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Newsweek Poll: Kerry surges to the head of the pack, beating even Bush. ( Lib RAG Alert)
newsweek via msnbc.msn.com ^ | 01/24/04 | Brian Braiker

Posted on 01/24/2004 1:55:23 PM PST by KQQL

Bush’s own standing has slipped among registered voters. "Because of American leadership and resolve, the world is changing for the better," he declared Tuesday. But more people now say they are dissatisfied (52 percent) than satisfied (43 percent) with the way things are going in the United States, down from a post-9/11 peak last April of 50 percent satisfied. And even thought Bush used the State of the Union to emphasize his controversial tax cuts, Medicare overhaul, opposition to gay marriage and a burgeoning economic rebound, Bush saw his job performance ratings dip to 50 percent approval (versus 44 percent who disapprove)—his most negative ratings to date—suggesting a nation sharply divided over the president and his policies. To be sure, Bush is just as solidly backed by Republicans (85 percent) as he is opposed by Democrats (86 percent).

Overall, 52 percent of those polled by NEWSWEEK say they would not like to see Bush serve a second term, compared to 44 percent who want to see him win again in November.

As a result, Kerry is enjoying a marginal advantage over Bush, a first for the poll. Forty-nine percent of registered voters chose Kerry, compared to 46 percent who re-elected Bush.

In fact, all Democrats are polling better against Bush, perhaps due to increased media attention to their primary horserace: Clark gets 47 percent of voters’ choice compared to 48 percent from Bush; Edwards has 46 percent compared to Bush’s 49; Leiberman wins 45 percent versus Bush’s 49 percent; and Dean fares the worst with 45 percent of their votes to Bush’s 50 percent.

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For this NEWSWEEK poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates interviewed 1,006 adults aged 18 and older Jan. 22 and Jan. 23 by telephone. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points

(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.msn.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; newsweak; polls
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1 posted on 01/24/2004 1:55:27 PM PST by KQQL
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To: Pubbie; ambrose; Torie; deport
Election between Ferry and W will be close.
2 posted on 01/24/2004 1:56:20 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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3 posted on 01/24/2004 1:57:17 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: KQQL
W has hacked off a lot of conservative voters, including me.
4 posted on 01/24/2004 1:57:37 PM PST by Gordian Blade
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To: KQQL
Bush better hurry up and announce some more illegal alien amnesties.
5 posted on 01/24/2004 1:58:10 PM PST by dagnabbit (Tell Bush where to put his Amnesty, Mexico-Merger, and Global Labor Pool for US jobs - Vote Tancredo)
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To: dagnabbit
I bet this poll is heavy on Reg Dem voters.

6 posted on 01/24/2004 1:59:05 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: dagnabbit
well you can always vote for Kerry....lol
7 posted on 01/24/2004 1:59:42 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: KQQL
Adults but not registered likely's. Fah.
8 posted on 01/24/2004 1:59:45 PM PST by Brett66 (<a href="http://www.michaelmoore.com">miserable failure</a>)
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Comment #9 Removed by Moderator

To: Brett66
Forty-nine percent of registered voters chose Kerry, compared to 46 percent who re-elected Bush. In fact, all Democrats are polling better against Bush, perhaps due to increased media attention to their primary horserace: Clark gets 47 percent of voters’ choice compared to 48 percent from Bush; Edwards has 46 percent compared to Bush’s 49; Leiberman wins 45 percent versus Bush’s 49 percent; and Dean fares the worst with 45 percent of their votes to Bush’s 50 percent.
10 posted on 01/24/2004 2:03:38 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: hgro
Also, SPENDING IS OUT OF CONTROL !
11 posted on 01/24/2004 2:04:19 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: Brett66
Not registered, or to be more accurate, likely voters. But what else can one expect from the rag that employs Spikey Isikoff?
12 posted on 01/24/2004 2:05:21 PM PST by mewzilla
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To: KQQL
Folks should remember that Gore and Nader got 51 percent last time round and that immigrants and their children joining the voting roles have probably added another one percent to the blue side of the ledger since then.

Bush has always faced a tough reelection fight - even before he pissed off his base.

13 posted on 01/24/2004 2:06:11 PM PST by dagnabbit (Tell Bush where to put his Amnesty, Mexico-Merger, and Global Labor Pool for US jobs - Vote Tancredo)
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To: KQQL
And to think Ted Kennedy is the most conservative Senator in Massachusetts!
14 posted on 01/24/2004 2:06:35 PM PST by tractorman
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To: Gordian Blade
W has hacked off a lot of conservative voters, including me.

So, you'd rather see the Democrats back in power, right? Of course not! But that's the alternative: Either Bush or high taxes and the foreign policy of France. W ain't perfect (from this Conservative's point of view): he's just a hell of a lot better than the alternative. As for Newsweak, that left-wing rag can go pound sand. 1006 people out of 120,000,000 million votes is hardly a meaningful sample.

15 posted on 01/24/2004 2:07:17 PM PST by andy58-in-nh
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To: KQQL
There's a huge difference between registerred and likely voters. Polls that are taken from likely voters are usually far more accurate.
16 posted on 01/24/2004 2:07:41 PM PST by WinOne4TheGipper (The Democrats: an innovative bunch. Every time you think they've hit bottom, they find new lows.)
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To: KQQL
I don't agree. W. beats Kerry by at least 8%
17 posted on 01/24/2004 2:08:00 PM PST by ambrose
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President Bush - Job Approval Ratings
Approve Disapprove

Newsweek 22-23 50 44%
ABC News/Wash Post 1/15 - 1/18 58% 40%
Zogby** 1/15 - 1/18 49% 50%
CBS News/NY Times 1/12 - 1/15 50% 45%
NBC News/WSJ 1/10 - 1/12 54% 41% + 13%


18 posted on 01/24/2004 2:09:17 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: KQQL
Last year, Kerry said he didn't need the South to win the White House. He planned on blowing off the South and concentrate his resources on NH, NV, AZ, MI, PA, WI, and MN.

I hope he is still planning on following that election strategy. We need to win those open Senate seats in the South.
19 posted on 01/24/2004 2:09:33 PM PST by Kuksool
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To: will1776
There's a huge difference between registerred and likely voters. Polls that are taken from likely voters are usually far more accurate.

And this poll isnt even taken among registered voters. Its among "adults" age 18 and older.

20 posted on 01/24/2004 2:10:21 PM PST by Dave S
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To: ambrose
It depends .....economy and situation in Iraq
21 posted on 01/24/2004 2:10:26 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: andy58-in-nh
but they are able to use these polls to sway undecideds to Kerry, that is their purpose.
22 posted on 01/24/2004 2:11:46 PM PST by oceanview
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To: KQQL
Well, one thing is certain: Next year we will either have a Republican or a Democrat in the presidency.
23 posted on 01/24/2004 2:12:15 PM PST by anniegetyourgun
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To: KQQL
Of course it depends on those things. It doesn't depend on a Newsweak poll in weak after which Kerry has received nothing but glowing and positive coverage and while W. still hasn't turned on the campaign machinery.
24 posted on 01/24/2004 2:12:54 PM PST by ambrose
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To: KQQL
This would be laughable except it seems some of you believe it. Conservatives once again will shoot themselves in the foot and then scream for 4 years if a democrat is elected. Even democrats don't get everything they want when they elect a President. So, go ahead and let a democrat be elected and then please be quiet for the following 4 years. IMO, I am about fed up listening to the whining of so called conservatives. Be happy for once in your life (if that is possible)that we have a wonderful President who we should respect. Thank you very much!!!!!!!!!!!
25 posted on 01/24/2004 2:13:07 PM PST by calchey
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To: Kuksool
You are right, he will only compete with W in following Red states NH, NV, AZ, OH , FL, WV and AR
26 posted on 01/24/2004 2:13:37 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: KQQL
The true purpose of this poll is to sway the Rats in N. Hampshire.

Pure manipulation. Media has done nothing but bash Dean for weeks, nothing but kissy poo coverage of Kerry, and now this poll. Bet the stupid Rat lemmings won't pick up on the fact they're being buffaloed into supporting the establishment anointed candidate over the outsider, Howard Dean.
27 posted on 01/24/2004 2:15:05 PM PST by ambrose
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To: KQQL
Kerry's wife, Teresa Heinz, still has strong local ties in PA. She could actually deliver PA for Kerry, along with a few neighboring Great Lakes states. I think the 2004 election outcome will be determined in the Midwest.
28 posted on 01/24/2004 2:17:11 PM PST by Kuksool
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To: Kuksool
You are right, OH and MO could decide the race.
29 posted on 01/24/2004 2:19:48 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: andy58-in-nh
So, you'd rather see the Democrats back in power, right?

Great question. Why don't you pose it to someone who can really influence the outcome: George W. Bush himself?

Shriekers like you always seem to assume that the individual voter is the only dynamic factor in a presidential election. In your world Bush is a helpless static factor, imprisoned by circumstances beyond his control. It is thus up to the individual voter to rescue him from his prison.

In truth, Bush can vitally affect the outcome of the election depending on the strategy he adopts. On the advice of people such as Karl Rove, Bush has calculated the odds and determined that he must suck up to seniors and illegal aliens to win. That is the "winning" strategy he has adopted, and he has adopted it in the full expectation that he will lose the "unappeasable" conservative voters such as myself.

Has Bush miscalculated? If you believe he has, whine to him about it. If you believe he is right on the money, why are you complaining at all?

30 posted on 01/24/2004 2:21:03 PM PST by Kevin Curry (Dems' magnificent four: Shrieking Nikita, Frenchie La Lurch , Gen. Jack D. Ripper, and Lionel Putz)
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To: anniegetyourgun
Well, one thing is certain: Next year we will either have a Republican or a Democrat in the presidency.

Your statement Tailored pragmatically reads we WILL have a Republican in the Presidency.

31 posted on 01/24/2004 2:23:30 PM PST by EGPWS
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Comment #32 Removed by Moderator

To: EGPWS
No...I don't assume that. Remember, this is the electorate that sent Bill Clinton to the Whitehouse....twice.
33 posted on 01/24/2004 2:26:50 PM PST by anniegetyourgun
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Comment #34 Removed by Moderator

To: Kevin Curry
That is the "winning" strategy he has adopted, and he has adopted it in the full expectation that he will lose the "unappeasable" conservative voters such as myself.

And still will win reelection in a landslide.

Sadly enough, in politics making everyone happy is an impossibility, and Carl knows this to his credit.

35 posted on 01/24/2004 2:29:57 PM PST by EGPWS
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To: Gordian Blade
We have a 2 party system that ensures that no American with strong ideological views is truly satisfied. The fact remains, however, that there is will be a vast difference between Bush and whoever the Democrats nominate. And that difference makes voting worthwhile. You can bet that those on the far Left will be voting Democrat, even if they run a centrist campaign in the general election.
36 posted on 01/24/2004 2:30:30 PM PST by rockinonritalin (nilatirnonikcor)
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To: KQQL
No it won't. Kerry is a lightweight.
37 posted on 01/24/2004 2:31:52 PM PST by Pubbie (Hillary is not running in 2004 - GET OVER IT People!)
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To: KQQL
This is not good. W is starting to fade even earlier than his Poppy did. If any of you bigwig Republican movers and shakers out there are reading this, now's the time to jettison the wishy-washy bullcrap and go on the attack, before we see history repeat itself.
38 posted on 01/24/2004 2:32:44 PM PST by jpl
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To: KQQL
Newsweak polls are heavily slanted in favor of Democrats.
39 posted on 01/24/2004 2:32:46 PM PST by Pubbie (Hillary is not running in 2004 - GET OVER IT People!)
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To: rockinonritalin
Oh there you go...making sense again....
40 posted on 01/24/2004 2:32:51 PM PST by anniegetyourgun
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To: Pubbie
we shall see....
41 posted on 01/24/2004 2:33:08 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: KQQL
Well duh.

Who has gotten all the news lately. The demos. Dukakis was up 17% after the demo convention in 88.

42 posted on 01/24/2004 2:34:05 PM PST by Dane
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To: anniegetyourgun
this is the electorate that sent Bill Clinton to the Whitehouse....twice.

The electorate has changed colors drastically since BJ Clinton's tenor however, IMHO.

This shouldn't change peoples attitudes on making sure they vote though.

43 posted on 01/24/2004 2:35:49 PM PST by EGPWS
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To: andy58-in-nh
Exactly! Many of us conservatives are not 100% happy with President Bush, but not voting for him and helping to put a dem back in the WH is cutting off your nose to spite your face. I know, that's an old, overused saying, but I get so frustrated when I read the posts of the people who are going to, in my opinion, waste their vote on someone else.
44 posted on 01/24/2004 2:35:53 PM PST by Theresawithanh (Tagline? What the heck's a tagline????)
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To: jpl
This is not good. W is starting to fade even earlier than his Poppy did

Please, W. hasn't even started campaigning. It's freaking January.

Heck I think that even Mondale was polling in front of reagan during the demo primaries in 84.

45 posted on 01/24/2004 2:36:22 PM PST by Dane
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To: andy58-in-nh
Apparently some people have a very short memory and now think a demonrat in the White House wouldn't be all that bad. Conservatives can be very stubborn and aren't satisfied with incremental change...it is their way or nothing. Hopefully, the so-called moderates in the country will see straight and vote for Bush.
46 posted on 01/24/2004 2:36:30 PM PST by E=MC<sup>2</sup>
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To: Gordian Blade
W has hacked off a lot of conservative voters, including me.

Yup, he has steadily turned broken-glass Republicans into why-bother Republicans. I've been predicting since very early in his administration that he would be a one-termer, and he's done nothing to make me think differently. I did think he'd cruise to victory after Dean the Psycho appeared to be the Democratic nominee, but that's gone. Bush will desperately need an energized base in November, but he won't have it. If Kerry wins the nomination and there's no new major military crisis in November, Bush will lose.

MM

P.S. BTW, there's a 99% chance I'll vote for Bush again, simply because there's no realistic alternative and he's the slight lesser of multiple evils.

47 posted on 01/24/2004 2:37:48 PM PST by MississippiMan
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To: Pubbie
No it won't. Kerry is a lightweight.

Convince his face of that fact!...sorry, I couldn't help myself.

48 posted on 01/24/2004 2:38:26 PM PST by EGPWS
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To: KQQL
From this Massachusetts point of view, I can not believe that this good news for Kerry will last. Right now he's the unnamed Democrat frontrunner. Once people start to see and hear more from him, the charm will wear off. No one really likes him up here. I'm chuckling at the Democrats who've suddenly decided that he's the best guy for their nomination. New Hampshirites should know better. They get our tv.
49 posted on 01/24/2004 2:38:48 PM PST by HostileTerritory
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To: KQQL
Forget the economy. If Americans keep dying in Iraq, and no WMDs turn up, Bush is done. And this is coming from someone who plans to vote for him no matter what.
50 posted on 01/24/2004 2:38:54 PM PST by paul544 (3D-Joy OH Boy!!!)
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