Free Republic
Browse · Search
GOP Club
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Latest N.H. Tracking Poll: Trump, Sanders Lead With 1 Day to Go
UMass-Lowell ^ | February 8, 2016 | Christine Gillette

Posted on 02/08/2016 3:38:49 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

The eighth and final day of results from the UMass Lowell/7News tracking poll of 1,400 New Hampshire voters who were surveyed about candidates in the Feb. 9 Democratic and Republican primaries include:

* With just a day to go before the first-in-the-nation primary, two outsider candidates - businessman Donald Trump and Independent U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders - have double-digit leads. Both candidates have held large leads with likely primary voters since the first day of tracking poll results were released. Today, Trump's lead stands at 21 points and Sanders' at 16 points.

* Trump has the support of 34 percent of likely Republican primary voters, down two points since yesterday. Marco Rubio, who has been Trump's nearest competitor during much of the tracking poll, is down one point to 13 percent, tying him with Ted Cruz, whose support has remained unchanged for the last three days of results. Jeb Bush (no change) and John Kasich (up one point) are both at 10 percent of support, Chris Christie is at 5 percent (up one point), Carly Fiorina is at 4 percent (no change) and Ben Carson is at 3 percent (no change). While New Hampshire voters are known for deciding at the last minute, it would take a huge surge by another candidate to pass frontrunner Trump, who had led every day of the tracking poll. The race for second place between Rubio, Cruz, Bush and Kasich, however, appears very competitive....

(Excerpt) Read more at uml.edu ...


TOPICS: New Hampshire; Campaign News; Parties; Polls
KEYWORDS: cruz; rubio; tedcruz; trump
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-27 next last

1 posted on 02/08/2016 3:38:49 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet
Rush and Levin working hard to get Rubio in top 3.
2 posted on 02/08/2016 3:42:41 PM PST by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

what are the chances Bernie or someone close to him has an “accident”


3 posted on 02/08/2016 3:42:59 PM PST by muir_redwoods (Freedom isn't free, liberty isn't liberal and you'll never find anything Right on the Left)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TornadoAlley3

What’s Hush Bimbo and Levin saying about Rubio today?


4 posted on 02/08/2016 3:43:58 PM PST by Greetings_Puny_Humans (I mostly come out at night... mostly.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Greetings_Puny_Humans

I’m through with both of them. They have really shown their Establishment colors!


5 posted on 02/08/2016 3:46:54 PM PST by Mollypitcher1 (I have not yet begun to fight....John Paul Jones)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: TornadoAlley3

1. Frequent cotton mouth
2. Sweats profusely
3. Loss of memory
4. Extended absences from work

Rubio 2016!


6 posted on 02/08/2016 3:47:52 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

If this is a prediction thread, here’s my two cents worth:

Sanders over Clinton by 15 points.

Pubbies:

Trump 40%

Rubio 22%

Cruz 13%

Christie 12%

Kasich 10%

Jeb 3%


7 posted on 02/08/2016 3:54:15 PM PST by miserare ( "What difference does it make?"~~Benghazi Hil)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

A quick run at the math and it appears that 8% are undecided on the Republican side. The race for slots 2 to 4 seems pretty wide open. Will come down to the GOTV effort.


8 posted on 02/08/2016 3:54:37 PM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius (www.wilsonharpbooks.com - Sign up for my new release e-mail and get my first novel for free)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

And Bernie’s gaining on Hillary in Iowa as the review of the caucus results goes forward.


9 posted on 02/08/2016 3:56:53 PM PST by MUDDOG
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: miserare

2nd or 3rd place would be a big win for Cruz after his victory in Iowa.


10 posted on 02/08/2016 3:58:43 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: miserare

Rubio and Cruz are 4th and 5th. Kasich and Jeb will top them.


11 posted on 02/08/2016 3:59:22 PM PST by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Yes it would, esp. in a northern liberal state.


12 posted on 02/08/2016 4:00:43 PM PST by miserare ( "What difference does it make?"~~Benghazi Hil)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: miserare

The pundits will downplay it, of course.


13 posted on 02/08/2016 4:01:54 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

I’m literally throwing up over this media Bush surge. How could anybody vote again for a Bush?


14 posted on 02/08/2016 4:03:51 PM PST by ground_fog
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

Crap shoot 2 thru 5

Polling Data New Hampshire

Poll Date Sample MoE
Trump
Rubio
Kasich
Cruz
Bush
Christie
Fiorina
Carson
Spread
RCP Average 2/2 - 2/8 -- -- 30.7 14.8 13.0 12.7 10.5 5.3 4.3 2.8 Trump +15.9
UMass/7News (Tracking)UMass Lowell 2/5 - 2/7 464 LV 5.1 34 13 10 13 10 5 4 3 Trump +21
GravisGravis 2/7 - 2/7 705 LV 3.7 28 15 17 11 14 6 5 3 Trump +11
CNN/WMURCNN/WMUR 2/4 - 2/8 362 LV 5.2 31 17 10 14 7 4 5 3 Trump +14
ARG (Tracking)ARG 2/6 - 2/7 427 LV 5.0 30 16 16 10 9 6 3 1 Trump +14
MonmouthMonmouth 2/4 - 2/6 508 LV 4.4 30 13 14 12 13 6 5 4 Trump +16
Boston Herald/FPUBoston Herald 2/2 - 2/6 433 LV 4.7 31 15 11 16 10 5 4 3 Trump +15

15 posted on 02/08/2016 4:11:41 PM PST by deport
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: deport
Dems........

Polling Data New Hampshire

Poll Date Sample MoE
Sanders
Clinton
Spread
RCP Average 2/2 - 2/8 -- -- 53.8 40.5 Sanders +13.3
UMass/7News (Tracking)UMass Lowell 2/5 - 2/7 407 LV 5.5 56 40 Sanders +16
ARG (Tracking)ARG 2/6 - 2/7 408 LV 5.0 53 41 Sanders +12
CNN/WMURCNN/WMUR 2/4 - 2/8 363 LV 5.1 61 35 Sanders +26
MonmouthMonmouth 2/4 - 2/6 502 LV 4.4 52 42 Sanders +10
Boston Herald/FPUBoston Herald 2/2 - 2/6 407 LV 4.9 51 44 Sanders +7
Boston Globe/SuffolkBoston Globe 2/2 - 2/4 500 LV 4.4 50 41 Sanders +9

16 posted on 02/08/2016 4:14:29 PM PST by deport
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: Mollypitcher1

I knew they were establishment years ago which is why I stopped listening to them . Now listen ( via podcast as I am in Japan ) to Chris Plante , Jeff Kuhner , Laura Ingraham and Michael Savage on a reg. basis .


17 posted on 02/08/2016 4:15:17 PM PST by sushiman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: sushiman
Fox said these Polls are unreliable and they can't find a Trump Voter

They assume the Trump rallies are mannequin's?

Just watching Lou Dobbs

Again some guest quoting RUSH LIMBAUGH defending Marco Rubio's debate performance.

This is getting Old Rush

18 posted on 02/08/2016 4:20:57 PM PST by scooby321
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: sushiman

I hear Michael from time to time and Laura too. No longer listen to Rush or L


19 posted on 02/08/2016 4:42:15 PM PST by Mollypitcher1 (I have not yet begun to fight....John Paul Jones)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

20 posted on 02/08/2016 4:52:54 PM PST by Libloather (Embrace the suck)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-27 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
GOP Club
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson