Replies

This is a nightmare scenario for the Liberals. They will have to suck up to the NDP to keep them in the fold. This will mean moving to the left. Approximately 1/4 to 1/3 of their voters are moderates and may be quite conservative on many issues and will be unhappy with any compromises with the NDP. The NDP will be extremely demanding lest their supporter see them as subservient to the Liberals. If the NDP are seen as a wholly owned subsidiary of the Liberals, their far left will go Green, while their right will simply decide to vote Liberal the next time. Consequently, the NDP will be very difficult to deal with so they can keep their gains. Remember that the NDP's only hope of ever forming a majority government of their own is over the dead body of the LP. Meanwhile the scandals loom over the Liberals. If they cover them up, they will be thrown out the next time. If they bring the guilty to justice, who knows how deep into the party it will go. If the NDP go along with a coverup they will be seen as complicit so they will have to speak out against the corruption causing friction between themselves and the Liberals. This all should be fun to watch.

My final 3:00 AM update. From CBC.ca:

Overall Election Results
Party	Elected	Leading	Total	Vote Share
LIB	135	0	135	36.71%
CON	99	0	99	29.61%
BQ	54	0	54	12.40%
NDP	19	0	19	15.69%
NA	1	0	1	.13%
OTH	0	0	0	5.47%
Last Update: June 29, 3:06:34 AM EDT				308 seats

By Region:

ATLANTIC
Party	Elected	Leading	Vote Count	Vote Share
LIB	22	0	473483	43.79%
CON	7	0	324975	30.05%
NDP	3	0	244326	22.6%
Last Update: June 29, 3:06:03 AM EDT				32 seats

QUEBEC
Party	Elected	Leading	Vote Count	Vote Share
BQ	54	0	1673303	48.82%
LIB	21	0	1161465	33.88%
CON	0	0	300659	8.77%
NDP	0	0	158882	4.64%
Last Update: June 29, 3:05:32 AM EDT				75 seats

ONTARIO
Party	Elected	Leading	Vote Count	Vote Share
LIB	75	0	2259987	44.67%
CON	24	0	1592368	31.47%
NDP	7	0	915291	18.09%
Last Update: June 29, 3:05:32 AM EDT				106 seats

PRAIRIES
Party	Elected	Leading	Vote Count	Vote Share
CON	46	0	1147260	52.84%
LIB	6	0	552357	25.44%
NDP	4	0	331870	15.29%
Last Update: June 29, 3:05:01 AM EDT				56 seats

BRITISH COLUMBIA
Party	Elected	Leading	Vote Count	Vote Share
CON	22	0	625119	36.26%
LIB	8	0	492762	28.59%
NDP	5	0	457167	26.52%
NA	1	0	17174	1%
Last Update: June 29, 3:06:03 AM EDT				36 seats

By Province/Territory:

NEWFOUNDLAND
Party	Elected	Leading	Vote Count	Vote Share
LIB	5	0	95178	47.98%
CON	2	0	64120	32.32%
NDP	0	0	34694	17.49%
Last Update: June 29, 3:06:03 AM EDT				7 seats

NOVA SCOTIA
Party	Elected	Leading	Vote Count	Vote Share
LIB	6	0	173207	39.66%
CON	3	0	122181	27.97%
NDP	2	0	124121	28.42%
Last Update: June 29, 3:06:03 AM EDT				11 seats

NEW BRUNSWICK
Party	Elected	Leading	Vote Count	Vote Share
LIB	7	0	164995	44.63%
CON	2	0	115196	31.16%
NDP	1	0	75953	20.54%
Last Update: June 29, 3:06:03 AM EDT				10 seats

PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
Party	Elected	Leading	Vote Count	Vote Share
LIB	4	0	40103	52.48%
CON	0	0	23478	30.72%
NDP	0	0	9558	12.51%
Last Update: June 29, 3:05:32 AM EDT				4 seats

QUEBEC
Party	Elected	Leading	Vote Count	Vote Share
BQ	54	0	1673303	48.82%
LIB	21	0	1161465	33.88%
CON	0	0	300659	8.77%
NDP	0	0	158882	4.64%
Last Update: June 29, 3:05:32 AM EDT				75 seats

ONTARIO
Party	Elected	Leading	Vote Count	Vote Share
LIB	75	0	2259987	44.67%
CON	24	0	1592368	31.47%
NDP	7	0	915291	18.09%
Last Update: June 29, 3:05:32 AM EDT				106 seats

MANITOBA
Party	Elected	Leading	Vote Count	Vote Share
CON	7	0	185022	39.13%
NDP	4	0	110901	23.46%
LIB	3	0	156970	33.2%
Last Update: June 29, 3:06:34 AM EDT				14 seats

SASKATCHEWAN
Party	Elected	Leading	Vote Count	Vote Share
CON	13	0	178309	41.81%
LIB	1	0	115825	27.16%
NDP	0	0	99608	23.36%
Last Update: June 29, 3:06:34 AM EDT				14 seats

ALBERTA
Party	Elected	Leading	Vote Count	Vote Share
CON	26	0	783929	61.64%
LIB	2	0	279562	21.98%
NDP	0	0	121361	9.54%
Last Update: June 29, 3:06:34 AM EDT				28 seats

BRITISH COLUMBIA
Party	Elected	Leading	Vote Count	Vote Share
CON	22	0	625119	36.26%
LIB	8	0	492762	28.59%
NDP	5	0	457167	26.52%
NA	1	0	17174	1%
Last Update: June 29, 3:06:03 AM EDT				36 seats

YUKON

Candidate

Party

Vote Count

Vote Share

Elected

Larry Bagnell

LIB

5679

45.73%

X

Pam Boyde

NDP

3184

25.64%

James Hartle

CON

2591

20.86%

Philippe LeBlond

GRN

563

4.53%

Sean Davey

MP

288

2.32%

Geoffrey Capp

CHP

114

0.92%

Last Update: June 29, 3:06:03 AM EDT

93 of 94 polls reporting

NORTHWEST TERRITORIES

Candidate

Party

Vote Count

Vote Share

Elected

Ethel Blondin-Andrew

LIB

5313

39.44%

X

Dennis Bevington

NDP

5261

39.05%

Sean Mandeville

CON

2314

17.18%

Chris O'Brien

GRN

583

4.33%

Last Update: June 29, 3:06:03 AM EDT

87 of 87 polls reporting

NUNAVUT

Candidate

Party

Vote Count

Vote Share

Elected

Nancy Karetak-Lindell

LIB

3705

51.15%

X

Manitok Thompson

IND

1173

16.19%

Bill Riddell

NDP

1108

15.3%

Duncan Cunningham

CON

1049

14.48%

Nedd Kenney

GRN

208

2.87%

Last Update: June 29, 3:06:03 AM EDT

56 of 58 polls reporting

Can the libs just buy off some representative? Could Canada have a Jim Jeffords like switch?