Posted on 09/24/2004 11:43:20 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache
Hurricane Jeanne is looking more and more like a Central Florida landfall come late Saturday night/early Sunday morning. Somewhere between Vero Beach/Brevard County or a bit further south in Pt.St.Lucie. Evacuations begin in Brevard County at 6 am.
On another note, In stuart we uswd to have a great pub named Mahoneys. Mike Mahoney sold his place and did a bike tour of south America brfore he was fully blind.
When he sold his old place he signed a no compete clause for x amount of time.
I've heard he opened another place in New Synyrna. Any truth to this?
Used to be called Mahoneys oyster pub?
Anyway ride the wild winds and have fun but be safe and GOD bless.
OK, I'm gonna say this ONE MORE TIME!
This storm is coming in MUCH further south than the NHC forecast track has it. I expect a huge shift south in their 11PM update.
Those in northern broward, palm beach, martin, and st. lucie counties - be prepared, and be prepared SOON.
We could be getting feeder bands when you wake up in the morning.
The NHC completely blew this one. COMPLETELY blew this one.
Thanks!
A_R
I guess I should take up a new job as a roofer? ;-)
Why not?
The others clobbered the rest of the state. South is all that is left.
The GFDL track would easily be the worse, because if the eyewall doesn't move ashore then the storm would retain the greatest strength as it travels along the coastline.
Even Jimmy the Greek was fallible.
Hurricane Jeanne Advisory Number 46
Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 24, 2004
...Core of Hurricane Jeanne expected to move over the northwestern
Bahamas on Saturday...
a Hurricane Warning is in effect along the Florida East Coast from
Florida City northward to St. Augustine...including Lake
Okeechobee.
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the northwestern Bahamas
...Including the Abacos...Andros Island...Berry Islands...Bimini...
Eleuthera...Grand Bahama Island...and New Providence. A Hurricane
Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected in the warning
area within the next 24 hours.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the northeast Florida and
Georgia coasts from north of St. Augustine northward to Altamaha
Sound Georgia. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions
are possible in the watch area in the next 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the central Bahamas
...Including Cat Island...the Exumas...Long Island...Rum Cay...and
San Salvador. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm
conditions are expected in the warning area in the next 24 hours.
At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the tropical storm watch has been extended
northward along the West Coast of Florida to the Suwanee River.
A tropical storm watch is now in effect from south of Florida City
around the southern end of the Florida Peninsula and northward
along the West Coast to the Suwanee River...including Florida
Bay...and the Florida Keys north of the Seven Mile Bridge.
We are reminded that Yom Kippur...a solemn Jewish Holiday...will
last until Sundown Saturday. Some of your Jewish neighbors in the
watch and warning areas observing Yom Kippur will not be
listening to radios or watching TV...and may not be aware of the
hurricane situation.
Satellite images indicate that at 11 PM EDT...0300z...the large eye
of Hurricane Jeanne was located near latitude 26.5 north...
longitude 74.9 west or about 135 miles..220 km...east of Great
Abaco Island. This also about 315 miles...510 km...east of the
Southeast Florida coast.
Jeanne is moving toward the west near 12 mph...19 km/hr...and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next 12 to 24
hours. On this track...the core of Jeanne will be moving across the
northwestern Bahamas on Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph...160 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours and
Jeanne has the chance to become a major hurricane before landfall
in Florida.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 205 miles...335 km...mainly to the northeast of the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb...28.47 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 feet above normal tide levels...along
with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near the
center of Jeanne on the north side of Grand Bahama Island and on
the west side of the abaco islands. Storm surge flooding of 2 to 4
feet above normal tide levels can be expected on the west side of
the other islands of the Bahamas in the Hurricane Warning area.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 4 to 6 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be
expected near and to the north of where the center makes landfall
along the Florida East Coast.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches are possible along the track of
Jeanne over the northwestern Bahamas and Florida.
Tides will gradually be rising in the warned area during the next 24
hours. Additionally...dangerous surf and rip currents...caused by
large swells generated by Hurricane Jeanne...are possible elsewhere
along the southeastern U.S. Coast and the northwest and central
Bahamas for the next few days.
Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...26.5 N... 74.9 W. Movement
toward...west near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...100 mph.
Minimum central pressure... 964 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am
EDT.
Forecaster Avila
Hurricane Jeanne Discussion Number 46
Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 24, 2004
Jeanne has a large eye and the wind field is expanding. Last Air
Force reconnaissance plane in the area measured a minimum pressure
of 964 mb. Earlier a NOAA plane measured a peak wind of 107 knots
at flight level. Thereafter...an Air Force plane measured only 95
knots in the same area. T-numbers have not increased and remain at
5.0 on the Dvorak scale. The initial intensity is kept at 85 knots
until new data comes from another plane currently approaching the
hurricane. The upper-level wind environment continues to be
favorable for strengthening as indicated by the hurricane's outflow
and raob data. This...in combination with a warmer ocean between
the Bahamas and Florida...suggests some strehgthening and Jeanne
could become a major hurricane before landfall.
The hurricane has been moving westward at about 10 knots. The strong
high north of the hurricane will continue to force Jeanne on this
general track for the next 12 to 24 hours. Thereafter...a gradual
turn to the northwest and north should begin as the high shifts
eastward. Althouh we are confident that the northward turn will
occur...only a few more hours of additional westward motion than
anticipated would bring the core of the hurricane farther inland
over the peninsula. On the other hand...the hurricane could also
make the turn earlier and slide along the East Coast of Florida. At
this time...all indications are that the hurricane will move inland
and will make the northward turn over the peninsula. This is based
on the latest available model guidance which in fact has shifted a
little bit westward. Even the GFDL which kept the core of the
hurricane over water is now keeping the huricane hugging the East
Coast of central and North Florida.
