The Bellingham Herald | March 19, 2015 | David Lightman, McClatchy Washington Bureau
    Link only due to copyright issues: http://www.bellinghamherald.com/2015/03/19/4195411/early-line-3-man-race-for-2016.html
  • Why the Rush to Jump on a Bandwagon in the 2016 Field?

    03/18/2015 6:22:03 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    The National Review's Campaign Spot ^ | March 18, 2015 | Jim Geraghty
    From the Morning Jolt: Why the Rush to Pick a Favorite in the 2016 Field? Breitbart.com’s Matt Boyle goes in to overdrive, insisting that Scott Walker is ensnared in a massive, race-changing scandal because his newly-hired strategist, Liz Mair, has… er, dual citizenship.* (Hey, if that’s a big deal, what about Ted Cruz’s former dual-citizenship status? What, is the senator some sleeper agent for the poutine menace? “The Manitoban Candidate”?) This morning, Liz Mair departed Scott Walker’s campaign – presumably not because of her dual-citizenship status than from the vocal whining from Iowa Republican Party officials over her previous mockery...
  • OK, fine: Here’s the 2016 election if it were an NCAA bracket

    03/16/2015 8:37:17 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    The Washington Post's The Fix Blog ^ | March 16, 2015 | Philip Bump
    It is March, as you know, which means that media outlets such as ours use interest in the upcoming NCAA college basketball tournament as an excuse to develop imaginary brackets of other important contests. In part, this is because we are not bound by the stupid rules that govern advertisers, so we can refer to the Final Four™ without having to pay money to the NCAA (which, we assume, then gets distributed among the players or something). In fact, we can write Final Four™ without the trademark if we want. Final Four. Final Four. Pretty great. But, in part, this...
  • Wait… so now Rubio is the frontrunner?

    03/15/2015 12:10:23 PM PDT · by entropy12 · 10 replies
    Hotair ^ | MARCH 15, 2015 | JAZZ SHAW
  • Hot Air Poll: Walker Is By Far The Early Favorite (Walker 48%, Cruz 28%, all others single digits)

    03/15/2015 2:11:19 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    Townhall ^ | March 14, 2015 | Daniel Doherty
    Our friends over at Hot Air have conducted a 2016 Republican primary poll and the results are instructive, if not earth-shattering. And yet you’re probably wondering to yourselves why the hell is he blogging about this. I’ll tell you why: Because polls such as these survey a specific kind of audience. That is to say, I suspect most people who regularly read Hot Air (and care enough to participate in their surveys) represent the base of the party. They strike me as informed, conservative Republicans who can give us greater insight into who the most popular and likable conservative candidates...
  • Jeb: amnesty is the “grown up plan” for immigration reform

    03/14/2015 3:43:10 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    Hot Air ^ | March 14, 2015 | Jazz Shaw
    You have to give a certain amount of credit to politicians who are able to maintain a level of consistency, if nothing else. Stopping in New Hampshire, Jeb Bush was faced with yet another series of questions on the subject which seems to have sunk his prospects with conservatives this cycle. When asked yet again about a possible path to citizenship for illegals and a chance to “come out of the shadows” in an orderly fashion, Bush doubled down and let all of you haters out there know that he’s the grown up in the room here. Jeb Bush said...
  • Clinton leads Walker in Wisconsin poll

    03/12/2015 12:05:43 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    Wisconsin Gazette ^ | March 11, 2015 | Staff
    Public Policy Polling's most recent Wisconsin poll — released on March 10 — shows Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker with increased enthusiasm among Republicans in the state for his White House bid. But Walker trails well behind Hillary Clinton in a potential general election contest for the presidency. PPP's poll of Wisconsin voters found 35 percent in the state want Walker to run for president, compared to 58 percent who don't think he should run. The poll also shows that Walker's approval numbers have dipped over the past few months. Before the midterm election in November 2014, his approval spread was...
  • Conservative Activists: Scott Walker Has Best Shot at Beating Hillary Clinton

    03/09/2015 5:37:31 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 61 replies
    National Journal ^ | March 9, 2015 | Shane Goldmacher
    A new survey of conservative activists shows many in the movement see Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker as the strongest Republican to take on Hillary Clinton in 2016. The survey wasn't scientific. But conservative activist group ForAmerica surveyed almost 10,000 of its Facebook members and more than 32 percent said Walker has the "best shot at beating Hillary Clinton" in the field, according to results shared first with National Journal. Ben Carson, a neurosurgeon who has never held elected office, finished in second, with nearly 25 percent of the vote. Sen. Ted Cruz (14 percent), Sen. Rand Paul (6.6 percent) and...
  • The Early Betting Lines for 2016: What the nation’s top horse race looks like now.

