Skip to comments.Latest polls show U.S. Senate shifting sharply for Republican majority (Even w/Akin situation)
Posted on 08/23/2012 4:35:55 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Two key state polls of U.S. Senate races released today by Rasmussen Reports show that, aside from the issue concerning Todd Akin and the Missouri senate race, the trend is otherwise moving more strongly to the likelihood of a GOP majority in the U.S. Senate after this year's election. While Rasmussen is reporting a 48 percent to 38 percent lead by incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill over defiant Republican Todd Akin, the first general election poll of the Connecticut race shows Republican Linda McMahon leading over Democratic Congressman Chris Murphy by a 49 percent to 46 percent margin.
This analysis projects if the elections were held today, Republicans would win enough seats to enjoy a 52 seat senate majority, and Democrats would hold a 47 seat minority. The Ohio race is too close to call as of today. The map above shows the state senate races and the light gray are the states not holding a U.S. Senate race this year.
The last GOP2112 analysis of the U.S. Senate races from almost a month ago projected Republicans winning enough seats to hold 50, Democrats winning enough to hold 48 and two seats too close to call. Since that analysis, new polling numbers move New Mexico and Michigan from likely Democrat to leans Democrat. In both states the Democratic candidate is below 50 percent and the Republican nominee is gaining in more recent polls.
The Todd Akin controversy in Missouri clearly shows that race to be moving strongly in the Democrat direction, or in this analysis, from likely Republican to likely Democrat. This is the only gain by the Democrats from the last analysis to this one, and there are factors that could easily change this...
(Excerpt) Read more at examiner.com ...
If the Republican majority turns out to be a RINO majority we’re still screwed.
Smart solider know you fight one battle at a time.
I’d give Akin 3 weeks to get back even in the polling else out.
Great comment. If you get a 3-4 vote cushion, the 1-2 RINOs won’t matter. The fewer idiot Akins we have, the better the chance that we can ge hat cushion and NOT be in a position to need a RINO vote to pass something.
Also consider the position of a Dem from WV or PA. Going to be pretty tough to not play ball with the GOP on Energy. On a whole host of issues a GOP Senate is going to be able to build working super majorities by leaning on Red or Purple state Dems
With Ryan, we would also have a Republican VP to break a tie vote, if there was one.
Had dinner w Stephen Moore of WSJ last night and he said he expects a 5% Romney win. The bad news? He was “certain” the USSC would overturn Obamacare.
Any other insights from SM?
1) he was awed by the energy boom in ND, and thinks under Romney we will be on the path to energy independence in 10 years. 2) $1 Trillion in capital is right now sitting on the sidelines and will be unleashed when R/R are elected; 3) I asked why, given our huge deficits & unfounded obligations we haven’t seen inflation. He said that he and WSJ have been wrong predicting inflation, and that people are taking a real rate of zero or even negative in bonds out of fear & desire for security. I did not follow up with, “what makes people think the gov’t is safe?”
As an MBA and entrepreneur with partners in Europe & Far East, I certainly appreciate your posting SM’s comments.
My Euro partners (Italy, France and Nethelands) are VERY concerned with financial stability in their countries. And America.
If Ubama wins with help from ACORN/SEIU voter fraud, America is doomed to fall into communism. Literally.
However, if R&R can remain aggressive and attack/expose Ubama for what he is - a socialist who hates America and rejects our Constitution - they will win.
Americans are pleading for a strong conservative to attack and not bring a water pistol to a gun fight with these Alinsky communists ala McCain.
May God save America...