[E. Pluribus Unum]

It is claimed he will refer to the capture of ex-Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein.

If it were really Usama, it would be a videotape.

And if this weren't a recycled tape, we wouldn't need to be told that there was something on it that will "prove" Usama knew of Saddam's capture when he made it.

[little jeremiah]

I don't think that just because it isn't a video automatically Osama is dead. He may be dead, he may not be. But if he has changed his appearance via hair dye, shaving, plastic sugery, etc, then it would be logical (if he is alive) not to be on video.