    03/06/2015 11:24:54 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 36 replies
    National Journal ^ | March 7, 2015 | Charlie Cook
    A question I often am asked is: "Who would you bet on to win the presidency?" Personally, I don't bet on politics, but here's my current take on the 2016 presidential race—with, of course, the caveat that we don't know which campaigns will turn out the best in terms of organization, strategy, tactics, or execution, much less which candidates will step on land mines along the way. The Democratic nomination appears fairly straightforward. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is now the prohibitive favorite. If her early stumbles during her book tour, or remarks like the one she made about...
  • Is Scott Walker the GOP's Barack Obama?

    03/05/2015 9:46:51 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 29 replies
    The Cook Political Report ^ | March 4, 2015 | Amy Walter
    Scott Walker in 2015 is a lot like Barack Obama circa 2007; he’s relatively unknown and yet well-known at the same time. Obama’s speech at the DNC in 2004 propelled him to rock-star status among the Democratic faithful, while Walker’s victory over the public sector labor unions in 2011 made him a legend among conservatives. The Wisconsin Governor begins this campaign as a vessel into which voters can pour their hopes and aspirations. The question now is whether the idea of Walker can match up with the reality of Walker. At the annual Club for Growth conference in Florida this...
  • Ben Carson’s Gay-Making Prisons, & the Insurgent/Petulant/Crusader Split...

    03/04/2015 8:26:10 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 32 replies
    Reason Magazine's Hit & Run Blog ^ | March 4, 2015 | Matt Welch, editor-in-chief
    Why not all 'outsiders' are built the same, and how that might benefit Ted Cruz.Today the neurosurgeon Ben Carson is coming under political fire, including from conservatives, for giving this answer to a CNN question about whether being gay is a choice: Absolutely. Because a lot of people who go into prison go into prison straight -- and when they come out, they're gay. So, did something happen while they were in there? Ask yourself that question[.] Uh, let's not and say we did? First of all, I think the correct answer to that question, from any presidential candidate, is...
  • Paul Wins CPAC Straw Poll; Cruz Finishes Third

    02/28/2015 3:18:54 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 89 replies
    The Texas Tribune ^ | February 28, 2015 | Abby Livingston
    U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky won the Conservative Political Action Conference straw poll Saturday, his third victory in as many years. This year he carried 26 percent of the vote. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz placed third, with 11.5 percent, while former Gov. Rick Perry came in eleventh, with 1.1 percent. Both Paul and Cruz openly campaigned at the event. Cruz volunteers distributed custom-made buttons that said "Cruz Crew." Perry had a smaller get-out-the-vote operation at the conference. The contest comes after three days of speeches from presidential contenders and noteworthy conservative activists. On Thursday, Cruz touted his battles within...
  • In Early Polling, Walker Stands Apart

    02/27/2015 3:47:14 PM PST · by entropy12 · 45 replies
    National Journal ^ | February 27, 2015 | RONALD BROWNSTEIN
    After a well-received January appearance before a high-profile gathering of conservatives there, and several recent scraps with reporters, the new Quinnipiac University Poll put Walker, the Wisconsin governor, at 25 percent among likely participants in next year's Iowa Republican caucus. That total was nearly twice as much as the second-place finisher, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul who drew 13 percent. Former Arkansas Gov. and 2008 caucus winner Mike Huckabee (at 11 percent), fiery surgeon Ben Carson (also 11 percent), and former Florida Gov Jeb Bush (10 percent) were the only other candidates who attracted backing from more than five percent of...
  • Pre-CPAC Reader Poll Results

