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Polls (GOP Club)

Brevity: Headers | « Text »
  • Why Do"Democrat Strategists"Always Gloat That Hillary Is Way Ahead Of Trump On Live TV?

    08/27/2016 3:58:45 PM PDT · by TrumpTrain_VS_TheClintonToilet · 40 replies
    And this has been going on especially over these last few weeks as the race has been tightening.It seems that when we watch any program on Fox News,the Republican commentator always tells us the truth/real facts on current polling,and when they bring on a Democrat commentator, he/she just can't wait to say that Hillary has a 10/15 point lead nationally.Is that what they are saying on MSNBC/CNN? Well if Hillary has a commanding lead in the polls,then why is she all of a sudden calling Trump a racist?
  • Trump Rebounds in Presidential Tracking Poll; Johnson Hits New High

    08/27/2016 1:12:45 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 29 replies
    People's Pundit Daily ^ | August 27, 2016 | Richard D. Baris
    epublican Donald Trump rebounded last week against Democrat Hillary Clinton, while support for Libertarian Gov. Gary Johnson hit a new high and Dr. Jill Stein collapsed. The People’s Pundit Daily U.S. Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll finds Mrs. Clinton holds a slight 1.3 percentage point lead over Mr. Trump, 42.1% to 40.8%, with Gov. Johnson at 10.6% and Dr. Stein at 2.6%. This marks the highest level of support ever measured for Gov. Johnson by the PPD Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll and, though it’s not the lowest ever measured for Dr. Stein, the Green Party candidate hasn’t fallen below...
  • Poll Truther Movement: Is Trump Secretly Winning Behind Wave of Silent Support?

    08/27/2016 12:45:41 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    Sputnik News ^ | August 27, 2016
    Donald Trump’s campaign manager Kellyanne Conway was blasted this week for suggesting that the Republican is doing better than polls suggest. She may be right, but not for the reason she thinks. The leading discussion among the political punditry over the last week, besides the hysterical conspiracy theory that Vladimir Putin is somehow behind an elaborate scheme to undermine Hillary Clinton, has been around what is known as the "Bradley effect" – that controversial political candidates tend to poll worse than they actually perform on election day. The concept was bizarrely confirmed by the Washington Post’s Philip Bump in his...
  • Clinton laughs at upcoming release of new emails

    Clinton laughs at upcoming release of new emails- WHAT DOES THIS MEAN
  • The Monday Poll: Weigh in on Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump and their latest accusations

    08/26/2016 11:23:15 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    The Kansas City Star ^ | August 26, 2016 | The Editorial Board
    Presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have been busy hurling accusations at each other in recent days. The Monday Poll would like to get your responses to the following statements. Mobile users go here. Results will be posted online on Tuesday and in print on Wednesday....
  • How Hillary Could Lose Her Lead — A Warning from Canada's First Female Prime Minister

    08/26/2016 2:33:47 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 21 replies
    Ozy ^ | August 21, 2016 | Neil Parmar, The Daily Dose
    So, America, are you really ready for a woman president? And how might “magical thinking” or a fresh scandal flip this election on its head? These are just some of the undercurrent issues that Kim Campbell, the only female prime minister Canada’s ever had, thinks could tip Hillary Clinton’s lead in favor of Donald Trump. In this condensed and edited conversation, the former Progressive Conservative party leader weighs in on what might upend this year’s U.S. presidential battle. OZY: What under-the-radar issues could really shake up this race and become major debate points this fall? Kim Campbell: I think the...
  • Julian Assange Wikileaks Megyn Kelly FULL Interview August 25, 2016 Fox News

    Julian Assange Wikileaks Megyn Kelly FULL Interview August 25, 2016 Fox News
  • Poll: Trump Gets His Support From White Protestants

