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An Intelligent Democrat . . .
The Weekly Standard ^ | December 15, 2003 | Stephen F. Hayes

Posted on 12/05/2003 11:04:26 PM PST by RWR8189

A LEADING DEMOCRAT on the Senate Intelligence Committee has reiterated his support for the war in Iraq and encouraged the Bush administration to be more aggressive in its preemptive measures to protect Americans. Evan Bayh, a Democrat from Indiana and a leader of moderates in the Senate, responded to questions last week on the war in Iraq and a memo detailing links between Saddam Hussein and Osama bin Laden sent to the committee in late October by Undersecretary of Defense Douglas J. Feith and later excerpted in these pages.

"Even if there's only a 10 percent chance that Saddam Hussein and Osama bin Laden would cooperate, the question is whether that's an acceptable level of risk," Bayh told me. "My answer to that would be an unequivocal 'no.' We need to be much more pro-active on eliminating threats before they're imminent."

Asked about the growing evidence of a relationship between Iraq and al Qaeda, Bayh said: "The relationship seemed to have its roots in mutual exploitation. Saddam Hussein used terrorism for his own ends, and Osama bin Laden used a nation-state for the things that only a nation-state can provide. Some of the intelligence is strong, and some of it is murky. But that's the nature of intelligence on a relationship like this--lots of it is going to be speculation and conjecture. Following 9/11, we await certainty at our peril."

The comments came days before several Democratic presidential candidates intensified their caustic attacks on the Bush administration's foreign and defense policies. Senator John Kerry, in a speech last week to the Council on Foreign Relations, said that "the Bush administration has pursued the most arrogant, inept, reckless, and ideological foreign policy in modern history. . . . The global war on terrorism has actually been set back."

Democratic frontrunner Howard Dean went further, even giving credence to a conspiracy theory that Bush was forewarned of the September 11 attacks by the Saudis. In an interview on National Public Radio, Dean allowed that this was "nothing more than a theory, it can't be proved." Nonetheless, he called it the "most interesting theory" he has heard as to why the Bush administration isn't cooperating more fully with the commission looking into the September 11 attacks.

Bayh declined to speak about any of the 50 specific Iraq-al Qaeda links cited in the Feith memo, and said the intelligence community reported before the war that intelligence on the links to "9/11 and al Qaeda" was the weakest part of the justification for war in Iraq.

"Look, there were multiple reasons to remove Saddam Hussein, not the least of which was his butchering of his own people--that's the kind of thing that most progressives used to care about. We were going to have to deal with him militarily at some time in the future. The possibility--even if people thought it unlikely--that he would use weapons of mass death or provide them to terrorists was just too great a risk."

Still, Bayh rejects the conventional wisdom that cooperation between Hussein and bin Laden was implausible because of religious and ideological differences. "They were certainly moving toward the philosophy that 'the enemy of my enemy is my friend.' Both were hostile to us, and while they historically had reasons not to like each other, that historical skepticism is overridden by the enmity and mutual hostility toward us. These are not illogical ties from their perspective."

Bayh has long been concerned about overlap of rogue or collapsed states and international terrorists--a nexus that he says remains "the biggest risk" to the United States. Indeed, it was Bayh's question about links between Saddam Hussein and al Qaeda that prompted CIA Director George Tenet last October to declassify some reporting on the relationship in an October 7, 2002, letter to the Senate Intelligence Committee:

Our understanding of the relationship between Iraq and al Qaeda is evolving and is based on sources of varying reliability. Some of the information we have received comes from detainees, including some of high rank.

--We have solid reporting of senior level contacts between Iraq and al Qaeda going back a decade.

--Credible information indicates that Iraq and al Qaeda have discussed safe haven and reciprocal nonaggression.

--Since Operation Enduring Freedom, we have solid evidence of the presence in Iraq of al Qaeda members, including some that have been in Baghdad.

--We have credible reporting that al Qaeda leaders sought contacts in Iraq who could help them acquire W.M.D. capabilities. The reporting also stated that Iraq has provided training to al Qaeda members in the areas of poisons and gases and making conventional bombs.

--Iraq's increasing support to extremist Palestinians coupled with growing indications of a relationship with al Qaeda suggest that Baghdad's links to terrorists will increase, even absent U.S. military action.

The intelligence committee's review of prewar intelligence may soon be finished--at least at the staff level. "The staff hopes to have it done by the end of the year," says

Senator Christopher Bond of Missouri, a Republican member of the committee. "When the members chew it over and spit it out is unclear."

Relationships between Democrats and Republicans on the committee have been strained since the disclosure in early November of a political memo drafted by Democratic staffers for Vice Chairman Jay Rockefeller, the West Virginia Democrat. The memo suggested ways in which the Democrats could extract partisan advantage from the ongoing review. Saxby Chambliss, a Republican from Georgia who sits on the committee, says several of his Democratic colleagues have since "stepped forward privately" to express concern about the memo and politicization of the intelligence oversight process. "I regret that Jay hasn't done that publicly."

Says Chambliss: "The Democratic memo took a shot at the chairman [Senator Pat Roberts, a Kansas Republican] and took a shot at undermining the intelligence on Iraq. . . . The memo to me did not sound like Jay [Rockefeller]. I've always suspected that the Democratic leadership put lots of pressure on him to politicize this process."