    02/25/2015 6:32:16 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 25 replies
    Legal Insurrection ^ | February 25, 2015 | Professor William A.Jacobson
    And the winner is … We had good participation in our Pre-CPAC Reader Poll, in which readers could pick up to 3 candidates. Of course it’s not a “scientific” poll, it’s a snapshot of the Legal Insurrection Readership at a moment in time — more towards the conservative, Tea Party, libertarian …. definitely not “establishment” (however you want to define that, you know it when you see it). There are two clear winners: Ted Cruz who edged out Scott Walker by a narrow margin, after a late surge, with Rand Paul a clear third. No one else was close. There...
  • Hot Air Primary Survey: February Results

    02/25/2015 1:35:11 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    Hot Air ^ | February 25, 2015 | Patrick Ishmael
    Scott Walker has pulled the trifecta again, winning the first choice, second choice and consensus choice survey questions. Walker won the first choice question with 58% of the vote, Ted Cruz came in second with 22%, and Rand Paul came in third with 5%. Top 10:(RESULTS-AT-LINK)
  • Carville’s remarks at Saint Leo are provocative, snappy

    02/25/2015 12:55:21 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 12 replies
    The Laker / Lutz News ^ | February 25, 2015 | Kathy Steele
    Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is almost certain to be the Democratic nominee for president in 2016, according to political strategist James Carville. Her chances of winning are “no worse than 50-50,” said Carville who was keynote speaker on the opening day of the sixth annual International Business Conference at Saint Leo University. This year’s conference theme was “Best Practices in Global Organizations.” Before an audience of about 200 people, Carville entertained with funny anecdotes and blunt remarks on the dysfunctions of national politics. The ‘ragin Cajun,” as he is sometimes called, was the Democratic strategist who led Bill...
  • Walker leads Bush But It Could Be Short-lived

    02/25/2015 6:17:00 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    News Talk Florida ^ | February 24, 2015 | James Williams
    Well former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has been ahead in most of the early polls of those seeking the 2016 Republican presidential nomination. But he has been passed by Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker who now takes his turn a top the latest polls. But that lead could change as back in Madison, Gov. Walker faces a battle over strong support from the voters and health care groups that he accept Medicaid Expansion money. According to the Congressional newspaper The Hill, Walker has been informed that Wisconsin could save $400 million over two years if state officials agree to expand Medicaid,...
  • CPAC: For Conservatives, It’s Burning Man Meets the Super Bowl

    02/24/2015 6:13:21 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    Newsweek ^ | February 24, 2015 | Matthew Cooper
    It’s an industry trade show like Comic-Con, but also a feel-good festival à la Burning Man. It’s got Super Bowlesque hoopla, and for activists on the right, the annual meeting is the get-together in Washington. Thousands of conservatives will gather Wednesday for the weeklong Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), where presidential hopefuls Jeb Bush, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz and others will try to woo their base in the lead-up to 2016. The event, long held at Washington’s Omni Shoreham Hotel, was moved by organizers to the recently built Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center in National Harbor, Maryland—a Democratic stronghold,...
  • Ted Cruz surges ahead of Rick Perry in Texas poll

    02/23/2015 10:58:10 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    The Politico ^ | February 23, 2015 | Nick Gass
    Sen. Ted Cruz leads a crowded field for the Republican presidential nomination in Texas, according to a new University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll released on Monday. Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker grabbed only 2 percent of the vote in the last such poll in October, but he has surged to a close second. Former Texas Gov. Rick Perry, whom 14 percent of Republican voters would have chosen in October, fell to fifth place in a wide-open field. Twenty percent of those surveyed went for Cruz, with Walker coming in with 19 percent. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and neurosurgeon Ben Carson...
  • Gov. Scott Walker’s newfound visibility has exaggerated impact

    02/22/2015 11:12:05 AM PST · by entropy12 · 26 replies
    WaPo ^ | Feb 21, 2015 | Dan Balz
    The rapid rise of Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker as a top-tier contender for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016 is one of the more surprising stories of the opening months of this year. Whether he was prepared for this sudden emergence is an open question.
  • Democrats Call for Focus on Narrative, White Voters After 2014 Losses

    02/21/2015 2:55:03 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    Time Magazine ^ | February 21, 2015 | Zeke J. Miller
    The party chair calls a new report "tough love" The Democratic Party’s autopsy of its devastating defeat in 2014 calls for a renewed focus on the party’s message and winning back white Southern voters. In preliminary findings unveiled Saturday at a meeting of the Democratic National Committee, a task force studied the party’s defeats in 2010 and 2014—despite its victories in the 2008 and 2012 presidential years. It called for the creation of a “National Narrative Project” to help the party develop a message that can survive in midterm election years. It called for the creation of a “National Narrative...
  • Pre-CPAC Reader Poll — Favorite Republican Candidates?