Forecaster Avila
Heads up!
I'm in CA, but my family is in Jacksonville, and I'm very worried. Do you have links where I can get the latest information? Everything I find online seems to be like six hours old.
I thought I saw and heard in one report, UN relief being off-loaded in Haiti today. I'm worried about disease outbreak if they don't get the mess cleaned up soon. I see them walking through the turbid flood water, covering their mouths from the stench. Awful...just awful.
storm2k.org
hurricanehollow.com
wunderground.com
accuweather.com
noaa.gov
Sorry for the no html. I'm hitting the hay.
Dolphins-Steelers still set for Sunday as Jeanne approaches
September 24, 2004
DAVIE, Fla. (AP) -- The Miami Dolphins plan to play the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday despite the threat of Hurricane Jeanne.
The hurricane is expected to hit Florida's east coast this weekend, most likely Sunday morning. While a landfall near Miami isn't out of the question, the National Hurricane Center's projected path has the storm most likely striking more than 100 miles north of Pro Player Stadium. Still, the Miami area could be hit with strong wind and rain.
A decision on whether to play Sunday could come as late as Saturday. The Steelers were flying to Miami on Friday, one day early, to beat the storm.
Coach Dave Wannstedt ruled out the possibility of playing Saturday, but said the hurricane could force a postponement until Monday or Tuesday.
``There hasn't even been any talk at all about Saturday,'' Wannstedt said. ``At this late point, the only alternative would be to move it back.''
Miami's opening game against Tennessee was moved up one day and played on a Saturday because of Hurricane Ivan. One week earlier, the NFL forced the Dolphins to travel to New Orleans for an exhibition game after players balked at leaving their families while in the path of Hurricane Frances.
Thanks much. Sleep tight.
...Jeanne strengthening and moving westward a little faster...should move over the northwestern Bahamas later today... a Hurricane Warning is in effect along the Florida East Coast from Florida City northward to St. Augustine...including Lake Okeechobee. A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the northwestern Bahamas ...Including the Abacos...Andros Island...Berry Islands...Bimini... Eleuthera...Grand Bahama Island...and New Providence. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area within the next 24 hours. A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the northeast Florida and Georgia coasts from north of St. Augustine northward to Altamaha Sound Georgia. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible in the watch area in the next 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the central Bahamas ...Including Cat Island...the Exumas...Long Island...Rum Cay...and San Salvador. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in the next 24 hours. A tropical storm watch remains in effect from south of Florida City around the southern end of the Florida Peninsula and northward along the West Coast to the Suwanee River...including Florida Bay...and the Florida Keys north of the Seven Mile Bridge. We are reminded that Yom Kippur...a solemn Jewish Holiday...will last until Sundown Saturday. Some of your Jewish neighbors in the watch and warning areas observing Yom Kippur will not be listening to radios or watching TV...and may not be aware of the hurricane situation. At 2 am EDT...0600z...the large eye of Hurricane Jeanne was located near latitude 26.5 north...longitude 75.6 west or about 100 miles...160 km...east of Great Abaco Island in the northwestern Bahamas. This is also about 270 miles...435 km...east of the Southeast Florida coast. Jeanne is now moving toward the west near 14 mph...23 km/hr...and this general motion is expected to continue during the next 12 to 24 hours. On this track...the core of Jeanne will be moving across the northwestern Bahamas later today. Reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate maximum sustained winds are now near 105 mph...170 km/hr...with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...and Jeanne could become a major hurricane later today. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km... from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles...335 km...mainly to the northeast of the center. The latest minimum central pressure reported by the hurricane hunter is 962 mb...28.41 inches. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near the center of Jeanne on the north side of Grand Bahama Island and on the west side of the abaco islands. Storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels can be expected on the west side of the other islands of the Bahamas in the Hurricane Warning area. Coastal storm surge flooding of 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the north of where the center makes landfall along the Florida East Coast. Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches are possible along the track of Jeanne over the northwestern Bahamas and Florida. Tides will gradually be rising in the warned area during the next 24 hours. Additionally...dangerous surf and rip currents...caused by large swells generated by Hurricane Jeanne...are possible elsewhere along the southeastern U.S. Coast and the northwest and central Bahamas for the next few days. Repeating the 2 am EDT position...26.5 N... 75.6 W. Movement toward...west near 14 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 962 mb. For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office. The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 5 am EDT. Forecaster Beven |
At the base of the abominable government problems in Haiti lies their peculiar attachment to Voodoo, still a very powerful force there. Some Haitians actually curl up and die when they believe they've been cursed. Papa Doc made use of Voodoo to keep the people in line, now they do it to themselves. Some bring voodoo with them to FLorida. I've heard drums in the night in a neighborhood near the Haitian quarter of Deerfield Beach.
Which has nothing to do with the facts of hurricane damage but possibly much to do with the Haitians' reaction to it. Such a pity, as they seem quite charming and warm-hearted, and some are quite hard working.
I'll never forget stumbling upon a vodoo ritualistic animal sacrafice. What the hell?
Just don't understand but it is their beliefs.
Praying for all our Florida FReepers. Stay safe! We need you on Election Day.
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