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Earth-like planets may be more rare than thought
Nature Magazine ^ | 30 July 2004 | Philip Ball

Posted on 07/30/2004 11:12:50 AM PDT by PatrickHenry

We could be alone in the Universe after all. The discovery during the past decade of over a hundred planets around other stars has encouraged many scientists to think that habitable planets like ours might be common. But a recent study tells them to think again.

Martin Beer of the University of Leicester, UK, and co-workers argue that our Solar System may be highly unusual, compared with the planetary systems of other stars. In a preprint published on Arxiv1 [footnote's link in original article], they point out that the alien planets we have seen so far could have been formed by a completely different process from the one that formed ours. If that is so, says Beer, "there won't necessarily be lots of other Earths up there".

Most of the planets around other stars, known as extrasolar planets, are detected from the wobble that they induce in their own sun's motion. This wobble is caused by the gravitational tug of the planet on the star. Because stars are much bigger than planets, the effect is tiny, and it is only in the past decade that telescopes have been sensitive enough to detect it.

Even then, the wobble is detectable only for giant planets, which are those about as big as Jupiter, the bloated ball of gas in our Solar System. It is not possible at present to detect planets as small as the Earth.

Jupiter is not habitable: it is too cold, and is mostly composed of dense gas. And it is unlikely that extrasolar giant planets would support life either. But astronomers generally assume that if they detect such a planet in a distant solar system, it is likely to be accompanied by other, smaller planets. And maybe some of the smaller planets in these systems are just like Earth.

This is what Beer and colleagues now dispute. They say that the properties of almost all the known extrasolar planets are quite different from those of Jupiter.

Hot Jupiters

There are 110 of these extrasolar planets, at the latest count, and they are all between about a tenth and ten times as massive as Jupiter. Most of them are, however, much closer to their sun than Jupiter is to ours: they are known as 'hot Jupiters'. They also tend to have more elongated orbits than those of Jupiter and the Earth, both of which orbit the Sun on almost circular paths.

Ever since Copernicus displaced the Earth from the centre of the Universe, astronomers have tended to assume that there is nothing special about our place in the cosmos. But apparently our planetary system might not be so normal after all. Is it just chance that makes Jupiter different from other extrasolar planets? Beer and his colleagues suspect not.

They suggest that other planets were not formed by the same kind of process that produced our Solar System, so they might not have smaller, habitable companions.

Different recipes

The planets in our Solar System were put together from small pieces. The cloud of gas and dust that surrounded our newly formed Sun agglomerated into little pebbles, which then collided and stuck together to form rocky boulders and eventually mini-planets, called planetesimals. The coalescence of planetesimals created rocky planets such as Earth and Mars, and the solid cores of giant planets such as Jupiter, which then attracted thick atmospheres of gas.

But that is not the only way to make a solar system. Giant planets can condense directly out of the gaseous material around stars, collapsing under their own gravity. This process, which generates giant planets with a wide range of orbital radii and eccentricities, does not seem capable of producing the rocky planets seen in our own Solar System, which is why it has generally been ignored.

Yet it might account very nicely for the known extrasolar planets. "It wouldn't surprise me if there are two different ways that planetary systems are formed," Beer says. But how can we know if that is the case? "Probably the best way is just to gather more observations," says Beer. Only then can we know how unusual we really are.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Miscellaneous; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: astronomy; cosmology; earth; planets; science; xplanets
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To: The KG9 Kid; ASA Vet

*sigh* make that 4 posts...


61 posted on 07/30/2004 12:41:25 PM PDT by null and void (Freedom is written with blood on the streets, not with ink in congress.)
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Comment #62 Removed by Moderator

To: Rock N Jones

I'm asking you. I have a reason for wanting YOUR answer.


63 posted on 07/30/2004 12:42:22 PM PDT by null and void (Freedom is written with blood on the streets, not with ink in congress.)
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To: Bikers4Bush

You just blew my mind again, brother! If you are ever in Las Vegas call me, I'll buy you a ginger ale and you can share more! ;-)


64 posted on 07/30/2004 12:42:53 PM PDT by HitmanLV (I will not be pushed, filed, stamped, indexed, briefed, debriefed or numbered. My life is my own.)
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To: TruthInExile
No need to spend all that research money. All they had to do is read the Bible.

What is really scary about this statement is that I know that you weren't being sarcastic.
65 posted on 07/30/2004 12:44:12 PM PDT by Dimensio (Join the Monthly Internet Flash Mob: http://www.aa419.org)
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To: Presidente1
However, it means we'll likely never ever contact one.

Probably just as well. I don't look forward to playing explorers and natives, with us cast as the natives...

66 posted on 07/30/2004 12:44:15 PM PDT by null and void (Freedom is written with blood on the streets, not with ink in congress.)
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To: RUCKUS INC.
Big News, the longer we study the Universe the more it invariably points to a Creator who designed this little "happenstance" called Earth.