    02/20/2015 7:59:28 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    Legal Insurrection ^ | February 20, 2015 | Professor William A.Jacobson
    POLL HAS BEEN RESTARTED (NOON EASTERN, 2-20) BECAUSE OF MISTAKES IN THE ORIGINAL. PLEASE VOTE AGAIN IF YOU ALREADY DID SO. In my column yesterday at The Daily Caller, I asked: Will CPAC Thin Or Expand The Republican Presidential Herd? I gave a quick take on those I perceive as real, likely candidates, and how a CPAC appearance could help/hurt them: Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum, Rick Perry, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Scott Walker, Rand Paul, and Carly Fiorina. Here’s my take on Bobby Jindal: Bobby Jindal needs to show he’s not just a policy wonk, and can excite...
  • Hotline's GOP Presidential Power Rankings: Walker's Early Moment

    02/17/2015 2:16:06 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 5 replies
    National Journal ^ | February 17, 2015 | Staff
    Scott Walker climbs the rankings after a great start to the year, while Paul and Christie stumbled down the list.Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio and a surging Scott Walker top Hotline's new GOP Presidential Power Rankings – in part because they're that good, and in part because the competition has been so bad. If you're going to make mistakes in the presidential race, it's better to make them early. But Rand Paul and Chris Christie have stumbled so often they've slipped from the top-tier slots they occupied in the first round of the Power Rankings we released last month. Walker is...
  • Presidential politics: what to watch for in 2015

    02/17/2015 2:15:36 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    Powerline ^ | February 16, 2015 | Paul Mirengoff
    It’s far too early to guess intelligently about who will be elected president next year or whom the Republicans will nominate, but this doesn’t seem to be stopping many pundits. Fox News has its Special Report panels lay odds on the Republican field once a week. The Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza handicaps the Republican field once a week. And the Weekly Standard’s Steve Hayes has just produced an assessment of that field so exhaustive that it includes Donald Trump. Memories of eight years ago prevent me from joining in the fun. At this time in 2007, and for a considerable...
  • Will a Hillary coronation crown the GOP nominee too?

    02/16/2015 5:21:02 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    MSNBC ^ | February 16, 2015 | Benjy Sarlin and Alex Seitz-Wald
    The 2016 Republican presidential field is shaping up into a legendary free-for-all, with polls showing the race wide open and more candidates expressing interest by the day. Will it be Jeb Bush who consolidates establishment support? Can Rand Paul or Ted Cruz break through with a powerful grassroots coalition? Could Scott Walker thread the needle between both sides? What about Marco Rubio? And then there’s the Democratic side. Will it be Hillary Clinton who prevails? Or will – actually, you know what, it will probably just be Hillary Clinton. While the former secretary of state hasn’t even said whether she’ll...
  • Answering the Evolution Question

    02/15/2015 5:39:46 PM PST · by DWW1990 · 23 replies
    TrevorGrantThomas.com ^ | 2-15-15 | Trevor Thomas
    I tried to warn them. In addition, back in 2012, after Marco Rubio was asked about the age of the earth, I provided conservative politicians (and others interested) a primer for answering some of the “gotcha” questions that most every conservative running for political office in the U.S. will inevitably face. It seems that Scott Walker or his staff need to spend more time on my website, or on American Thinker (one of the top conservative websites in America). Byron York hopes Walker learned a valuable lesson. Silvio Canto at American Thinker doesn’t care what Scott Walker (or Hillary Clinton)...
  • Who's going to win Iowa and N.H.? Introducing The POLITICO Caucus (Might surprise you)

