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Poll Shows Kerry Hanging Onto Slim Lead In N.H.
WMUR Channel 9 NH ^
| April 30, 2004
| WMUR
Posted on 04/30/2004 3:47:26 PM PDT by DM1
DURHAM, N.H. -- New Hampshire residents are closely split on who they plan to vote for in the nest presidential election.
N.H. Battleground State In Election
A new poll will be released next week by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Pollster Andy Smith said the poll will show Sen. John Kerry with a slim lead over President George W. Bush, but there are signs that could change.
Since February, the president's approval ratings have remained in the high 40s, but Kerry's numbers dropped dramatically over the last two months, from 57 to 46 percent. Smith said he's not surprised by the shift.
"The afterglow from the Democratic primary is wearing off," Smith said. "It's no longer just a Democratic message. Secondly, Bush has aired many TV ads in the state."
Both Bush and Kerry have spent millions of dollars on TV ads across the country. Smith said the numbers indicate Bush is currently stronger on economic issues.
"That's good news for the president, because pocketbook issues override most other things," Smith said.
But the numbers also indicate Bush is losing ground on foreign policy and leaving an opening for the Massachusetts Democrat.
"If Iraq continues to be an open sore, if there are no fixes soon, this could be the issue where John Kerry can make headway into," Smith said.
Smith said the election in New Hampshire could hinge on turnout election, with the two candidates separated by just a couple of points.
"I'd say we're definitely still a battleground state, it's still close, and John Kerry still leads," Smith said.
The UNH Survey Center will release the results of its presidential poll early next week.
TOPICS: Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: 2004; bush; election; freestateproject; fsp; kerry; nh; poll; porcupines; unh
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This bothers me NH has Rs for all statewide offices and the Senate/Legislature is a huge majority of Rs. How can Kerry be ahead!! Anyone have any incite as to how this will play out? Also since it is so close anyone have any insight as to how good Bush's Ground Game is in NH?
1
posted on
04/30/2004 3:47:27 PM PDT
by
DM1
To: DM1
Bush won NH by 1%
2
posted on
04/30/2004 3:51:08 PM PDT
by
KQQL
(@)
To: Torie; ambrose; Kuksool
@
3
posted on
04/30/2004 3:51:50 PM PDT
by
KQQL
(@)
To: DM1
I dont get it. Even the die hard lefties at my work think Kerry is a cadaver and by all accounts, so do most of the media. So just who is being polled here?
4
posted on
04/30/2004 3:52:20 PM PDT
by
cardinal4
(Terrence Maculiffe-Ariolimax columbianus (hint- its a gastropod.....)
To: DM1
You can't swing a stick in southern New Hampshire without hitting a MassHole.
5
posted on
04/30/2004 3:53:24 PM PDT
by
billorites
(freepo ergo sum)
To: cardinal4
Most Dems might not like Kerry, but they HATE W ! so they will vote for Kerry.
6
posted on
04/30/2004 3:54:36 PM PDT
by
KQQL
(@)
To: DM1
Kerry has run a terrible campaign so far, but he is still leading in several toss-up states. If he ever gets his act together (a big if), he could definitely win this thing.
To: billorites
Sounds like a fun time to me.
8
posted on
04/30/2004 4:02:55 PM PDT
by
Leisler
(Everything is forbidden except when expressly permitted.)
To: DM1
The poll was of 300 registered farm animals.
9
posted on
04/30/2004 4:04:08 PM PDT
by
AmishDude
To: cardinal4
"I dont get it. Even the die hard lefties at my work think Kerry is a cadaver and by all accounts, so do most of the media. So just who is being polled here?"
i know! that is why all of this close/ Kerry leading is so surprising
I really really hope that BC04 has their act together on this one and surprises us all by winning BIG
10
posted on
04/30/2004 4:04:53 PM PDT
by
DM1
To: cardinal4
The poll is of 537 adult alien abductors.
To: DM1
It was a phone poll of 1003 Amish.
To: AmishDude
UNH is a reliable pollster in NH.
Even FOXNEWS used them this year.
13
posted on
04/30/2004 4:10:03 PM PDT
by
KQQL
(@)
To: KQQL
UNH is a reliable pollster in NH. The poll was of 100 fraternity treasurers.
Duuuuuuuuuuude!!!
To: KQQL
---Most Dems might not like Kerry, but they HATE W ! so they will vote for Kerry.---
They'll say they'll vote for Kerry. I think many will just stay home.
15
posted on
04/30/2004 4:14:43 PM PDT
by
claudiustg
(Go Sharon! Go Bush!)
To: AmishDude
dude I KNOW what I am talking about.
Kerry is from MA, and NH gets MA tv stations, papers etc, and is up by only 2%?
That the good news.
16
posted on
04/30/2004 4:14:50 PM PDT
by
KQQL
(@)
To: claudiustg
That's why Kerry's VP nominee will be Edwards or IA GOV
17
posted on
04/30/2004 4:16:48 PM PDT
by
KQQL
(@)
To: AmishDude
Amish? do they even have phones?
18
posted on
04/30/2004 4:18:06 PM PDT
by
DM1
To: KQQL
Oh, I'm just funnin'. Polls are just so meaningless now and now they tease a poll without any details.
Truth is, if we look at the polls of Kerry's approval ratings, we see that nearly 40% are undecided. With such a polarized country and a polarized candidate, Kerry should be less than 10% undecided easily.
I bet if you ask "Who do you prefer for president?" without giving a name, I'll bet Bush wins 40% to 20% for Kerry.
To: DM1
Amish? do they even have phones?No. And very slow DSL connections, too.
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