It does?
67 posted on 07/30/2004 12:44:52 PM PDT by Dimensio (Join the Monthly Internet Flash Mob: http://www.aa419.org)
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To: ZULU

Moreover, I think that we can only find Jupiter-sized planets if they're orbiting really, really close to the star. Since we don't have any gaseous planets next to the Sun, it stands to reason that the only planets we can find right now are the onest that have been formed in a different way. Bottom line: we simply don't have the technology to detect planets like any planet in our Solar System.


68 posted on 07/30/2004 12:46:58 PM PDT by Nataku X (You hear all the time, "Be more like Jesus." But have you ever heard, "Be more like Muhammed"?)
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To: RadioAstronomer
Most of them are, however, much closer to their sun than Jupiter is to ours: they are known as 'hot Jupiters'.

Can you say "selection effect?"

Obviously, large, close planets gravitationally interact more with the parent star than do large, distant planets or small planets at any distance. Thus, our extrasolar planet-detecting systems will preferentially detect the type of planets that the study then cites as the basis on which to conclude that earth-like planets must be rare.

69 posted on 07/30/2004 12:49:08 PM PDT by longshadow
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To: null and void
IIRC, they have a common ancestor Tümuch Beer...

...who is constantly being followed around by his little brother Holdmüh Beer.

70 posted on 07/30/2004 12:49:25 PM PDT by Bloody Sam Roberts (May the wings of Liberty never lose so much as a feather.)
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To: Rock N Jones

The more I read lines of scripture, the more I am convinced that the people who wrote this stuff were doing some pretty drugs.


71 posted on 07/30/2004 12:50:55 PM PDT by commonerX
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To: Dimensio

Yes, it does. What is your best explanation for the fact that the more we learn the more complex everything becomes?


72 posted on 07/30/2004 12:51:25 PM PDT by RUCKUS INC. ("Wow, what a crapweasel." - Frank_Discussion)
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To: ZULU
There is also the "moon factor" which impacts the earths tilt and also provides other benefits of which I can't recall.

The tilt effect is the moderation of swings in axis inclination -- makes for a stable, benign climate. Also, a big moon creates tides, allowing marine life to emerge onto dry land.

Problem is that our Moon is a freak, created during a giant planetary-scale collision 4.5 billion years ago. Although it can happen (clearly), it's not a likely event.

73 posted on 07/30/2004 12:54:33 PM PDT by Cincinatus (Omnia relinquit servare Republicam)
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To: RUCKUS INC.

Ummmm, If the ultimate answer is "God did it" shouldn't everything get simpler the more we learn???


74 posted on 07/30/2004 12:55:21 PM PDT by null and void (Freedom is written with blood on the streets, not with ink in congress.)
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To: RUCKUS INC.
What is your best explanation for the fact that the more we learn the more complex everything becomes?

Everything about becomes more complex precisely because we have learned more about it. It's question of epistemology, not ontology. Your argument that complexity means that there must be a designer is reminiscent of liberals claiming that complexity necessitates a head-in-the-sand approach to everything.

75 posted on 07/30/2004 12:59:44 PM PDT by RightWingAtheist (<A HREF=http://www.michaelmoore.com>stupid blob</A>)
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To: RUCKUS INC.
What is your best explanation for the fact that the more we learn the more complex everything becomes?

Everything about the universe becomes more complex precisely because we have learned more about it. It's question of epistemology, not ontology. Your argument that complexity means that there must be a designer is reminiscent of liberals claiming that complexity necessitates a head-in-the-sand approach to everything.

76 posted on 07/30/2004 1:00:12 PM PDT by RightWingAtheist (<A HREF=http://www.michaelmoore.com>stupid blob</A>)
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To: Junior

Actually only slightly so, except for Pluto. Mars is quite high too. In the table linked here, "Orbital Eccentricity" is the line to look at. The "Ellipticity - Flattening" refers to the non-sphericalness of the planet itself (Saturn stands out here due to high rotation and low density)

http://home.cwru.edu/~sjr16/advanced/planets_main.html


77 posted on 07/30/2004 1:04:15 PM PDT by alnitak ("That kid's about as sharp as a pound of wet liver" - Foghorn Leghorn)
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It's as if there is a Precise Plan For Humanity
78 posted on 07/30/2004 1:05:36 PM PDT by Michael_Michaelangelo
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To: RUCKUS INC.
What is your best explanation for the fact that the more we learn the more complex everything becomes?

The more we learn, the more information we have about how the world works, so naturally we have to come up with more and more complex explanations for it all.

I don't see how that relates to a "Creator".
79 posted on 07/30/2004 1:08:36 PM PDT by Dimensio (Join the Monthly Internet Flash Mob: http://www.aa419.org)
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To: null and void

Aw, what did I do? C'mon, I'm a scientist.


80 posted on 07/30/2004 1:08:47 PM PDT by The KG9 Kid (Semper Fi)
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