    02/13/2015 4:03:56 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    The Politico ^ | February 13, 2015 | James Hohmann and Kristen Heyford
    The Walker surge in Iowa, Hillary’s Obama problem and other news from Week One of our yearlong insiders’ survey from the ground in 2016’s first-in-the-nation races.Most Iowa insiders believe Scott Walker would win their state’s Republican caucuses if they were held this week. But they’re not this week, and virtually none of the most influential thought leaders in the Hawkeye State believe that the Wisconsin governor will sustain his recent bounce in polls. This is one of several intriguing findings in the debut survey of The POLITICO Caucus. More than 100 of the most plugged-in activists, operatives and elected officials...
  • Andrew Cline: Why Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is surging

    02/12/2015 11:14:53 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    The Manchester Union-Leader ^ | February 11, 2015 | Andrew Cline, editorial page editor
    Mitt Romney announced on Jan. 30 that he would not run for President in 2016, and immediately the commentariate ordained Jeb Bush the big winner. Bush was Romney’s heir, a thousand wagging tongues proclaimed. The donors would fall to him, and with them would go the Republican establishment, then the voters. The Republicans had a “frontrunner.” If there is a 2016 frontrunner for the GOP, he achieved that status six days before Romney’s announcement. On that day, Sat., Jan. 24, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker delivered a speech at the Iowa Freedom Summit in Des Moines, It vaulted him into the...
  • The manufacturing of the AstroTurf Jeb Bush campaign

    02/09/2015 11:35:12 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    The Arlington Examiner ^ | February 9, 2015 | Dean Chambers
    Potential president candidates like Ted Cruz, Scott Walker and Rand Paul have very real and substantial grass roots support across the country from voters in the Republican base. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush has very little support of that kind, so his well-funded and GOP establishment supported campaign is entirely made of “AstroTurf.” In this context, “AstroTurf” is a description of campaign efforts, almost entirely organized by paid staff and other methods secured by spending money rather inspiring volunteer activists, to gain support for a candidate or cause. The Republican establishment, who have quietly anointed Jeb Bush as their candidate,...
  • 2016 Election: Who’s Winning the T-Shirt Primary? (Hint: Two women)

    02/08/2015 2:46:42 AM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    The Wall Street Journal's Washington Wire ^ | February 5, 2015 | Reid J. Epstein and Brian McGill
    <p>The 2016 primary elections begin in just under a year, but the nation’s T-shirt primary is well underway — and Hillary Clinton and Sarah Palin are winning.</p> <p>Mrs. Clinton, who polls show is the runaway Democratic favorite for the party’s 2016 presidential nomination, and Mrs. Palin, the 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee, have sold more T-shirts, coffee mugs and buttons on the do-it-yourself CafePress website than any other would-be presidential candidate.</p>
  • NH Poll: Walker surges to top with Romney's exit; Bush second

    02/05/2015 4:11:52 PM PST · by entropy12 · 47 replies
    nh1.com ^ | Feb 4, 2015 1:00 AM | Paul Steinhauser
    Feb 4, 2015 1:00 AM NH1 Pulse Poll: Walker surges to top with Romney's exit; Bush second By: Paul SteinhauserNH1 Political Director - NH1.com CONCORD - New Hampshire may have a new front-runner in the race for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination. The first survey conducted in the first-in-the-nation primary state since Mitt Romney's exit from the 2016 White House race indicates that Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker leads the pack of potential Republican presidential contenders. According to an NH1 Pulse Poll released Wednesday, Walker has the backing of 21.2% of those who say they're likely to vote in next year's...
  • Bush, Walker in GOP ‘16 top tier, says new Sabato ranking

    02/05/2015 2:06:29 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    McClatchy DC ^ | February 5, 2015 | David Lightman
    Jeb Bush and Scott Walker are alone in the top tier of potential 2016 Republican presidential candidates in the latest Sabato Crystal Ball/University of Virginia Center for Politics rankings. Bush, the former Florida governor, appears to the overwhelming Republican establishment favorite now that 2012 presidential nominee Mitt Romney is not running. Walker, the governor of Wisconsin, did well at the January 24 Iowa Freedom Summit and is seen as having appeal to both mainstream and more conservative Republicans. Bush’s advantages include a built-in network of donors and supporters he inherits from his father and brother. But, the center noted, “Bush...
  • The GOP Elite Puts Its Foot Down: For 2016, only the strongest candidates need apply

