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2 Hurricians head for South
My Way News ^ | August 11, 2004 | John Pain

Posted on 08/11/2004 1:26:00 PM PDT by AVNevis

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To: dinasour

they will both have passed by then


41 posted on 08/11/2004 2:52:53 PM PDT by y2k_free_radical (ESSE QUAM VIDERA-to be rather than to seem)
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To: Thinkin' Gal
There once was a girl named Mendy,

whose aroma would often offend thee

I wouldn't go near

Unless I could hear

the forcast would be really windy!

42 posted on 08/11/2004 2:55:03 PM PDT by DainBramage
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To: jsh3180

"...long lines forming at the gas stations, grocery stores selling out of water and batteries and the lumber yards had a huge run on plywood today."

That happens in St. Louis when they predict an inch of snow, except for the plywood.


43 posted on 08/11/2004 2:56:54 PM PDT by Bahbah
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To: backhoe

these two babies could tract over a lot of similar territory causing extensive flooding


44 posted on 08/11/2004 3:24:00 PM PDT by y2k_free_radical (ESSE QUAM VIDERA-to be rather than to seem)
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To: Thinkin' Gal; TheBigB; Constitution Day; Lijahsbubbe; DainBramage; In_25_words_or_less

Are these puerto hurricians?


45 posted on 08/11/2004 3:25:42 PM PDT by aculeus
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To: aculeus

46 posted on 08/11/2004 3:28:23 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache (Rush 30th Anniversary Tour Tickets On Sale Now!)
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To: annyokie

I was thinking in terms of the notorious "hanging chad".


47 posted on 08/11/2004 3:29:24 PM PDT by verity (The Liberal Media is America's Enemy)
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To: martin_fierro
2 Hurricians head for South Is that anything like musicians? Obstetricians? Physicians?

There are hurriCANS and hurriCAN'TS. These are hurricans.

48 posted on 08/11/2004 3:30:29 PM PDT by wimpycat (My anti-terrorism platform: Nip it! (in the bud))
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To: Thinkin' Gal
Two hurricanes headin' for the south
John Kerry says "Well shut my mouth!"
"I'm gonna come up with a secret plan,"
"That'll save all the people in Florida land!"
49 posted on 08/11/2004 3:31:08 PM PDT by Lijahsbubbe
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To: verity

I know. I was just funnin' ya.


50 posted on 08/11/2004 3:31:30 PM PDT by annyokie (Now with 20% More Infidel!)
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To: Red Badger
#13..Not really :)

I've been here 30 years, and the first year we arrived, we encountered David, but he stalled off shore and we were spared.

...other than that, we've had a few near misses....

..but folks are good about evacuating ....just in case.

I'm in central Florida.

51 posted on 08/11/2004 3:34:22 PM PDT by Guenevere
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To: aculeus

Are jew a hurricane..or a hurican't?'


52 posted on 08/11/2004 3:36:30 PM PDT by DainBramage
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To: My Favorite Headache

Haw!


53 posted on 08/11/2004 3:37:42 PM PDT by martin_fierro (Let's Droll!)
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To: Guenevere

I grew up within 20 miles of the beach. We had plenty of warnings and near misses, and we got spared, too, much to my disappointment as a child; with all the grownups still talking about Hazel, I wanted to see one, and to get out of school, too.

Well, since I've lived here in central North Carolina, well over two hours from the nearest beach, I've experienced Fran, Floyd and Isabel. I've met my hurricane quota.


54 posted on 08/11/2004 3:41:02 PM PDT by wimpycat (My anti-terrorism platform: Nip it! (in the bud))
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To: wimpycat

#54..Wouldn't you know, LOL :)


55 posted on 08/11/2004 3:53:28 PM PDT by Guenevere
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To: y2k_free_radical
they will both have passed by then

Yes, but the trip down on Friday is going to be a lot of fun.

Vacations shouldn't be so much trouble.

56 posted on 08/11/2004 4:39:29 PM PDT by dinasour
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To: 8th Grader

Just curious, but does anybody know if anything like this, 2 tropical storms/hurricanes hitting the same state in such quick succession, has ever happened before?


57 posted on 08/11/2004 6:25:44 PM PDT by Klatuu
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To: Klatuu

Not in Florida, at least.


