Posted on 07/13/2004 8:18:23 AM PDT by presidio9
WASHINGTON, July 12 /U.S. Newswire/ -- A new report from the National Center for Policy Analysis (NCPA) exposes serious problems with the historical climate trends reconstruction published by the United Nations (news - web sites)' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) -- the primary evidence used by policy makers and activists who espouse the theory that human activity is causing catastrophic global warming.
"The IPCC claims that human activities are responsible for nearly all the earth's recorded warming during the past two centuries," said NCPA Adjunct Scholar David Legates, the report's author and director of the Center for Climatic Research at the University of Delaware. "Yet the primary assessment they use as support appears to be more junk science than solid evidence."
At issue is what is commonly referred to as the "hockey stick" -- a widely circulated image that depicts a 700-year period where temperatures remained relatively constant followed by the last 100-plus years where temperatures have shot upwards. The "hockey stick," created by researchers Michael Mann of the University of Virginia and Phil Jones of the University of East Anglia, is used by the IPCC and environmental activists as proof of human-induced global warming.
The NCPA report cites findings from five independent research groups that have uncovered serious problems with Mann and Jones' methodology and calculations, which call into question any of its conclusions. For example:
-- Several researchers found Mann and Jones made errors in the collection and use of varying data from multiple sources, used obsolete data, made incorrect calculations, associated data sets with incorrect geographical locations, inappropriately eliminated specific proxy records that they felt were inaccurate and employed statistical methods that removed long time period trends, such as the widely recognized Medieval Warm Period (about A.D. 800 to 1400) and the Little Ice Age (A.D. 1600 to 1850).
-- Mann published a retraction in the June 2004 issue of Geophysical Research, in which he admits underestimating the temperature variations indicated by the proxy data by more than one-third since 1400, which accounts for why he missed the Little Ice Age. Strangely, Mann still argues this considerable error doesn't impact his conclusions.
-- Further, Legates found the "blade" (or sudden rise in temperature) of Mann's hockey stick could not be reproduced using common statistical techniques, or even employing the same techniques as Mann and Jones.
"Mann's claims that human's have caused tremendous warming over the last 100 years and that the 1990s were the warmest decade are untenable," said Legates. "Looking at the data, the global warming scare appears to be merely 'Mann made' junk science."
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
Bump
junque science ping
It's very obvious that global warming began with widespread condom usage. All that extra friction will destroy us.
However, please try and keep the news about the earth's magnetic field under wraps if you don't mind. Ozone hole dilates-- got to be my fault and I have to give someone money. Ice age late, ditto. Lord only know what kind of crisis they'll make of the magnetic field collapsing (hard hats everyone!!).
How difficult is it to recognize that taking temperature measurements from a weather balloons above the surface of the earth is more accurate than taking temperature measurements at the surface where the asphalt and concrete have great influence on the readings?
I believe personally we are now in the late stages of a 60 year global warming period and will soon be entering a period of rapid global cooling. The last time this happened on earth was about 11,500 years ago. When global cooling begins to happen it will happen rather quickly (do you recall mastadons quick frozen eating wild flowers?).
SUV's and fossil fuels contributed slightly to global weather shifts but not all that much. An argument can be made that we all would have been better off if Detroit had stopped engineering design improvements with the "flat head V-8 engine" because we would not be so dependent on Middle East oil. Oh, well . . . Time marches onward.
To find out more about severe weather shifts go see "The Day After Tomorrow" which has broken records world wide and has sold over $ 530 million tickets. The film exaggerates the weather cycle scenario but is rather eye-opening.
The planet earth lives its own cyclical life as it travels through space like a huge space ship. We are just along for the ride like fleas on a sleeping cat.
Everything is in God's hands and subject to his will.
no.
Fascinating contrast to creationism/evolution, where basically no creationist scientists are paleontologists, and very very few are actual biologists.
The official line (by the scientists directly involved in the research) is that global warming is real and it may be in part caused by humans. I think the jury is still out on global warming, but I think it's a bit blithe to assume this is just junk science. It won't be like that movie, but you'd hate for the drought out west to be permanent. (That's the kind of thing that climate change could cause.) This is why I'm a big fan of nuclear power.
The "hockey stick," created by researchers Michael Mann of the University of Virginia and Phil Jones of the University of East Anglia, is used by the IPCC and environmental activists environmental researchers as proof of human-induced global warming justification for research money.
Read more about Space Weather, Volcanoes, Earthquakes and other stuff Here .
Hold on to your hat. We may be in for a wild ride in the next ten years. Just my humble opinion. Flame away.
Easy for you to say, but in 300,000 years some mentally defective person might dig up the waste and eat it. Are you prepared to run that risk?
Oops, ignore the electoral college.
I thought that this was going to be illegal (Except for plumbers....)
"I would not dismiss shifting magnetic fields so quickly. The "magnetic" North Pole has shifted dramatically in the past 40 years. Now it is not situated on the North Pole but is a few miles inside the Canadian border. Ask any Boy Scout leader."
I hate to burst your bubble, but the magnetic North Pole has NEVER been situated at the geographic North Pole. Also, it hasn't moved in the last few centuries and probably not for eons.
As for me, I pray regularly and at opportune moments each day. Being retired now, I can focus on my personal priorities.
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