    08/25/2016 3:00:26 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | August 25, 2016 | Alex Pfeiffer
    A national poll out Thursday shows Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump by double-digits. The poll also breaks down support by religion and finds that white Protestants are Trump’s most supportive demographic. The Public Religion Research Institute found that Clinton leads nationwide among registered voters with 48 percent, Trump follows with 35 percent and two percent backed Libertarian Gary Johnson. This poll, unlike others, broke down support for each candidate by registered voters’ religious preferences. Trump’s support is strongest among white evangelical Protestants. Sixty-two percent of them back Trump and 23 percent support Clinton. Trump also leads among white mainline...
  • Poll: Trump holds narrow lead over Clinton in Florida

    08/24/2016 1:27:55 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 29 replies
    The Hill's Ballot Box Blog ^ | August 24, 2016 | Lisa Hagen
    Donald Trump has a 2-point lead over Hillary Clinton in the battleground state of Florida, a new poll finds. A new Florida Atlantic University survey released on Wednesday shows the Republican presidential nominee leading his Democratic counterpart 43 percent to 41 percent, which is within the survey’s margin of error. Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson captures 8 percent, and 5 percent are undecided. This is the first poll showing Trump leading Clinton in the Sunshine State since early July, according to RealClearPolitics polling....
  • RNC Chief: Trump could lead Clinton by Labor Day.

    08/23/2016 2:51:58 PM PDT · by entropy12 · 27 replies
    The Hill ^ | Aug 23, 16 | Ben Kamisar
    "I think what you are seeing on the campaign is a continuation of a good couple of weeks that Donald Trump has had," he told reporters on a conference call, noting the Republican presidential nominee's "prepared, mature comments on the campaign trail." "It's going to be important for us and for Donald Trump to continue down this measured path that he's on and if he does that, I think he's going to be tied or ahead at or just after Labor Day."
  • Pollster John Zogby: Obama Voters Are Crossing Over to Trump

    08/23/2016 9:58:46 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 62 replies
    NewsMax ^ | August 22, 2016 | Jason Devaney
    A group of voters that once supported President George W. Bush before defecting to back President Barack Obama is once again switching sides and getting behind Donald Trump, pollster John Zogby told Newsmax TV Monday. During an interview on "Newsmax Prime," Zogby told host J.D. Hayworth the race for the White House is "very, very close." "What's very interesting here is that initially, weekly Wal-Mart shoppers who we have been tracking for a decade and a half now, and NASCAR fans, they were solidly with George W. Bush," said Zogby, whose most recent poll has Democrat Hillary Clinton leading Trump...
  • At the Base of Trump's Support

    08/21/2016 1:32:46 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    Real Clear Politics ^ | August 21, 2016 | Salena Zito
    RUFFSDALE -- If you drive anywhere in Pennsylvania, from the turnpike to the old U.S. routes to the dirt roads connecting small towns like Hooversville with “bigger” small towns like Somerset, you might conclude that Donald Trump is ahead in this state by double digits. Large signs, small signs, homemade signs, signs that wrap around barns, signs that go from one end of a fence to another, all dot the landscape with such frequency that, if you were playing the old-fashioned road-trip game of counting cows, you would hit 100 in just one small town like this one. In Ruffsdale,...
  • {Vanity}Regarding Hillary's Walking Ailment.Will She Be Able To Walk 30 Feet To The Debate Podium?

    08/20/2016 4:48:09 PM PDT · by TrumpTrain_VS_TheClintonToilet · 42 replies
    After seeing that photo of Hillary "Not Exactly Climbing The Stairs",then later seeing the footage of Hillary walking up to Joe Biden's home while clinging to a handrail,it should give us pause on what will happen on debate night when she has to walk to her podium without any assistance. How will Hillary pull this off?, They obviously wont be placing a thirty foot handrail from the left curtain to the podium.
  • 7 Myths about Trump's 'Doomed' Path to the White House

