Ads fail to slice into lead by Mica [FL-07]

Orlando Sentinel ^ | 10/14/02 | Kevin Connolly

[BlackRazor]

Republican Congressman John Mica holds a strong lead over Democrat Wayne Hogan in Florida's District 7, despite an aggressive TV campaign by the challenger, a new Orlando Sentinel/WESH NewsChannel 2 survey shows.

With roughly three weeks until the Nov. 5 election, the 10-year representative from Winter Park leads Hogan, a North Florida attorney, 52 percent to 35 percent, the survey found. Thirteen percent of those contacted were undecided.

The 17-point lead is "a pretty good sign" that Mica is safe, said Brad Coker, managing director of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research of Washington. "He's still the favorite."

[BlackRazor]

Poll Ping!

Some democrats had been talking this up as a late upset possibility. Doesn't look like it from these poll results.

If you want on or off my poll ping list, let me know!

[AntiGuv]

This seat became somewhat more Republican after redistricting in an area already trending Republican the past several cycles. While the elements of a potential upset exist only since the Dem is willing to self-fund, this seems like an exceedingly low possibility even if the numbers were closer.

[oldsalt]

Hogan's TV ads are interesting.

They are very well done from a technical standpopint. He's just a very down-home friendly man of the people,y'know,the rolled up sleeves and all.

What he never mentions or even gives a hint of is that he's the Democrat in the race! The only place you'll find it is down in the fine print where there's a letter"D" after the name of his election committee.

He also doesn't mention that he's self-funded because he made tens of millions in "big tobacco" lawsuits.

Just a proto-typical Democrap.