> Do the models factor in the vote fraud that will be in high gear in 2020... <
The Left got lazy, and overconfident, in 2016. That won’t happen again. So voter fraud and media bias will be huge in 2020. Ballot boxes will be stuffed. And October Surprises will be prepared.
That’s why I wouldn’t take an even-money bet that Trump will be reelected in 2020. Maybe that’s my natural Hungarian pessimism. But I’ve got to call ‘em as I see ‘em.
Trump will win because of one very important factor: Trump has the smarts to win bigly — and he plays for keeps!
They got overconfident at the top in that they expected Mrs Bill to win going away. I believe the fraud in 16 and 18 were trial runs to see if there was a penalty. There was no penalty and The Revolution is what is at stake. Any Democrat win from now on is the last election of the two party system. I am not optimistic for the continued existence of the republic much less that we will ever get the culture back to something sane. The Public Schools and Universities over the last 50 years pretty much guarantees that once they get that last and most important lever of power again, it is all over. So long as they maintain the rituals of Democracy i.e. elections and do not change the nominal structure of the government the military will not intervene and may not even if there do a Soviet style makeover.