    08/18/2016 6:23:40 AM PDT · by Sir Napsalot · 7 replies
    The National Interest ^ | 8-16-2016 | Peter Navarro
    The conventional wisdom doesn’t apply to such an unconventional nominee.Donald Trump won the Republican presidential nomination in part because his primary campaign message was far more in tune with an angry electorate than that of his rivals. However, Trump’s winning campaign was also helped mightily by a “Fatal Eight” set of miscalculations made by the opposition. These key mistakes included treating Trump as a mere celebrity rather than a serious candidate, failing to strategically attack the fledgling Trump candidacy in its crib, refusing to recognize that a candidate with a solid base can win in a crowded field even with...
  • Ted Cruz’s Ship Taking On Water In Texas According To Latest Poll

    08/14/2016 10:36:17 AM PDT · by RayofHope · 113 replies
    American Outlook ^ | 08/14/2016 | KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll
    Uh-Oh! Ted should have never made a spectacle of himself at the RNC, and maybe kept his promise to support the nominee because now, it seems, it has come back to bite him. The once extremely popular senator is no more than the lesser of the evils in his home state, in his senate race. At least that’s what the results of the latest in state poll show. CBS/DFW reports that Texans are smarting a bit over the recent Cruz behavior and they’re letting him know it. Sen. Ted Cruz won the Republican presidential primary in Texas with nearly 44...
  • Analysis: Trump campaign has spent $0 on television advertising

    08/09/2016 1:34:03 PM PDT · by entropy12 · 39 replies
    The Hill ^ | August 09, 2016 | Jonathan Easley
    Less than 100 days before the general election, Donald Trump has still not spent a dime on television advertising, even as Hillary Clinton floods the airwaves with tens of millions of dollars in ad spending. According to an analysis by NBC News, the Democratic presidential nominee's campaign has spent $52 million on television ads, many of which have been concentrated in the battleground states that will be critical in determining the outcome of the election. The Trump campaign, by comparison, has spent zero dollars. Even the two third-party presidential candidates, Green Party nominee Jill Stein and Libertarian Party nominee Gary...
  • (VANITY) Another Reason To Be Wary Of Polls.Some Only Poll Hundreds And Hillary Leads?

    08/06/2016 7:17:48 PM PDT · by TrumpTrain_VS_TheClintonToilet · 33 replies
    Let's take the state of Pennsylvania for example.A recent poll there gave Hillary a ten/twelve point lead.But did anyone observe that only about 800 to 900 people were polled out of about 6 Million potential voters? This is just one reason we are all suspicious of all these new polls giving Hillary a commanding lead. CNN? NBC? Really? We all know they generally over sample Democrats. Something just isn't right about these latest polls. Trump has always had at least 45%, no way he has dropped to 39%.
  • Stop The Trump Hysteria . . . There’s More Than 3-Months Until E-Day

    08/06/2016 8:36:45 AM PDT · by kerry431 · 23 replies
    Blog ^ | Friday, August 05, 2016 | Howard Galganov
    DON’T BELIEVE THE POLLS . . . EVEN FOX NEWS POLLS: Think about this for a second – While Roger Ailes was running FOX News, Trump was either tied or winning in just about every category against Hillary Clinton. But, since he was politely let go by Rupert Murdoch, for supposedly making lascivious and salacious advances to some of the women on Fox News, as a result, Papa Murdoch’s LEFT LEANING SONS, replaced Ailes in the BIG PICTURE decision making of the News Channel, and all of a sudden, Trump isn’t doing any better in the FOX News Polls, than...
  • Trump’s path to victory depends on surge of white men

    08/04/2016 1:55:21 PM PDT · by PROCON · 41 replies
    thehill.com ^ | Aug. 4, 2016 | Alexander Bolton
    Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump needs a surge of white working-class voters to beat Hillary Clinton in November. Clinton has significant leads over Trump among minority voters and women, and is handily defeating him with white college-educated women. That puts pressure on Trump to win white men like no other candidate in recent history. Trump believes his anti-trade, anti-immigration message will be popular with white, working-class voters in Pennsylvania and Ohio, and that it could help him compete in other Rust Belt states such as Michigan and Wisconsin. His electoral strategy revolves around winning Pennsylvania, something the Republican nominee...
  • Colin McEnroe: Could Bad Economy Swing CT To Trump?

    08/04/2016 12:22:22 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    The Hartford Courant ^ | August 4, 2016 | Colin McEnroe
    You may not have noticed the following news item, because the person who spoke did not accompany his remarks by striking a baby monkey with a ball-peen hammer. We have reached a point in this campaign where people don't pay attention unless you do something that sets civilization back. Paul Manafort, who is Donald Trump's campaign manager, at least in theory, recently said on two national news programs that he considered Connecticut in play. Connecticut has not gone Republican for president since 1988. Presidential campaigns don't usually bother with us. So what's different? Maybe nothing. As swing states slide off...
  • Defeating the Never Trumpers

    08/04/2016 11:11:46 AM PDT · by Roman_War_Criminal · 7 replies
    YT ^ | 7/28/2016 | Wild Bill For America
    Video at link...
  • Few Clinton or Trump Supporters Have Close Friends in the Other Camp

    08/03/2016 10:50:14 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 20 replies
    Pew Research Center ^ | August 3, 2016
    In an increasingly contentious presidential campaign, just a quarter of voters who support Donald Trump in the general election say they have a lot or some close friends who are supporters of Hillary Clinton. Even fewer Clinton backers (18%) say they have at least some friends who support Trump. Nearly half of Clinton supporters (47%), and 31% of Trump supporters, say they have no close friends who support the opposing candidate. The survey conducted June 7-July 5 among 4,602 adults, including 3,834 registered voters, on Pew Research Center’s nationally representative American Trends Panel finds that large majorities of both Trump...
  • SHOCK POLL: Trump At Over 30 Percent With Black Vote In North Carolina

    08/03/2016 10:22:12 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 71 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | August 4, 2016 | Alex Pfeiffer
    A poll released Wednesday of likely North Carolina voters shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton while at the same time gaining 32 percent of the black vote. Trump is ahead among all polled voters with 46 percent, followed by Clinton with 42 percent and Libertarian nominee Gov. Gary Johnson at six percent, according to the Civitas poll. Seven percent of likely voters polled are undecided. The GOP nominee is ahead with white voters with 47 percent, while Clinton has 38 percent of their support. While Clinton leads with black voters with 64 percent, but this poll shows Trump with larger...
  • A Possiblity?Trump Leads In Pennsylvania 500,000 Votes Before Philly Election Night.

    08/03/2016 3:56:16 PM PDT · by TrumpTrain_VS_TheClintonToilet · 12 replies
    When it comes to voter fraud,especially on presidential election nights, Pennsylvania seems to be a culprit when it comes to reporting the actual outcome.Especially in 2012 when Romney didn't get any votes in many districts.But what if this time around,Trump has a massive lead to the extent where the Philly districts don't have enough votes to surpass the 400-600,000 vote lead? You think that they will attempt to pull the same stunt again? Hillary:700,000 Votes, Trump: 0 ?
  • Polls show Gary Johnson taking more support from Clinton, not Trump

    08/03/2016 9:21:45 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 16 replies
    Hot Air ^ | August 2, 2016 | Taylor Millard
    There’s always been this notion the Libertarian Party is just full of Republicans who want to smoke pot. It’s one of the dumbest stereotypes out there because there’s so much more to libertarianism than people realize. Libertarians believe in a much smaller federal government than the GOP does, focusing on free trade vs. endless wars, and letting consenting adults do what they want to do in the bedroom. This isn’t stopping Republicans from pushing the entire, “A vote for Gary Johnson is a vote for Hillary Clinton,” claim. Even Larry O’Connor (who is a smart guy, and has a great...
  • That poll showing Clinton leading in Utah? It doesn’t exist.

