Posted on 07/02/2004 10:09:42 AM PDT by republicanwizard
New SC Poll Shows DeMint Leading
First post run-off poll has DeMint at 50%; Presidential race will be a drag on Tenenbaum
(The following is an excerpted press release from the National Republican Senatorial Committee this morning)
Washington, D.C. Congressman Jim DeMints strong and impressive victory in last Tuesdays Republican run-off in South Carolina has him well positioned as the general election heads into high gear. A poll conducted this week shows him holding a firm lead over Democratic challenger Inez Tenenbaum 50% to 43%.
...The poll shows that DeMints name ID equals that of Tenenbaums, while overall his image among South Carolina voters is more favorable. Of the voters who have already formed opinions of both candidates, DeMints lead increases to 13 points 52% to 39%.
Glen Bolger of Public Opinion Strategies (POS), the pollster who conducted the survey wrote that, Jim DeMint has used a strong run-off victory as a springboard to vault past Inez Tenenbaum and into the lead in the South Carolina Senate race.
Even more troubling for Tenenbaum and Democrats, both in South Carolina and nationally, is the drag that Democratic presidential nominee, John Kerry, will be on her campaign in the rock solid Republican state. South Carolina voters have a more unfavorable than favorable opinion of Kerry, with 40% favorable to 45% unfavorable. In sharp contrast, President Bush carries a hefty 61% favorable to 36% unfavorable.
In a head-to-head match-up, South Carolinians are solidly backing President Bush over Kerry 55% to 40%....
Good news indeed!!
I expect a three to five seat pickup by the GOP in the Senate, and at a minimum six seats in the House.
Yeah, now if we can get Martinez across the finish line in Florida, that will mean +3 in the Senate.
Of course I'd like Burr and Vitter to win, but both have work to do. Who knows what will happen in SD...
You and I should be more concerned with carrying our states for the President; else, those pick-ups won't matter.
Good news indeed!
"You and I should be more concerned with carrying our states for the President; else, those pick-ups won't matter."
I'm not as concerned about my state of Ohio as others are. Ohio will vote for the President.
We need these Southern senate seats really badly with IL and Alaska not looking so good.
Are you sure? The economic data out of Ohio hasn't been overwhelming.
POS is pro-GOP, but this is great.
For perspective...
1936 Presidential Election Results - South Carolina
Franklin Roosevelt 113,791 98.57%
Alfred Landon 1,646 1.43%
If my Ohio friend and I do our job, Bush will pull Lisa across the line.
And what's the status in your battleground state?
I think we'll take all four -- FL/GA/SC/NC. IL and CO are looking sketchy, and we don't know who our nominees will be; LA is its own bizarre world. Coburn will probably go all the way in OK, and Lisa hang on in AK. Which leaves us hoping for Thune, Nethercutt, probably Russ Darrow, and Bill Jones.
I've given up on Illinois. Better we spend that money in Wisconsin and make it competitive.
What annoys me, to no end, is that Dorgan can appear in Moore documentaries and still get elected in ND.
That was a different time. I never had a doubt in my mind that when Senator Foghorn "Too much consoooomin'" Leghorn retired, his seat would be a pickup. Hillary II can take a hike.
We'll need to get 51% on election day b/c pubbies have had some trouble in the runoffs.
"Are you sure? The economic data out of Ohio hasn't been overwhelming."
As sure as you can be at this point. Kerry missed his chance to make Ohio a true "battleground" this past January. His campaign only got around to sending paid staff here in the last six weeks or so.
Most of us Buckeye's understand the root cause of the economic problems here stem from our governor's penchant for driving away business. Blackwell's campaign against the tax hikes has had a positive effect for the President in this regard.
While I'm not thrilled by the various RINO's here, from my two Senators to the Governor, its being overlooked that Ohio is solidly Republican. In 1998, the Clinton's targetted Chabot, and their candidate Qualls got creamed. The Democrats have tried to take down Portman, same result.
Come November, Ohio will go to the President, by a margin that will noticably exceed the "experts".
No kidding. I was giving some perspective on how much South Carolina has changed. Back then, Vermont was a rock-ribbed Republican state.
In any event, I'm glad that we have such talent in South Carolina.
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