STRATEGIC VISION: Michigan, Bush 41 Kerry 48; Minnesota Bush 45 Kerry 49

Strategic Vision ^ | Sept 16 2004 | Strategic Vision

[okstate]

Below are the results of a three-day poll of likely voters in the critical battleground state of Michigan for the presidential race. Results are based on telephone interviews with 801 likely voters in Michigan, aged 18+, and released as indicated below. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

1. If the election were held today, would you vote for Bush—Cheney or Kerry—Edwards?

	07/19	08/04	08/18	08/31	09/16	TBA	TBA	TBA
Bush-Cheney	45%	42%	42%	42%	41%	0%	0%	0%
Kerry-Edwards	47%	49%	48%	47%	48%	0%	0%	0%
Undecided	8%	9%	10%	11%	11%	0%	0%	0%

2. If the election were held today, would you vote for Bush—Cheney, Kerry—Edwards, or Nader—Camejo?

	07/19	08/04	08/18	08/31	09/16	TBA	TBA	TBA
Bush-Cheney	44%	42%	42%	42%	41%	0%	0%	0%
Kerry-Edwards	46%	47%	46%	45%	47%	0%	0%	0%
Nader-Camejo	1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	0%	0%	0%
Undecided	9%	9%	10%	10%	10%	0%	0%	0%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Bush is handling his job?

	07/19	08/04	08/18	08/31	09/16	TBA	TBA	TBA
Approve	47%	47%	45%	47%	45%	0%	0%	0%
Disapprove	40%	40%	47%	46%	44%	0%	0%	0%
Undecided	13%	13%	8%	7%	11%	0%	0%	0%

Below are the results of a three- or four-day poll of likely voters in the critical battleground state of Minnesota for the presidential race. Results are based on telephone interviews with 801 likely voters in Minnesota, aged 18+, and released as indicated below. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

1. If the election were held today, would you vote for Bush—Cheney or Kerry—Edwards?

	07/26	08/05	08/19	08/31	09/16	TBA	TBA	TBA
Bush-Cheney	47%	45%	44%	46%	45%	0%	0%	0%
Kerry-Edwards	48%	49%	49%	49%	49%	0%	0%	0%
Undecided	5%	6%	70%	5%	6%	0%	0%	0%

2. If the election were held today, would you vote for Bush—Cheney, Kerry—Edwards, or Nader—Camejo?

	07/26	08/05	08/19	08/31	09/16	TBA	TBA	TBA
Bush-Cheney	47%	45%	44%	46%	45%	0%	0%	0%
Kerry-Edwards	47%	47%	47%	47%	48%	0%	0%	0%
Nader-Camejo	2%	3%	2%	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%
Undecided	4%	5%	7%	6%	5%	0%	0%	0%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Bush is handling his job?

	07/26	08/05	08/19	08/31	09/16	TBA	TBA	TBA
Approve	49%	49%	47%	48%	47%	0%	0%	0%
Disapprove	39%	39%	38%	40%	44%	0%	0%	0%
Undecided	12%	12%	15%	12%	9%	0%	0%	0%

[okstate]

Well, we don't need either of these states

[fortheDeclaration]

I still think Minn. is very much in play.

[Mikey_1962]

I grew up on the lower East side of Detroit, and my Dad is an RNC Delegate, we lost this state a long time ago.

BUT the polling in Macomb County will tell you which way the State will go... always does..

[MrChips]

There are two polls showing Bush ahead in MN. Who is this Strategic vision outfit?

[COEXERJ145]

Strange because several other polls have shown Minnesota to be tied or Bush slightly ahead.

[faithincowboys]

If we bombarded both states with the right ads. Kerry is through. The arguments are there--we're not making them.

BTW, I don't really believe these polls. The telephone polls are unreliable. I am a "don't call me at home" person. I have never in my life been polled.

[sgtbono2002]

How can you call 801 Auto Workers Union members and say the poll is accurate to 3%.

[okstate]

Strategic Vision is a traditionally Republican polling firm, although this year as a nonpartisan effort they are polling battleground states biweekly until the election (along with New Jersey, California, and Georgia)

Dales uses them in his ECB quite frequently.

http://www.dalythoughts.com/ecb.htm

[math=power]

I expect to lose Michigan...we do not need it at all. We could still win Minn. and it could come in handy in case any others are pulled away from us. I don't think Michagan should be refered to as "critical"

[okstate]

I disagree with SV's use of "critical", too. MI is not necessary.