    08/02/2016 11:57:55 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 18 replies
    The Washington Post's The Fix ^ | August 2, 2016 | Philip Bump
    The only fitting way for the 2016 campaign to end, after all of the tumult and bizarreness that we've seen over the past 20 months, is for there to be some dramatic result on Election Day. An electoral college tie, maybe. Or a total blowout. Something interesting, anyway. It's got to happen, right? This, I suspect, is part of the reason that people have seized on a report from a Salt Lake City CBS affiliate about a new poll in the deep-red state of Utah. The surprising/exciting finding? Hillary Clinton has a 1-point lead in the state. Imagine that! Utah...
  • Support for Trump is More Diverse Than You Think

    08/01/2016 11:29:18 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    The Independent Voter Project ^ | August 1, 2016 | Marisa Gomez
    Donald Trump’s fan base looks different from what you might imagine. Some characterize Trump supporters as caucasian men, likely living on a farm in rural Wyoming. However, Trump support is quite diverse. Despite some of the comments we have heard from Trump and the media’s response, women and minorities do not always shy away from the candidate. Trump has support from individuals of every demographic. Trump does not lead in the polls with any of these groups. Women and minorities are not his strong suit, but many still plan to cast a ballot for him in November. A pre-convention poll...
  • Democrats Admit Trump Is ‘On To Something’

    08/01/2016 10:15:14 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | August 1, 2016 | James S. Robbins
    Sorting through the Wikileaked Democratic National Committee emails I ran across an unexpected subject line: “Trump on to something.” Indeed? The May 10, 2016 email was from DNC press secretary Mark Paustenbach to communications director Luis Miranda. Attached were the results of the May 10 Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll of battleground states Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. The excerpted portion of the poll in the email read: From Florida section: “Republicans’ weakness among minority voters is well known. But the reason this race is so close overall is Clinton’s historic weakness among white men. In Florida, she is getting just...
  • Six things to watch in post-convention polls

    07/31/2016 10:03:40 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 4 replies
    The Washington Examiner ^ | August 1, 2016 | Susan Ferrechio
    The end of the Democratic National Convention marks the start of critical post-convention polling, where surveyors expect to get a more reliable assessment of how voters view Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton and who they will vote for in November. Here is what to watch for in the upcoming polls. Polling is sooner — In previous years, pollsters needed about two weeks to measure the impact of political conventions on the presidential candidates, but the time frame has been cut in half, Suffolk University polling director David Paleologos told the Washington Examiner. "Because of the compact nature of the news...
  • In Poll After Poll Trump Leads Clinton Among Independent Voters

    07/31/2016 7:04:31 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 15 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | July 31, 2016 | Alex Pfeiffer
    General election polls of the nation and battleground states consistently show Republican nominee Donald Trump besting Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton among independent voters. This lead among independent/non-party affiliated voters for Trump is also found in polls where Clinton leads overall. For example, in the most recent poll of national voters from Public Policy Polling, Clinton leads Trump 46 percent to 41 percent. Among independent voters, however, Trump leads 42 percent to 35 percent. In another recent national poll from CNN/ORC, Trump leads Clinton 44 percent to 39 percent. This poll has Trump leading Clinton by 18 percent among independents, 46...
  • Trump Still Leads Clinton in Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll (FReep a poll)

    07/30/2016 6:13:47 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 53 replies
    People's Pundit Daily ^ | July 30, 2016 | Richard D. Baris
    Donald Trump holds a roughly 5-point lead over Hillary Clinton two days after the Democratic National Convention. The People’s Pundit Daily Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll finds Mr. Trump at 47.6% to 42.1% for Mrs. Clinton, a lead that is largely fueled by a greater consolidation of the Republican base and a lead among independent voters. Perhaps the biggest story regarding the post convention polling data is the shift toward Green Party candidate Dr. Jill Stein and the collapse of Libertarian Party candidate, former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson. On July 19, the first day of the Republican convention, Gov....
  • Hillary is running a Remain campaign. She needs to change track – or she’ll lose. (Re: Brexit)

