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Democrats Lament: {Louisiana} GOP Sees Opening
Monroe, LA, News-Star ^ | 12-16-03 | Not given

Posted on 12/16/2003 6:09:30 AM PST by Theodore R.

Edited on 05/07/2004 6:55:11 PM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]

WASHINGTON - Democratic Sen. John Breaux of Louisiana will not retire for another year, but colleagues, friends and political observers already feel the upcoming loss.

And, perhaps, Democrats feel it more.

"With Sen. Breaux's retirement, the Senate loses one of (its) most respected legislators, and I lose one of my most valued colleagues," said Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle, D-S.D. "I've come to rely on his counsel and cherish his friendship."


(Excerpt) Read more at thenewsstar.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; Politics/Elections; US: Louisiana
KEYWORDS: 2004; billfrist; breaux; chrisjohn; davidvitter; earlblack; electionussenate; jimmccrery; la; marylandrieu; nathangonzales; retirement; senate; tomdaschle

1 posted on 12/16/2003 6:09:31 AM PST by Theodore R.
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To: Theodore R.
Hate to see this guy go..
the last time I felt this way was when J.C. bowed out.
2 posted on 12/16/2003 6:13:22 AM PST by evad (Most politicians lie, cheat and steal. It's all they know to do and they won't stop...EVER!)
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To: Theodore R.
Tom Daschle really is saddened by this news!
3 posted on 12/16/2003 6:19:31 AM PST by Arkie2
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To: Theodore R.
This is truly bad news for Louisiana and Republicans as well. He will most certainly be replaced by a democrat, unless Cleo Fields or William Jefferson jumps into the race and gets into the runoff. Remember, this state has not been represented by a Republican in the Senate since Reconstruction. My only hope is a Fields/Vitter runoff. Also, remember that this a$$ backwards state will be having it's open primary during the presidental election. The runoff will be 3 or so weeks after the presidential election. In other words, no Bush/Vitter ticket.
4 posted on 12/16/2003 7:04:46 AM PST by bduet (sarcasm turned on)
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To: bduet
The primary/general election format that LA uses was actually ordered by the federal courts. Originally, LA was having the primary in September and the general election "runoff" (which could be two Democrats in competition in this heavily Democrat state) to correspond with the November general election. It was the FEDS who ordered this new format, not LA itself.
5 posted on 12/16/2003 7:08:42 AM PST by Theodore R. (95)
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To: bduet
Well, William Jefferson certainly WILL NOT run, for he would have to forfeit that "safe" Orleans-based House seat in order to run for the Senate.

Fields, however, could be a problem for Chris John, but hardly anyone thinks that Fields will run. I would imagine that Clinton, Gore, et al will anoint Chris John and keep Fields out of the race.
6 posted on 12/16/2003 7:10:19 AM PST by Theodore R. (95)
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To: bduet

Many pondering U.S. Senate race
By CHRIS FRINK

Speculation on who might run to replace retiring Democratic U.S. Sen. John Breaux ran long Monday.

Clear declarations, however, ran short.

A long list of possible candidates -- currently serving politicians and losers in recent elections -- floated around Monday after Breaux's announcement that he would not seek re-election to a fourth six-year term.

None of those potential senators -- the ones who could be reached -- would declare their intentions.

U.S. Rep. Chris John. D-Crowley, has spoken about his desire to succeed Breaux, but said little Monday about his own political future.

"I will formally announce my intentions at a later date," John said. "Today we should be focused on Sen. Breaux and the celebration of a great career."

U.S. Rep. David Vitter, R-Metairie, is another politician who talked openly about running, but had little to say about himself Monday.

"It's definitely John Breaux's day," he said. "He definitely earned it with his many years of dedicated service."

Outgoing Democratic Attorney General Richard Ieyoub, a 1995 candidate for U.S. Senate and third-place finisher in the 2003 primary in the governor's race, has been mentioned as a candidate to succeed Breaux.

A poll commissioned by The Advocate put Ieyoub at the top of the heap in a four-way race with John, Vitter and outgoing Republican state Elections Commissioner Suzanne Terrell.

Between Dec. 1-9, pollsters asked 750 registered voters across the state, "If John Breaux decided not to seek re-election to the U.S. Senate and the candidates were (Ieyoub, John, Terrell and Vitter), who would you vote for today?"

Ieyoub finished with the support of 28 percent of those polled.

The other three were clustered close together. Vitter and Terrell had 15 percent and John 13 percent.

A quarter of those surveyed either refused to answer or said they did not know who they would vote for, while 5 percent said they would not vote for any of those candidates.

Ieyoub had support from 49 percent of the black respondents.

John found the most support from his native Acadiana region, where 38 percent said they would vote for him. Vitter did the best in the New Orleans area, where 36 percent said they would vote for him.

"My gosh, I'm really pleased with those numbers," Ieyoub said Monday.

Ieyoub said that supporters from across the state encouraged him to run for Senate after his loss in the governor's race.

Now that Breaux is out, Ieyoub said he would consider a run. "I want a little time to think about it."

