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Iraq Study Finds Desire for Arms, but Not Capacity
New York Times ^ | September 17, 2004 | DOUGLAS JEHL

Posted on 09/17/2004 7:42:33 AM PDT by OESY

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Charles A. Duelfer, the top American weapons inspector in Iraq.

1 posted on 09/17/2004 7:42:36 AM PDT by OESY
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To: OESY

Good, we stopped them before it was too late, and finally finished what we should have finished in 1991. Saddam violated the terms of the cease-fire, thus we had every right to do what we did.


2 posted on 09/17/2004 7:44:13 AM PDT by dfwgator (It's sad that the news media treats Michael Jackson better than our military.)
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To: OESY
perhaps now the NYT will post similar stories about the oil for food program.


Doogle
3 posted on 09/17/2004 7:47:06 AM PDT by Doogle (USAF...8th AF...Wolf Pack...408MMS ....Ubon,Thailand in "69" Night Line Delivery.AMMO)
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To: OESY

Don't forget to do a google search on the words "Salman Pak".

Tell all your liberal friends to do the same. It will shut them up.


4 posted on 09/17/2004 7:48:34 AM PDT by Ronaldus Magnus Reagan
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To: All

"But he also said there was evidence that Iraq was developing "test amounts" of chemical weapons and researching how to produce ricin for use in weapons, and that it had made little progress toward restarting its nuclear program."

Isn't that enough?


5 posted on 09/17/2004 7:54:22 AM PDT by Hank All-American (Free Men, Free Minds, Free Markets baby!)
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To: Hank All-American

this makes no sense. If Iraq had thousands of gallons of toxins and thousands of barrels of chemical weapons in the past - why would they need a small research program. They ALREADY knew how to do it. They just need to give the order.


6 posted on 09/17/2004 7:59:52 AM PDT by epluribus_2
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To: OESY
Looks to me like this article doesn't say anything about Saddam's attempts to acquire long-range missiles. Past NY Times articles have said that Iraq's long range missile program was the clearest violation of UN resolutions.

Since the Times has failed to mention this information, I suspect it's favorable to the president's argument.
7 posted on 09/17/2004 8:04:59 AM PDT by 68skylark
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To: epluribus_2
If Iraq had thousands of gallons of toxins and thousands of barrels of chemical weapons in the past - why would they need a small research program?

In the past they probably had large quantities of certain chemical weapons (mostly nerve agents and blister agents). Later, they may have done research into different types of toxins, like ricin. That's the way the article reads to me.

8 posted on 09/17/2004 8:07:42 AM PDT by 68skylark
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To: OESY

IIRC, in the leadup to the war Bush never said that Iraq was an immenent threat, but rather something along the lines of "we need regime change in Iraq BEFORE Iraq becomes an immenent threat." It seems that this report supports that position.


9 posted on 09/17/2004 8:14:11 AM PDT by stremba
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To: Ronaldus Magnus Reagan

"In its current form, the report reaffirms previous interim findings that there is no evidence that Iraq possessed stockpiles of illicit weapons."




They are intentionally making this a referendum on "stockpiles," ignoring that there have been several instances where actual WMD material has been found...just not on the large quantities that others may have said.
They are also ignoring that Saddam's entire WMD program was in transition, from one of procurement to one of indigenous production...which was far more dangerous.

Since we now at least have an admission that Saddam was waiting for the UN embargo and sactions to end so he could restart his program, can we now address those countries (like France) who were actively working to have the sanctions lifted...and were helping Saddam achieve those goals.


10 posted on 09/17/2004 8:20:13 AM PDT by cwb (John Kerry: Still attacking Vietnam Vets after 35 years.)
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To: cwb

"Since we now at least have an admission that Saddam was waiting for the UN embargo and sactions to end so he could restart his program, can we now address those countries (like France) who were actively working to have the sanctions lifted...and were helping Saddam achieve those goals."

Very good summary!

Nice job!


11 posted on 09/17/2004 8:22:40 AM PDT by Bigh4u2
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To: dfwgator
Seems to me this article says the UN Sanctions were working. Certainly gives me more reasons to be incensed by French attempts to remove them, but I can't help but feel betrayed by our "intelligence" on Iraq.

I changed my early position on the war because our president said the threat was real and I certainly didn't want to wait until it was on our doorstep. (As Condi so well put it, "We don't want the smoking gun to be a mushroom cloud.") Now we're up to our neck in this BS and there doesn't seem to be a plan to get us out. I never felt that Iraq's chemical weapons capabilities were enough to go to war, or even violation of the cease-fire, but nuclear proliferation in the Middle East scares the sh*t out of me. Now to hear that Iraq ...had made little progress toward restarting its nuclear program when we were told before that they could be on the brink of passing such a device on to terrorists.

So if the sanctions were working and Saddam was being effectively contained, what are we doing there? I think removing Saddam from power is, overall, a good thing, but I'd rather have $200 billion spent on domestic issues, 1000+ soldiers still breathing and several thousand soldiers unhurt.

