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Earth-like planets may be more rare than thought
Nature Magazine ^ | 30 July 2004 | Philip Ball

Posted on 07/30/2004 11:12:50 AM PDT by PatrickHenry

We could be alone in the Universe after all. The discovery during the past decade of over a hundred planets around other stars has encouraged many scientists to think that habitable planets like ours might be common. But a recent study tells them to think again.

Martin Beer of the University of Leicester, UK, and co-workers argue that our Solar System may be highly unusual, compared with the planetary systems of other stars. In a preprint published on Arxiv1 [footnote's link in original article], they point out that the alien planets we have seen so far could have been formed by a completely different process from the one that formed ours. If that is so, says Beer, "there won't necessarily be lots of other Earths up there".

Most of the planets around other stars, known as extrasolar planets, are detected from the wobble that they induce in their own sun's motion. This wobble is caused by the gravitational tug of the planet on the star. Because stars are much bigger than planets, the effect is tiny, and it is only in the past decade that telescopes have been sensitive enough to detect it.

Even then, the wobble is detectable only for giant planets, which are those about as big as Jupiter, the bloated ball of gas in our Solar System. It is not possible at present to detect planets as small as the Earth.

Jupiter is not habitable: it is too cold, and is mostly composed of dense gas. And it is unlikely that extrasolar giant planets would support life either. But astronomers generally assume that if they detect such a planet in a distant solar system, it is likely to be accompanied by other, smaller planets. And maybe some of the smaller planets in these systems are just like Earth.

This is what Beer and colleagues now dispute. They say that the properties of almost all the known extrasolar planets are quite different from those of Jupiter.

Hot Jupiters

There are 110 of these extrasolar planets, at the latest count, and they are all between about a tenth and ten times as massive as Jupiter. Most of them are, however, much closer to their sun than Jupiter is to ours: they are known as 'hot Jupiters'. They also tend to have more elongated orbits than those of Jupiter and the Earth, both of which orbit the Sun on almost circular paths.

Ever since Copernicus displaced the Earth from the centre of the Universe, astronomers have tended to assume that there is nothing special about our place in the cosmos. But apparently our planetary system might not be so normal after all. Is it just chance that makes Jupiter different from other extrasolar planets? Beer and his colleagues suspect not.

They suggest that other planets were not formed by the same kind of process that produced our Solar System, so they might not have smaller, habitable companions.

Different recipes

The planets in our Solar System were put together from small pieces. The cloud of gas and dust that surrounded our newly formed Sun agglomerated into little pebbles, which then collided and stuck together to form rocky boulders and eventually mini-planets, called planetesimals. The coalescence of planetesimals created rocky planets such as Earth and Mars, and the solid cores of giant planets such as Jupiter, which then attracted thick atmospheres of gas.

But that is not the only way to make a solar system. Giant planets can condense directly out of the gaseous material around stars, collapsing under their own gravity. This process, which generates giant planets with a wide range of orbital radii and eccentricities, does not seem capable of producing the rocky planets seen in our own Solar System, which is why it has generally been ignored.

Yet it might account very nicely for the known extrasolar planets. "It wouldn't surprise me if there are two different ways that planetary systems are formed," Beer says. But how can we know if that is the case? "Probably the best way is just to gather more observations," says Beer. Only then can we know how unusual we really are.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Miscellaneous; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: astronomy; cosmology; earth; planets; science; xplanets
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To: The KG9 Kid
You spotted a more fundamental data point.

Isn't that what a scientist is suppose to do???
81 posted on 07/30/2004 1:10:41 PM PDT by null and void (Freedom is written with blood on the streets, not with ink in congress.)
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To: Rock N Jones

I await your reply. The Bible only mentions that heavenly bodies are there to give us light.

Do you believe the Bible or not?


82 posted on 07/30/2004 1:13:37 PM PDT by null and void (Freedom is written with blood on the streets, not with ink in congress.)
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To: null and void; ECM
I assumed post #5 referred to "Rare Earth," not a super-naturalist story book.
Haven't seen anything ECM posted here, or in the past posts, indicating an agenda.
Of course anyone using ECM as a screen name might just be jamming the thread.
;0)
83 posted on 07/30/2004 1:17:19 PM PDT by ASA Vet (Tourette's syndrome is just a $&#$*!% excuse for poor *%$#** language skills.)
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To: ASA Vet

Jammin'
Jammin'
We're jammin' in the name of the Lord.


84 posted on 07/30/2004 1:19:34 PM PDT by null and void (Freedom is written with blood on the streets, not with ink in congress.)
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There are MILLIONS and MILLIONS of solar systems within our galaxy. There are BILLIONS AND BILLIONS of galaxies with just as many solar systems if not more within them, and probably even more that we don't know about or cannot see.
to think we are alone is insane.