58 posted on 08/11/2004 8:34:05 PM PDT by AVNevis
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To: All
Tropical Storm Bonnie and Hurricane Charley

A brief weather post, I feel the 'threat' warrants more attention:

Key points at this time:

Major East Coast Flooding is likely during the next 7 days

IF both of these storms manage to take similar paths up the eastern seaboard there will be widespread flooding up and down the coast. Areas from the Northern Middle Atlantic into Southern New England have already been soaked this summer, few places need more rain. Storms today dropped over 3" of rain in NYC causing flooding at Kennedy Airport.

The track of Bonnie is almost a given at this point, the map above represents rainfall almost entirely from Bonnie and is probably slightly underdone. Bonnie will likely put down a swath of 5-10" (localized 12"+) of rain as it quickly races northeast after landfall tomorrow (Thursday). Typically, a storm system moving so fast does not drop prolific rainfall totals, but Bonnie will have the aide of a stalled frontal system on the East Coast. The two separate lifting mechanisms may combine to bring a 6 hour punch of 2"/hour rainfall rates to some locales.

Charley is still a big question mark. A Florida hit appears likeliest at this point, but some things today are focusing my attention towards the FL Panhandle/Coastal Alabama area. So far, Charley has stayed further south than any computer models suggested. This will allow the storm to have less interaction with land, and it is quite possible that it will be a very strong storm (verging on Category 3/Major) once it gets into the Gulf of Mexico. The bigger the storm gets, the less it will be pulled along by the jet stream to the north. If it can gain enough steam to become a major hurricane, all bets are off. By late tomorrow evening, questions in regards to a Florida hit will be answered. This East Coast Trough (frontal system - jet stream buckle) is VERY strong for august and is actually much more typical once we get into Autumn in the US. If Charley does not manage to create it's own weather, he will certainly go right up the east coast after the initial hit somewhere in the eastern GOM.

This following image is a historical map of where storms have gone that have been in Charley's neighborhood. If western Florida does get hit, this will be a very unusual August storm system.

I will update tomorrow morning if anyone is interested.


Bonnie : Model Plots
MAX Winds : 60mph - Gusts : 70mph (10:00pm CDT : Aug, 11)

Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on August 11, 2004

...Bonnie somewhat disorganized...continuing northeastward toward
the Florida Panhandle...


a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for portions of the Florida
Panhandle and northwest Florida from Destin eastward to the mouth
of the Suwannee river.


A Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning remain in effect for
the western Florida Panhandle from west of Destin westward to the
Alabama/Florida border.


Charley : Model Plots
MAX Winds : 75mph - Gusts : 90mph (10:00pm CDT : Aug, 11)

Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on August 11, 2004

...Charley heading for the Cayman Islands...

a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for Jamaica and the Cayman
Islands.

A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the following provinces of
western Cuba...Pinar del Rio...la Habana...Ciudad de la Habana...
Matanzas...and the Isle of Youth. This watch will probably be
changed to a Hurricane Warning early Thursday.

At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the Hurricane Watch has been extended
northward along the west coast of Florida to Anna Maria Island.
A Hurricane Watch is now in effect for the Florida Keys from Dry
Tortugas to Ocean Reef including Florida Bay...and from Flamingo
northward to Anna Maria Island. A Hurricane Watch means that
hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally
within 36 hours. A Hurricane Warning will likely be issued for a
portion of the Florida Keys and the southwest coast of Florida
early Thursday.


 
Tropical Prediction Center
FEMA Tropical Page
Storm Prediction Center

59 posted on 08/11/2004 8:43:58 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: Klatuu
Just curious, but does anybody know if anything like this, 2 tropical storms/hurricanes hitting the same state in such quick succession, has ever happened before?

We had two big windbags, Al and Joseph, pass through here in 2000. They had more than their share of spin and had a lot of scud clinging to their edges. Al was poorly organized and Joseph was experiencing some problems with circulation, though both had good feeder bands extending out of state, some over international waters. Both eventually sputtered and turned back into tropical depressions, though Joseph picked up some gusts once he got away from Al and back into his Gulfstream.

60 posted on 08/11/2004 8:44:36 PM PDT by piasa (Attitude adjustments offered here free of charge.)
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