    07/29/2016 6:06:54 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    Open Democracy ^ | July 28, 2016 | Simon Redford
    American voters, like many who opted for Leave in the UK's EU referendum, are angry and want change. The Democrats will lose if they offer a message of continuity. “For things to stay the same, things need to change” - The Leopard “The job of the conservative is to stand athwart history and yell ‘stop!’” - William Buckley It is one of the ironies of American politics that the conservatives in the Republican Party often come across as radical insurgents, while self-styled progressives in the Democratic Party tend to sound pretty conservative. The Jacobins in the Republican Party want to...
  • 2016 Presidential Polling Scandal

    07/29/2016 5:27:04 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 10 replies
    FITS News ^ | July 29, 2016
    REUTERS CHANGES ITS POLL AFTER DONALD TRUMP ERASES HILLARY CLINTON’S HUGE Two weeks ago, Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton was leading GOP nominee Donald Trump by a whopping 13 percent, according to Reuters/ Ipsos’ polling. Clinton’s 46-33 percent margin in this survey was due to the fact that “Americans have become increasingly positive about Clinton this month.” Really? How quickly things can change. This week, Reuters/ Ipsos’ polling shows Trump leading Clinton by a 39-37 margin – a huge swing. Clearly this cannot stand. The government-media-corporate-Hollywood elite have already decreed that Clinton will win the presidency … and lots of...
  • Election 2016 is over. Trump won

    07/29/2016 10:47:45 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 33 replies
    USA Today | July 29, 2016 | David Mastio
    Link only due to copyright issues: http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2016/07/29/trump-polls-winning-clinton-democratic-convention-speech-column/87700524/?AID=10709313&PID=6164151&SID=ir81fabw28015ndv00dth
  • NEW ELECTION POLL: TRUMP UP BY 6 AFTER DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION

    07/29/2016 10:13:27 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 112 replies
    Regated ^ | July 29, 2016 | Sam Wenkert
    JULY 29: A new election poll released this morning (conducted on July 28) by the USC Dornsife / LA Times Presidential Election Poll shows that Donald Trump has 46.7% of the total popular vote, while Hillary Clinton lags behind with 40.6% of the popular vote. 2,188 people were surveyed. This is a very surprising result, considering that the Democratic National Convention usually gives the Democratic candidate a large boost in the polls. It did not seem to be the case this year for Hillary Clinton....
  • Even after a convention that critics panned, Trump got a big bounce. Will Clinton gain now too?

    07/28/2016 9:03:23 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 18 replies
    The Los Angeles Times ^ | July 28, 2016 | David Lauter
    Donald Trump has gotten a significant boost from his party’s nominating convention last week; now, Hillary Clinton will try for her own. Clinton and her supporters won’t know for several days how much Thursday’s acceptance speech will improve her standing with voters — polls lag behind the events they measure because gathering accurate data takes time. In Trump’s case, the post-convention bounce started to show up in a significant way on Sunday in the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Daybreak tracking poll of the presidential race. The boost continued to build for several days and Trump now holds a 7-percentage-point lead,...
  • Pelosi says uneducated white men like Donald Trump because of ‘guns, gays and God.’ Is she right?

    07/28/2016 11:38:49 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 72 replies
    The Washington Post's The Fix ^ | July 28, 2016 | Amber Phillips and Emily Guskin
    And I think that, so many times, white — non-college-education — educated white males have voted Republican. They voted against their own economic interests because of guns, because of gays, and because of God, the three G’s, God being the woman’s right to choose. --House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) to Judy Woodruff in an interview Wednesday What Nancy Pelosi said isn't necessarily a new idea: the theory that white, working class men vote Republican because of social issues and -- from Democrats' perspective -- to the detriment of their economic interests. But it is worth taking a closer look...
  • Election Update: Why Our Model Is Bullish On Trump, For Now

    07/28/2016 11:03:19 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 23 replies
    FiveThirtyEight ^ | July 28, 2016 | Nate Silver, Founder & Editor-in-chief
    Further polling since the Republican National Convention has tended to confirm our impressions from earlier this week: Donald Trump has almost certainly gotten a convention bounce, and has moved into an extremely close race with Hillary Clinton. But Trump’s convention bounce is not all that large. You can find polls showing almost no bounce for Trump, and others showing gains in the mid-to-high single digits. Those disagreements are pretty normal and, overall, the polls suggest a net gain of 3 to 4 percentage points for Trump. That would be right in line with the average bounce in conventions since 2004,...
  • Poll: Trump Inching Up With Battleground-State Latinos

