Posted on 03/31/2010 10:21:26 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
White male voters are increasingly turning away from the Democratic party, according to a recent Gallup poll, and the shift could prove decisive in November's midterm elections. Here, a brief primer on why white men are making the move, and how the change affects the electoral math:
How many white male voters are leaving the Dems? According to a recent Gallup poll, only 35 percent of white males said they would back the Democrats in the fall election. That figure has dropped 8 percentage points since July 2009. White male support for President Obama has dropped, too -- from 41 percent in the election of 2008 to 38 percent now.
Why are they leaving?
One explanation: The "he-cession," says David Paul Kuhn in the Los Angeles Times. "Nearly half" of those who lost their jobs in the recession are white males. Between "financial bailouts for the rich folks" and a "healthcare bailout for the poor folks," the ordinary white male voter feels "forgotten" and angry.
Is that the only reason?
That theory is popular among conservative commentators, but some of their liberal counterparts chalk up the change to race-baiting by Republicans. With "catcalls, joker posters, N word slurs," and boisterous tea parties, says Earl Ofari Hutchinson in The Daily Voice, conservatives have rekindled the notion that Democrats want to raise taxes to create social programs for minorities "at the expense of hard-working whites." It's the same "win with white vote strategy" the GOP has used for a half century.
How might the shift affect the fall vote?
Obama won big in 2008 partly because he attracted the highest percentage of white male voters for a Democrat in 30 years. "Unless the president and his party find a way to reverse" the white exodus and address the anger of the millions of white men who have lost faith in them, says Wesley Pruden in The Washington Times, "they must prepare for an epic bath" in the November midterm elections.
Will these numbers really tip the balance?
Many factors will come into play. One of the most important, says Tom Schaller in FiveThirtyEight, is whether the "Obama surge voters" go to the polls. Millions of first-time voters came out to support Obama in 2008. The numbers put Obama over the top in states that had leaned Republican for years. But it's anybody's guess whether those voters will return in the fall without Obama on the ballot. If they show up, they could buffer "expected Democratic losses." If not, Obama's party could be in for deep pain.
Racist
I’m on a trip to Seattle soon. We shall see how they are. (It’s a family reunion).
Earl Ofari Hutchinson is a pathetic moron.
Not to worry. Obama will more than compensate with imported brown men.
They have to ask?
Hijacker! :^)
The Polarization Express, with Obama as the engineer, is going full steam ahead.
The rats are toast in the mid terms.Viginia,NewJersey and taxachussets proved that.They saw how the hope and changie thing was working out.
With no page to see are you from Iowa?
Racises.
If white men are leaving, white women will quickly follow....we are evolving into a system of the Party Of Whites (Repubs) and Party of Browns (Dems). Parties based on groups are a recipe for disaster...
Here’s another reason: the false claims of racism made against the Tea Parties and other Obama critics. Non liberal white men are targets for that sort of thing and are alienated by the race-baiting of the Obama crowd.
Abraham Lincoln
That theory is popular among conservative commentators, but some of their liberal counterparts chalk up the change to race-baiting by Republicans. With “catcalls, joker posters, N word slurs,” and boisterous tea parties, says Earl Ofari Hutchinson in The Daily Voice, conservatives have rekindled the notion that Democrats want to raise taxes to create social programs for minorities “at the expense of hard-working PEOPLE” Fixed it.
Why would any white men at all have been Democrats during the past three decades or so?
Were they stupid?
No, idiot. Democrats have done that themselves.
Obamas economic advisor no "White Male Construction Workers"
The Dems are still the party of the liberal white guilt...
Here in L.A., it’s a study of society. The liberal whites live in affluent white neighborhoods. They are out of place if they take public transit with the latinos. PLUS, the DNC leaders are more anal about selling their votes for the Latinos so they, in essence marginalize the lib whites.
Notion? That's just a simple fact of the vote-buying process. And their hatred for white males - regardless of political affiliation or willingness to abase themselves - comes through loud and clear.
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