85 posted on 07/30/2004 1:27:23 PM PDT by Legion04
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To: alnitak
It's an old joke dating back about two years. I'd made a comment to a poster that the planets' orbits were "nearly circular." He responded that I didn't know what I was talking about and that the planets' orbits were "wildly elliptical."
86 posted on 07/30/2004 1:30:41 PM PDT by Junior (FABRICATI DIEM, PVNC)
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To: Legion04
to think we are alone is insane.

No kidding! Someone has to be doing those crop circles!

87 posted on 07/30/2004 1:39:35 PM PDT by Michael_Michaelangelo
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To: genghis; ECM
This is my solution to fermi's paradox.

My solution is there is no paradox what so ever. When you consider just how vast the distances are and the limit of information exchange (to include travel) at "c", I don't wonder at all that we have not "seen" anyone else. Even the EM frequency band is limited due to both atmospherics and the Galactic Halo Noise.

88 posted on 07/30/2004 1:45:52 PM PDT by RadioAstronomer
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To: Bloody Sam Roberts
...who is constantly being followed around by his little brother Holdmüh Beer.

Who has a cousin in Russia named Ivanna Beer.

89 posted on 07/30/2004 1:45:52 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The Fermi Paradox Rules)
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To: Pres Raygun
What is your opinion of the arguments made in "Rare Earth". The Drake equation only gives the upside, but doesn't seem to take into account the conditions that would preclude higher forms of life. For instance, the radiation conditions in the core of galaxies and in the arms of spiral galaxies are too high to allow the survival of higher life forms. That leaves the area between the arms for habitable zones in spiral galaxies, and stars only stay in between the spiral arms for extended periods of time if they are 1/2 the radius of the galaxy from the center of the galaxy. These factors alone remove several orders of magnitude from the number of possible stars that could sustain higher forms of life.

As I stated earlier; there is at least one data point for life in the Galaxy/Universe. Us! Even if all life is confined to these sparse regions of the galaxy, there could be huge numbers of life producing planets. And that is just in our galaxy alone.

90 posted on 07/30/2004 1:52:15 PM PDT by RadioAstronomer
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To: Moonman62
What about all the other lifeless planets and moons we can observe in our own neighborhood?

They fall out side the life zone and/or are not the correct size to sustain an atmosphere. We are just beginning to explore our own neighborhood. I remember a professor telling us once that he never expected us to find any extra solar planets. Well, we have more than 100 now. For the record, I do not believe there are life bearing planets out there; however, I do suspect there are.

91 posted on 07/30/2004 1:57:17 PM PDT by RadioAstronomer
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To: ASA Vet

Yes, I was referring to "Rare Earth" (as noted at #20) but what "agenda" are you intimating?


92 posted on 07/30/2004 1:59:33 PM PDT by ECM
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To: Vineyard

Again, there are literally billions of stars out there. The other thing to consider does life have to evolve exactly in the same conditions our Earth provided?


93 posted on 07/30/2004 2:01:02 PM PDT by RadioAstronomer
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To: Legion04

so? all that proves is that there are a lot of rocks in the sky. The statement "we are not alone" when we have no evidence is based on faith, not science


94 posted on 07/30/2004 2:05:26 PM PDT by arielb
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To: arielb
The statement "we are not alone" when we have no evidence is based on faith, not science

Except science/scientists do not say that.

95 posted on 07/30/2004 2:09:23 PM PDT by RadioAstronomer
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To: RadioAstronomer

"science" doesn't say it of course. but a lot of people who claim to be scientists believe in this dogma that there MUST be life all over the universe. And as a result of this new secular faith in ET, millions of people all over the world believe in UFO's, alien abductions,etc.


96 posted on 07/30/2004 2:15:01 PM PDT by arielb
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To: Dimensio; null and void; RightWingAtheist

While complexity does not require a Creator, I believe that the more complex a thing is, the more reasonable it is to believe that it was designed and therefore has a designer.


97 posted on 07/30/2004 2:26:11 PM PDT by RUCKUS INC. ("Wow, what a crapweasel." - Frank_Discussion)
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To: Bikers4Bush
All I know is that if space is infinite then there has to be at least one.

At least with probability one.

98 posted on 07/30/2004 2:30:54 PM PDT by Doctor Stochastic (Vegetabilisch = chaotisch is der Charakter der Modernen. - Friedrich Schlegel)
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To: RUCKUS INC.
I believe that the more complex a thing is, the more reasonable it is to believe that it was designed and therefore has a designer.

Why?
99 posted on 07/30/2004 2:32:45 PM PDT by Dimensio (Join the Monthly Internet Flash Mob: http://www.aa419.org)
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To: Bikers4Bush

"Hence the "if" in my statement."

Sorry, too many late nights at work, I missed that.


100 posted on 07/30/2004 2:33:28 PM PDT by webstersII
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