Poll: Bush beats Dean in California

WorldNetDaily ^ | 1/13/04

[DeFault User]

Tuesday, January 13, 2004

ELECTION 2004 Poll: Bush beats Dean in California President pulls over 50% of vote in hypothetical contest

Posted: January 13, 2004 5:00 p.m. Eastern

© 2004 WorldNetDaily.com President Bush, who soundly lost California and its 54 electoral votes to Al Gore in 2000, would win a hypothetical matchup with Democrat Howard Dean in the Golden State, a new poll reveals.

The survey, conducted by Probolsky Research, finds Bush winning a majority of votes, or 50.9 percent. Dean garnered 35.4 percent, while 3.7 percent of respondents would choose a candidate other than Bush or Dean. Ten percent said they were not sure.

Bush does better with men than women voters, with 55.3 percent of those polled choosing to re-elect the president. Dean took in 33 percent of the men surveyed. Of the women polled, Bush received 46.8 percent of the vote, while Dean was favored by 38.5 percent.

Conducted in both English and Spanish, the poll included the responses of 625 Californians and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Gore beat Bush in California in 2000, 53.5 percent to 41.7 percent. The state's party registration favors Democrats, who make up 43.6 percent of voters compared to 35.3 percent who are Republicans. Sixteen percent of voters in California decline to state a party affiliation.

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[DeFault User]

"Are we there yet?"

[tirednvirginia]

That is truly anmazing! Or maybe it isn't so amazing with a matchup with Dean.

[eureka!]

Kewl is right. Wait until W campaigns--with Arnold. Hehehehe....

[mware]

Oh my word, if this happens it will be so sweet.

[section9]

Holy Shi'ite, Batman!

This means that California is in play. New York looks lost, but if the Dems have to play defense out there, Howard is toast.

Be Seeing You,

Chris

[DeFault User]

Probolsky Research: Anybody heard of this outfit?

[The G Man]

Probolsky Research??

[So Cal Rocket]

We just have to hope that Howard Dean doesn't totally implode before the Democratic National Convention.

[My2Cents]

What is "Probolsky Research"? I've been involved in California government and politics for over 25 years, and I've never heard of Probolsky Research. It may be a legit survey research firm. I hope it is, as I like the results, but I've never heard of them.

[The Old Hoosier]

Dean will make it too easy for Bush. He will forget his base completely.

[orionblamblam]

Not a chance in hell do I believe this. It'd be nice, but then, so would having a platinum meteor land in my back yard.

[stylin19a]

I wonder who authorized\paid for the poll ? maybe...........HILLARY ?????

[bayourod]

"Wait until W campaigns--with Arnold. Hehehehe.."

Arnold will look like a 90 lb weakling next to Bush. They'll have to carefully plan the photo ops. John Tower used to do his on capitol steps. He would stand about three steps above Presidents Nixon and Ford.

[DeFault User]

Here is a link to the poll and their website:

http://www.probolskyresearch.com/January%2012,%202004%20-%20California%20Voter%20Survey%20-%20Bush%20vs.%20Dean%20Head-to-head.pdf

[Saundra Duffy]

Yahoo

[Pubbie]

*Ping*!

[StoneColdGOP]

Never heard of them.

Probably named after the electrian in the office building of the Republican fundraisers who created, er... commissioned this poll to try to tap into big donors in California.

[StoneColdGOP]

I'm still not voting for him.

[My2Cents]

Thanks.