    02/03/2015 3:25:31 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    Politico Magazine ^ | February 2, 2015 | Bill Scher, ultra progressive NGO writer
    Shots have been fired. The GOP herd is beginning to be culled. In less than a week, the establishment hounded Mitt Romney out, and the conservative movement wrote Sarah Palin out. The message from Republican insiders is clear: We cannot let our primary become another clown show. Meanwhile, the nascent Hillary Clinton campaign has signaled it wants to push back its planned entry from the spring to the summer. “If you have the luxury of time, you take it,” one Democratic insider told POLITICO. But these Republican moves indicate that she may not have that luxury. Here’s why. We already...
  • Picked Off: Jeb grabs top spot in 2016 Power Index

    02/02/2015 5:56:58 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 39 replies
    Fox News ^ | February 2, 2015 | Chris Stirewalt
    It wasn’t a goal-line interception, but it was a game changer. Just one week in to our Fox News First Power Index and we already have a major overhaul after frontrunner Mitt Romney’s unexpected departure. (Though his conditional statement to supporters left enough doubt to still be “on the radar” until he makes a more Shermanesque statement.) Not only did the frontrunner self-deport, but several second- and third-tier competitors showed surprising strength to make substantial strides. We would expect to see the field unsettled a year out from the first nominating contest, but as you’ll see below, the tumult is...
  • Fivethirtyeight Has Some Interesting Statistics on the GOP Field

    01/30/2015 7:09:38 AM PST · by lifeofgrace · 15 replies
    Charting Course ^ | 1/30/15 | Steve Berman
    “Exposing the obvious using statistics” may be the new slogan over at fivethirtyeight.com.  Harry Enten has written two pieces based on his analysis of Republican presidential hopefuls name recognition vs their favorability.  His conclusion?  That Chris Christie and Sarah Palin likely have no chance at the nomination.  Duh.  But their data is much more interesting—and useful—than that. Based on polls taken at this point in the race in presidential elections since 1980, the Manhattan cheeze-wizzes have plotted the candidates name recognition on the X axis and their net favorability rating on the Y axis. The trend line is telling.  I have to quote Motor Trend to really...
  • Looks Like We Have A "GOP TagTeam Battle".Romney&Bush VS Walker&Cruz.

    01/28/2015 4:01:45 PM PST · by Cruz_West_Paul2016 · 26 replies
    Let's just add this match-up to the next WWE Wrestlemania. Could this be the first time we have ever seen candidates already teaming up in pairs? Possibly making agreements where as if one wins, the other gets the VP Spot? This was brought up with Cruz and Paul last year. We pretty much assumed that was their agreement. But this week the Dark Horse has been making headlines. Most Conservatives approve and love Scott Walker, and most conservatives are also leaning towards Ted Cruz. So here we are one year before the Iowa Caucus and looks like we might already...
  • Rubio surges to second, just 3 points behind Romney

    01/23/2015 1:52:48 PM PST · by entropy12 · 42 replies
    Examiner ^ | January 23, 2015 | Paul Bedard
    Florida Sen. Marco Rubio’s apparent decision to speed up his entry into the growing field of 2016 Republican presidential primary challengers is coming at the perfect time, as a new poll out Friday shows him moving into second place behind repeat candidate Mitt Romney.
  • Hot Air Primary Survey Results: January 2015

    01/23/2015 1:43:10 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    Hot Air ^ | January 23, 2015 | Patrick Ishmael
    With 2735 votes counted, Scott Walker came out on top in this survey in more ways than one: he swept the first choice, second choice, and consensus pick votes. Ted Cruz is a close second, and Mitt Romney came in with a strong third place showing. Other than Ben Carson, no other candidate broke 5%. Rick Perry emerged as a strong second choice behind Walker and Cruz. The consensus choice top 5 belonged to Walker, Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Perry and Carson.Some notable issue votes are below. Over sixty percent of primary voters are at least somewhat satisfied with the field,...