    07/27/2016 2:29:08 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 8 replies
    The Weekly Standard ^ | July 27, 2016 | Ethan Epstein
    Donald Trump has said, with characteristic braggadocio, that he will "win the Latino vote." Probably not. But if a new poll from Latino Decisions is to be trusted, the real estate magnate is doing better among Latinos than conventional wisdom would ever have thought possible. The poll of 800 registered Latino voters in 12 battleground states, which was released during a press conference a couple of miles from the site of the Democratic National Convention on Wednesday afternoon, found that Hillary Clinton takes 71 percent of Latino support, versus 24 percent who back Trump, and five percent who are undecided....
  • Where the Race Stands -- Post-RNC Edition

    07/26/2016 11:46:20 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 30 replies
    Real Clear Politics ^ | July 26, 2016 | Sean Trende
    Back in the summer of 2015, when Donald Trump rode down the escalator in Trump Tower, the debate was not about whether he would win the Republican nomination, much less the presidency. It was about whether he would even file his papers. He did. The debate quickly coalesced around how many weeks he would last. Weeks turned into months, as he quickly took the lead in the polls. The debate then shifted to how soon he would become this cycle’s Herman Cain, who led in the polls briefly in 2011 before collapsing, followed by confident predictions about why his insensitive...
  • Trump edges ahead of Clinton in U.S. presidential race: Reuters/Ipsos poll

    07/26/2016 5:53:40 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 23 replies
    Reuters ^ | July 26, 2016 | Chris Kahn
    Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump posted a two-point lead over his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Tuesday, the first time he has been ahead since early May. Trump's gains came as he accepted his party's nomination to the Nov. 8 ballot at the four-day Republican National Convention in Cleveland last week, and as Clinton's nomination in Philadelphia this week was marred by party divisions and the resignation of a top party official. The July 22-26 poll found that 39 percent of likely voters supported Trump, 37 percent supported Clinton and 24 percent would...
  • Some Democratic Delegates Are “Terrified” After Trump Takes The Lead In Polls

    07/25/2016 11:37:43 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 21 replies
    Buzz Feed News ^ | July 25, 2016 | Emma Loop and Talal Ansari from Philadelphia
    With two polls released Monday showing Trump ahead of Clinton, attendees of the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia shared their thoughts on Trump’s “post-convention bump.” Last week’s Republican National Convention gave Donald Trump an edge over Hillary Clinton, according to a new CNN poll — and some Democratic delegates at the convention in Philadelphia said they are “terrified” and that the party needs to “do some serious thinking.” In a two-way national matchup — conducted over telephone with over 1,000 random adults — Trump polled at 48% to Clinton’s 45%. Another poll by Morning Consult released on Monday also showed...
  • Who will win the presidency? (Trump 56.7%, Hillary 43.3% chance)

    07/25/2016 10:12:30 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 26 replies
    FiveThirtyEight ^ | July 25, 2016 | Nate Silver
    (DATA-AND-CHARTS-AT-LINK)
  • Trump up in battleground states after convention, leads Clinton

    07/24/2016 3:32:10 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    The Hill's Ballot Box Blog ^ | July 24, 2016 | Rebecca Savransky
    Support for Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump ticked up across battleground states following the Republican National Convention last week, according to the new CBS News Battleground Tracker Poll. Trump now has 42 percent support across the 11 battleground states surveyed — up from the 40 percent he had last week before the convention. Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has 41 percent support, unchanged from last week's poll. According to the poll, 55 percent of Republicans said Trump's message at the convention made them feel hopeful, and about 40 percent said it made them feel enthusiastic. Among independents, 32 percent...
  • Clinton campaign freaking out as Donald Trump leads in the polls