Bayh, for his part, hopes that the intelligence community will look carefully at reporting on the relationship between Iraq and al Qaeda. Bush administration officials have argued that such a review is appropriate, but should wait until after fighting in Iraq has subsided. "The reason [a review] is important is the guidance it gives us prospectively," says Bayh. "I understand the administration's position, but to retrospectively look at these connections gives us that guidance and I think that's a very useful undertaking."

"There's obviously a lot of smoke," says Bayh. "The real question is how much fire was there. The best case--it certainly looks as if there were many contacts, some kind of relationship there. I guess the best answer is that this is a developing story and we'll know more soon."

Stephen F. Hayes is a staff writer at The Weekly Standard.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; US: Indiana; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: evanbayh; intelcommittee; stephenfhayes; weeklystandard

1 posted on 12/05/2003 11:04:27 PM PST by RWR8189
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To: RWR8189
We need to be much more pro-active on eliminating threats before they're imminent...Following 9/11, we await certainty at our peril. -Senator Evan Bayh D-Indiana
2 posted on 12/05/2003 11:09:06 PM PST by NutCrackerBoy
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To: RWR8189
"Even if there's only a 10 percent chance that Saddam Hussein and Osama bin Laden would cooperate, the question is whether that's an acceptable level of risk," Bayh told me.

What is an acceptable level of risk to them??

3 posted on 12/05/2003 11:09:12 PM PST by Mo1 (House Work, If you do it right , will kill you!)
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To: RWR8189
Bayh is a good man. He represents the "loyal" opposition.
I would trust him to defend American interests and he woud give Bush a run for his money.

Fortunately for us, the Demonrats are too stupid to recognize it.

4 posted on 12/05/2003 11:11:27 PM PST by zarf (..where lieth those little things with the sort of raffia work base that has an attachment?)
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To: zarf
Just out of curioisity, is Bayh up for reelection in 2004? Is his seat competitive between Dems and Reps?
5 posted on 12/05/2003 11:16:26 PM PST by the lone wolf (Good Luck, and watch out for stobor.)
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To: the lone wolf
Just out of curioisity, is Bayh up for reelection in 2004?

Yes he is, but I don't know of there is anyone strong that can run against him

6 posted on 12/05/2003 11:24:19 PM PST by Mo1 (House Work, If you do it right , will kill you!)
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To: RWR8189
Senator John Kerry, in a speech last week to the Council on Foreign Relations, said that "the Bush administration has pursued the most arrogant, inept, reckless, and ideological foreign policy in modern history. . . . The global war on terrorism has actually been set back."

John Kerry should be hung for treason...He and Howard Dean are a couple of punks who I wouldn't mind knocking out.

7 posted on 12/05/2003 11:53:49 PM PST by Outraged
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To: RWR8189
Says Chambliss: "The Democratic memo took a shot at the chairman [Senator Pat Roberts, a Kansas Republican] and took a shot at undermining the intelligence on Iraq. . . . The memo to me did not sound like Jay [Rockefeller]. I've always suspected that the Democratic leadership put lots of pressure on him to politicize this process."

No Chambliss, if you had any balls and a modicum of integrity you should have said: "The Democrat memo created a strategem of falsifying and misappropriating intel for the soul purpose of destroying the President and undermining the war on terror, for political gain. . . I would be lying if I said the memo did not sound like Jay [Rockefeller], given all signs seem to point him. . .What is without question is that Jay [Rockefeller] at the very least was complicit in the memo as it came from his office."

In short, Chambliss is a lying weasel covering for a lying weasel.

8 posted on 12/06/2003 12:05:49 AM PST by Outraged
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To: zarf
Bayh is my Senator. Except for the war on terror, he is in lock step with the liberals. His voting record has disappointed me tremendously. He won't get my vote in 2004.
9 posted on 12/06/2003 12:18:47 AM PST by raisincane
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To: Mo1
"What is an acceptable level of risk to them??"

I would like to think that it would be zero risk, but I have a feeling I'm gonna be disappointed.
10 posted on 12/06/2003 12:29:15 AM PST by SuperVillain ("It just goes to show you that baseball doesn't make any sense" - Ron Darling)
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To: raisincane
I never said he wasn't liberal and I would vote for him, but a "loyal" opposition should offer alternative policy persciptions at home without trying to destoy our country abroad.

Bayh is that man.

11 posted on 12/06/2003 1:15:37 AM PST by zarf (..where lieth those little things with the sort of raffia work base that has an attachment?)
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To: zarf
-make that; I wouldn't vote for him.
12 posted on 12/06/2003 1:17:04 AM PST by zarf (..where lieth those little things with the sort of raffia work base that has an attachment?)
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To: zarf
The caption to the whole article says it all. Intelligent DemocRAT is an oxymoron. Those 2 words should never be in same sentence together.
13 posted on 12/06/2003 1:20:12 AM PST by MizzouTigerRepublican (82nd ABN Gulf war vet)
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To: Mo1
What is an acceptable level of risk to them??
These people see no risk. They see no threat. We all have RAT friends. What do your RAT friends say to you? Mine said to me, back in the 80s, that Reagan was the biggest threat to world peace. And they believed it. Even as Reagan was taking down the Evil Empire.

And today they say the same thing about Bush. And they truly believe it. My only explanation is that there is some weird New England anti-war meme that spreads through the population like a virus. Most of us are immune to it, but some of our fellow citizens are badly infected and remain so for their entire lives.

14 posted on 12/06/2003 4:54:08 AM PST by samtheman
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