There's no way we can just pull out of Iraq now, so we're committed for several years, several hundred billion, and many more lives. And while Kerry is certainly the wrong choice in these times, I can't help but be pissed with the president about getting us into this mess. I feel Iraq was a hornets nest we would have been better off leaving alone or, at the very least, use pressure from a broad international alliance to bring Saddam into compliance.

Seems like every few days some new information makes this look more and more like the beginnings of a possible Vietnam. How many more years, billions and lives will this take? And how will we view this mess in 30 years? I certainly agree with the idea that bringing the light of democracy to the Middle East will make for a more stable region (and world), but we must lead by example. The US is losing credibility at a tremendous pace, which, in the end, may do more to harm to us than Saddam ever hoped he could. Especially if we ever hope to "win" this War on Terror.

12 posted on 09/17/2004 9:24:18 AM PDT by wogawoga (Freedom First!)
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To: wogawoga

So you want Saddam back in power?


13 posted on 09/17/2004 9:31:18 AM PDT by dfwgator (It's sad that the news media treats Michael Jackson better than our military.)
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To: wogawoga

So you'd be okay with Saddam producing chemical weapons and sending them with a terrorist on the next plane to NY and killing potentially hundreds of thousands of Americans? Don't forget, Saddam at one time did have large stockpiles of chemical weapons. (just ask the hundreds of thousands of Kurds who saw them; wait a second you can't they're dead!!!) How long do you think it would have taken for him to produce enough to kill massive numbers of Americans, with or without the ineffective inspections? He was probably hoping that the sissy French could convince the UN to lift the sanctions before going back into production. I have no doubt that he could have and probably did produce these weapons despite the sanctions. Exactly what was on the trucks that were seen in satellite photos heading for Syria days before the invasion?


14 posted on 09/17/2004 9:33:22 AM PDT by stremba
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To: stremba
in the leadup to the war Bush never said that Iraq was an immenent threat, but rather something along the lines of "we need regime change in Iraq BEFORE Iraq becomes an immenent threat." It seems that this report supports that position.
Yes.

The fact that Dan Rather bit on obviously fraudulent memos demonstrates that he was overeager to believe the worst of GWB.

Just so, the fact (if such it be) that on thorough inspection the Iraqi WMD capabilities were less than estimated would reflect negatively on GWB only to the extent that he was overeager to believe intel to the contrary. Kerry's problem is that Bush innoculated himself against that critique when he got Kerry to vote for the use of force in Iraq before ending the uneasy cease-fire with Iraq and implementing regime change.


15 posted on 09/17/2004 9:33:24 AM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion (The idea around which liberalism coheres is that NOTHING actually matters but PR.)
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To: stremba
First off, don't be stupid. Of course I wouldn't be "OK" with hundreds of thousands of Americans dying, no decent American would. If you want to have an intelligent exchange of ideas, great, but an emotional riff accomplishes nothing.

Besides, is Iraq alone in its abilty to produce chemical weapons? Are chemical weapons the only method terrorists can use to kill scores of Americans. Was Iraq the only threat to national security?

No, No and No.

If a country in the Middle East was producing box cutters would you go to war, because that's all it really took to make 9/11 happen. Yes, Saddam was a threat, but North Korea is an even larger threat and there has been little action on the part of the Bush administration, and certainly no calls for the removal of Kim Jong Il, who is just as bad if not worse than Saddam.

As I said in my previous post, removing Saddam was a good thing, but the price of doing so in comparison with other methods (diplomacy, sanctions, etc.) is getting higher and higher and no longer seems worth it. If all the promises that led us into this war came to be, fine, but that's just not the case as much as I'm sure we all wanted it to be.

This article shows that the sanctions were working and instead of sending 1000s of troops to death or dismemberment, we should have kicked the international community in the butt to get serious about Saddam. I'm proud of W taking a stand when the rest of the world would not, but he did it with the wrong information. As president, he can't be allowed to screw this up, but he was undermined by intel failures across the board and his own personal desires to get Saddam. Add to this the Halliburton nonsense and you begin to feel misled. As Truman made clear, "the buck stops" in the oval office.

16 posted on 09/17/2004 10:56:00 AM PDT by wogawoga (Freedom First!)
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To: wogawoga
As president, he can't be allowed to screw this up, but he was undermined by intel failures across the board and his own personal desires to get Saddam. Add to this the Halliburton nonsense and you begin to feel misled. As Truman made clear, "the buck stops" in the oval office.

Oh stop it with the "personal desires' and the "Halliburton nonsense". You're being ridiculous. You are incapable of grasping the big picture. As Christopher Hitchens of Vanity Fair magazine (no friend of Ronald Reagan) said about Bush's grand plan to install democracy in the center of the middle east... "What if it works?".

It could be an historic move and Bush would go down in history as one of mankind's greatest freedom fighters.

17 posted on 09/17/2004 8:42:03 PM PDT by Ronaldus Magnus Reagan
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To: Ronaldus Magnus Reagan
I think is incredibly naive to simply dismiss both W's personal desire to finish what his father started and the no-bid contracts Halliburton got. After Afghanistan, Iraq immediately came on the radar without ever finding Osama. Bush used that momentum in a rush to convince the country that we had to take Saddam out because of a nonexistent nuclear capacity. And if Cheney had never worked for Halliburton, do you really think they would have gotten those? Anybody whose spent five minutes in corporate america knows how much personal relationships matter in business. C'mon, I'm as much a B/C supporter as the next guy here, but open your eyes.