An Elections Department spokesman said Terrell was out of state Monday and could not be reached.

Democratic State Treasurer John Kennedy, who pulled out of the 2003 governor's race early in the campaign and has money left in his coffers, said he would ponder a run for Breaux's seat over the Christmas holidays.

"I don't believe in running just because there is an open seat," Kennedy said Monday.

If he does decide to run, Kennedy said, it is because the nation faces serious issues including a growing deficit and an increased trade imbalance.

Republican Bobby Jindal, another possible candidate for the Senate on the heels of his strong run for governor in 2003, did not return a call seeking comment on a second possible run for statewide office.

During a press conference Monday, Breaux declined to discuss possible candidates for his seat.

"I think it's very premature to talk about running for this seat --I'm still in it," he said.

Breaux said he would not pick a successor.

"I will not try in any way to select or anoint or appoint them, since it's not in my capacity nor should it be," Breaux said. "Will I be involved? Perhaps. I'll have to wait and see when we get into the race, but I certainly don't want to try and select my successor. That's not the way it works."

Editor's note: Advocate staff writers Scott Dyer and Gerard Shields contributed to this report.

http://www.2theadvocate.com/stories/121603/new_race001.shtml


7 posted on 12/16/2003 9:18:20 AM PST by deport
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To: deport
In the five southern states, with open seats...the Dems are in huge trouble..W. is very popular in all five, and for a new Dem to win a seat means a whole of ticket-splitting is gonna have to happen, and it ain't....
8 posted on 12/16/2003 9:21:36 AM PST by ken5050
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To: ken5050
That maybe true of most of the races but LA offers an entirely different prespective... I hope the Republicans can come out on top but their process provides for an unsure outcome.
9 posted on 12/16/2003 9:25:03 AM PST by deport
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To: deport
I understand what you're saying..but the third time's the charm....the GOP came close twice..and how there's an even stronger message....look Lousianans..the GOP controls the WH and the Congress...and you dummies, you elected yourselves a Dem senator and a Dem governor...so, if you all wanna get anything from DC, you better elect a GOP senator.....even more true if Tauzin retires...
10 posted on 12/16/2003 9:29:13 AM PST by ken5050
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To: ken5050
It's possible that a candidate could use the 'elect a republican' so we'll have one of each up there... That may help somewhat. The real problem comes in if there is a runoff which then occurs in Dec. and the President isn't on the ticket then. They have been close... Landrieu won by some 5,000 or so votes the first time in 1996, held by some 4% or so the second time....

Proud Mary the senior senator to be from LA.
11 posted on 12/16/2003 9:35:29 AM PST by deport
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To: deport
Yup..she's busy on the Armed Services Committee....

BTW..what's the chance, if the numbers around the country look good in the other senate races, and the GOP realy wants LAS..that W asks Tauzin to run?...

12 posted on 12/16/2003 9:37:17 AM PST by ken5050
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To: ken5050
I'm still wondering if he's inline for the Movie Industry position. If so then he'd not be interested is my guess. Things will begin to shake out over the next couple of months as different potential candidates begin the process of seeing what money is out there for them. Money will drive the race in the final analysis.

13 posted on 12/16/2003 9:44:51 AM PST by deport
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To: ken5050; deport
I would like to see Hunt Downer take Billy Tauzin's seat. Also, word from WWL is Jindal is considering running for Vitter's seat if he runs for Senate. That would be great.
14 posted on 12/17/2003 6:42:15 AM PST by bduet (sarcasm turned on)
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To: bduet
Thanks for the info...
15 posted on 12/17/2003 6:58:33 AM PST by ken5050
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To: bduet
I would like to see Hunt Downer take Billy Tauzin's seat.


Should Tauzin leave I'd guess Downer would be a strong candidate as he's from the district. He headed up President Bush's 'Democrats for Bush' 2000 group in LA and then switched to the Republican Party afterwards.

I guess Jindal is planning to move into the district if that's the case. Is there not a local with strong support?
16 posted on 12/17/2003 7:45:37 AM PST by deport
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To: ken5050
BTW..what's the chance, if the numbers around the country look good in the other senate races, and the GOP realy wants LAS..that W asks Tauzin to run?...

I heard a rumor that Tauzin is stepping down to take Jack Valenti's spot as head of the Motion Picture Association of America. Probably the most lucrative lobbying post in the country.

17 posted on 12/17/2003 7:57:42 AM PST by mac_truck (Aide toi et dieu l’aidera)
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To: mac_truck
I've heard that also..seems fairly strong rumor...but I wonder if the numbers suggest that the GOP could get close to a 60+..the W might ask Billy to run for the seat...even allowing him to step down after a few years....and there's another reason why Tauzin is important...when he crossed the aisle, he was very well treated by the GOP.kept his seniority, and was given his choice of committee assignments, and a high profile chair....so he could, as a Senator, be the ambassador to get Nelson of Nebraska to change parties...Ben won't have much fun in the Dem caucus...
18 posted on 12/17/2003 8:04:38 AM PST by ken5050
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