    07/23/2016 10:16:44 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 103 replies
    Regated ^ | July 23, 2016 | Victor Smith
    Amazing week at the RNC, huge rise in the polls, DNC leaks, pissed off Sanders supporters.. Not a good week for Hillary Clinton! In a recent poll done by OANN/Gravis where they asked a spread of 40% Democrats, 33% Republicans and 27% Independents who they would vote for, Donald Trump won with flying colors. Keep in mind these poll numbers came out before the DNC email leaks, where they were exposed for collusion with the media, lies and deception. Once new polls come out, there will be an even more drastic difference in people not wanting to vote for Hillary...
  • See Which Moment From Trump's Speech This Focus Group REALLY Liked

    07/23/2016 12:06:45 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 37 replies
    Fox News Insider ^ | July 22, 2016 | The Hannity Show
    Frank Luntz said there was one moment from Donald Trump's convention speech that truly stood out, that his focus group rated higher than anything that preceded it in the past four days. That was when Trump talked about Hillary Clinton and corruption, specifically in regard to her emails. "Republicans, Independents and Democrats dialed it through the roof," Luntz said. Said one panelist who entered the RNC "Never Trump": "I'm 39 years old. That was the best speech by a presidential candidate I've heard in my entire life. And I don't say that lightly, 'cause I've heard them all." Another panelist...
  • CNN Poll: Viewers loved Trump’s RNC speech, majority more likely to vote for him (73%)

    07/22/2016 6:01:29 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 29 replies
    Red Alert Politics ^ | July 22, 2016 | Ryan Girdusky
    The media characterized Donald Trump’s acceptance speech at the Republican National Committee as “dark” and “dystopian,” but the American people watching the speech had an overwhelmingly positive opinion according to a poll. According to a CNN/ORC poll released right after the end of the convention, 73 percent of viewers had a positive opinion of Donald Trump’s message to the “forgotten man.” A majority, 57 percent, had a very positive reaction of Trump’s speech and another 18 percent had a somewhat favorable opinion. Only 24 percent had a negative opinion of the speech. Another 56 percent said that his speech made...
  • How the USC/LA Times Daybreak tracking poll works (Hillary Clinton: 42.2% Donald Trump: 43.3%)

    07/19/2016 10:03:00 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    The Los Angeles Times ^ | July 15, 2016
    The USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Presidential Election "Daybreak" Poll asks more than 400 people each day about their voting intentions. The poll is part of the Understanding America Study (UAS) at the University of Southern California's Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research. Each day's poll respondents are a subset of the UAS election panel, roughly 3000 U.S. citizens who were randomly recruited from among all households in the United States. Respondents are asked three predictive questions: What is the percent chance that... (1) you will vote in the presidential election? (2) you will vote for Clinton, Trump, or someone else?...
  • After The Mike Pence Speech,Will Trump Gain Another Three Or Four Points?

    07/19/2016 8:17:57 PM PDT · by TrumpTrain_VS_TheClintonToilet · 13 replies
    Tomorrow, the 75 or so percent of potential voters will see Governor Pence make his first big speech. Why 70/75 Percent of Americans never heard of him till last week is a mystery being he has been a major GOP figure since 2012.But what happens after his RNC Speech? When the next set of polls come out will we finally see the Trump/Pence ticket reach the vital 50 Percent Mark? All we can do is wait. Mike Pence is a great speaker! He makes Obama look like the J.V. Team.
  • Sharp differences over who is hurt, helped by their race

    07/19/2016 6:17:16 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    Pew Research ^ | July 18, 2016 | Shiva Maniam
    Black and white Americans have profoundly different views on racial equality, and a new survey finds they also differ on the extent to which a person’s race can be a burden or a benefit. For blacks, the answer is clear: 65% say “it is a lot more difficult to be black in this country than it is to be white.” Fewer than half as many whites (27%) agree. The racial gap in perceptions of white advantages is even starker: 62% of blacks say “white people benefit a great deal from advantages in society that black people do not have.” Just...