Posted on 09/01/2012 3:42:44 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Nope. The “Bradley Effect” was the “Great White Hope” (heh) in 2008, and it didn’t pan out.
It went just the opposite way, as dimwits saw it as a way to purge their souls of guilt.
I heard this idea touted incessantly in 2008. It was B.S. then, too.
We will find out in 2 months.
The “Bradley Effect” was probably more viable before Political Correctness became absolute law of the land.
Without question, the Bradley Effect is a factor in this election as it proved to be a major factor in the 2008 election.
The Bradley effect lasted way past the 2008 election.
You don’t think that there are a percentage of voters who lie to pollsters for fear of being thought of as racists?
It makes sense. In a poll a voter will react emotionally and say yes to the feel good choice.
In the voting both, feelings fade and the analytical choice is for the best candidate.
The Bradly Effect will be what pollsters and the media will blame, instead of the horrible D/R/I sample.
If there are then they’re statistically insignificant. You don’t remember hearing all about the “Bradley Effect” prior to the 2008 election? Every other article on FR mentioned it as a reason that McCain/Palin were going to win. Some effect...
I don’t know about any Bradley effect, but it looks pretty good to me. If the polls were honest, I think Obama would be 10 points down.
If the Bradley effect influences 3-4% of the electorate, that’ll likely be enough. I believe it is at least that big this time around
Yep, I remember it being talked about in ‘08 too. Didn’t quite work out.
good question..
I’m not terribly concerned. As long as Romney can bring together a coalition of 2008 McCain voters, moderate Republicans that were turned off by the candidates (Palin, McCain or both) and voted Obama, with a good chunk of Independents/conservative Dems he shouldn’t have any trouble.
Watching Fox news tonight there were a lot of videos of Romney and Ryan with crowds, surrounded by crowds, people everywhere. Equal time was given to Obama but it was always a stage with about two to three dozen behind him, nothing of the crowd in front of the stage except in one case they showed him walking up to the stage with about a dozen people visible in front of it.
Another observation, of the three dozen people behind Obama there were only two blacks, the rest were all white. I thought his party was diversified.
“The Bradly Effect will be what pollsters and the media will blame, instead of the horrible D/R/I sample.”
Good point!
I never heard of the Shy Tories, but that is cute.
I have heard that the “Bradly Effect” is not actually real, the details of which I cannot recount. But I do well remember the David Dinkins/Rudy Giuliani rematch election and it is that election that this current pres race seems comparable to.
Dinkins was elected the first black mayor of NYC and maybe he was a well intentioned fellow. What did him in, as many may remember, was (were?) the Crown Heights Riots (or pogrom might be a better word) that resulted from an Orthodox Jewish man running over and killing a young black child, Gavin Kato (sp?). During these riots an young Orthodox Student was stabbed to death, while his killers yelled “kill the Jew”.
I’m sorry, I don’t remember the name of the Jewish man who was killed.
Now, this was all bad enough, but what damned Dinkins was his lackadaisical response. It was even said that he advised: let them have 3 days to riot. I won’t say that is true at this point, but it was “out there” if you know what I mean.
Well, after this debacle it was still being urged to vote for Dinkins, because if you didn’t you were....can you guess it? That’s right a RAAAAAACIST.
Well, thank Providence he lost and the rest, as they say, is history.
But, I was reminded by another person that that race between Dinkins and Giuliani was very, very, very close.
So, I’m not sure what to think about this current race, other than this: appeals to be “not racist” and “give the black guy a chance” will NOT work, after the black guy has been given a chance by non-racist americans.
It didn’t work for Dinkins and it won’t work for Obama.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.