I see the big picture, I absolutely agree that installing a stable democracy in the Middle East could be one of the greatest accomplishments in recent times. The light of democracy could even be the key to stamping out a lot of support for terrorism. And you're right, much to the Dem's dismay, Bush would go down in history as a true champion of freedom, IF it works.

Problem is it's not working and we're losing credibility on the world stage. We're losing our hold on portions of the country and we have no clear plan for creating stability. It seems that every week there is some new hole poked through the reasons why we went to Iraq. Even the best-case scenario is a political, economic and security situation that could be described as tenuous. The National Intelligence Estimate (prepared in July) predicts three possible scenarios: tenuous stability, political fragmentation, or civil war. All recent escalations seem to point toward that third possibility.

So while creating a stable democracy in the Middle East would be an important step in stabilizing the entire region, it appears more and more that this is neither the time nor the way to do it. Instead we've knocked the hornets' nest and it's growing beyond our control. When it comes down to it, we must lead by example. What is the example we've given the world here?

We also have to consider whether or not these people are ready for democracy. It's tremendously arrogant for us to assume that just because it worked out so well for us (and we chose to fight for it) that these people are ready for it. Culturally, the Muslim world still holds to many of the same social and political systems it's had for the last several hundred years. If they're not ready to listen, all the preaching in the world isn't gonna help. America is the greatest country in the world because the American people worked to make it that way. We've managed to spread our culture around the world because people like what they see, there's no reason to ram it down their throats. It's great to play nation-builder, but by speeding up the process beyond what's natural may, in the long run, have done more harm to the process of democratizing the Middle East than good. And, in turn, more harm than good in the war on terror.

The world is moving away from an Empirical model of world power and into a cooperative multinational framework. In this shift we have the opportunity to be a strong and reliable leader. Losing credibility and alienating the world could ultimately be far more damaging than it's worth and threaten continued American supremacy.

.

.

.

18 posted on 09/20/2004 8:31:09 AM PDT by wogawoga (Freedom First!)
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To: wogawoga
The world is moving away from an Empirical model of world power and into a cooperative multinational framework. In this shift we have the opportunity to be a strong and reliable leader. Losing credibility and alienating the world could ultimately be far more damaging than it's worth and threaten continued American supremacy.

That's exactly what they said about Ronald Reagan and his implementation of the Pershing II missles in Europe to counter the Soviet's SS-20 missles. THEY were wrong. Pacifists always are. And you are wrong about Halliburton. That no-bid contract was started under Clinton, was renewed several times under Clinton, and renewed again with Bush. Please get your facts straight before engaging in Bush bashing. .

19 posted on 09/20/2004 9:46:39 AM PDT by Ronaldus Magnus Reagan
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To: Ronaldus Magnus Reagan
First off, I'm no pacifist. They are wrong insomuch as they do not allow for the unfortunate necessity of war, but they are right in that war is not the only option. The World Wars, the first Gulf War, etc. were necessary. But was Vietnam "necessary?" It's easy to say "Let's go to war," but I'm sure anybody in a position to get killed in combat would agree with me when I say that war should be a last resort. It seems that given the available information, it was neither the last resort nor necessary.

Second, I'm not "Bush bashing." I'll leave that to Kerry's drones. There are many things I like about the guy. I wouldn't be voting for him again if there weren't. You sound like some crazy lib who suddenly assumes you eat children and strangle kittens because you disagree with Kerry's latest position on something. I am simply criticizing his decisions on Iraq, but I have every right, and every obligation, to do so. Bush may manage the direction of this country and make the day-to-day decisions, but my obligation is to the people of this great nation. The people, not one man, are what make this country the envy of the world. Deciding to blind yourself to his shortcomings just because he's "our guy" is treason in my eyes.

To your points:

1. The Cold War was a real situation and not created by the placement of Pershing II missiles. Reagan was absolutely right in that because Russia was an overt threat to the world. There was no misinformation about "possible" nuclear capabilities, they had 'em and the world knew it. Reagan deftly handled US military strategy to maintain the tenuous balance of power in the world. Had he not, God only knows what could have happened. The current situation in Iraq was created by US policy, not an attempt to maintain a balance of power. (Though I'm certainly not trying to say SH didn't deserve to be removed from power.) Iraq wasn't sitting on a stockpile of nuclear weapons pointed at the US. We also had many allies in the struggle against Communism. Not the ridiculous "Coalition of the Willing" we're trying to pass off as a mandate from the world. Not even close to a similar situation, this comparison doesn't hold water.

2. Halliburton has been getting government contracts for decades under a litany of presidents, no question. They've been providing for the needs of our troops through contracts initiated and renewed by Clinton, yes. But who handed them contracts to "rebuild" Iraq? Clinton? These contracts are huge in comparison and are the ones in dispute, not those which were already in effect.

Straight enough for you?

20 posted on 09/20/2004 11:11:36 AM PDT by wogawoga (Freedom First!)
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