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Gallup: Dead Heat in Ohio [LV W 50% Kerry 48%; RV Kerry 50% W 46%]
CNN | September 29, 2004

Posted on 09/29/2004 1:26:45 PM PDT by RWR8189

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To: DrDeb

Thanks for the help.


141 posted on 09/29/2004 3:00:50 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: OldFriend

I'm concerned about fraud as well; however, I've been assured that registration forms will be thoroughly reviewed (particularly those submitted by ACT)!!!


142 posted on 09/29/2004 3:03:23 PM PDT by DrDeb
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To: AuH2ORepublican
While Gallup is the best polling company when it comes to national polls, the best company for state polls is Mason-Dixon. Their latest poll out of OH has Bush comfortably ahead.

I agree that Mason-Dixon is an excellent firm. In fact, I trust Gallup and Mason-Dixon before every other polling firm.

143 posted on 09/29/2004 3:05:40 PM PDT by kesg
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To: conservativepoet

You're welcome!


144 posted on 09/29/2004 3:05:47 PM PDT by DrDeb
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To: kesg

I definitely would agree with that.


145 posted on 09/29/2004 3:07:29 PM PDT by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: DrDeb
Strategic Vision is now a nonpartisan polling firm whose methodology mirrors that used by Gallup!

I hope you're right, but virtually all of the EC trackers I'm aware of classify them as a Republican firm.

146 posted on 09/29/2004 3:08:17 PM PDT by kesg
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To: RWR8189

ANYBODY that votes for Kerry should be classified as mentally retarded .


147 posted on 09/29/2004 3:08:25 PM PDT by Renegade
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To: RWR8189
This is start of the MSM Kerry the comeback kid. PA has been trending to Kerry now and now dead heat in OH according to Gallup. But I think Bush is up by 5 in OH.

Do I believe that Bush is up nationally 8 points by Gallup, nope. Bush is up by 4 to 6 points.

Bush gotta take OH, or it's going to be a very long night.

<

148 posted on 09/29/2004 3:10:34 PM PDT by COURAGE (A charter member of the Grim FReeper Club)
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To: woofer
The University of Cincinnati Poll that shows W up by 11 was released on September 21:
UC OHIO POLL
149 posted on 09/29/2004 3:11:24 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (I'm so glad to no longer be associated with the Party of Dependence on Government!)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

This is not bad news. The poll is almost a month old and out of date


150 posted on 09/29/2004 3:11:44 PM PDT by Kaslin (Stick a fork in Kerry, he is done)
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To: DrDeb

Accually, the undecided in a presidential elections usally brake for the imcumbent. It did not for Carter and Bush 41. It did for Gore and that's why 2000 was so close.


151 posted on 09/29/2004 3:14:36 PM PDT by COURAGE (A charter member of the Grim FReeper Club)
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To: AuH2ORepublican
Bad News Ping

Bad news?!? Dubya's leading in OH and many other swing states, and this poll also shows a slight lead. Don't miss the forest for the trees, Bro.

152 posted on 09/29/2004 3:17:18 PM PDT by Coop (In memory of a true hero - Pat Tillman)
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To: RWR8189

I am a poll watching junkie myself, but we really only have to look at the campaigning of Bush and Kerry to know that Ohio still has some work to do. Bush has spent a good amount of time there recently, including this coming weekend too. The huge crowds certainly make me feel better about his chances though.

AND I did read that Kerry is supposed to be in Youngstown, Ohio on Sunday I think.

The good thing is that Kerry won't have as many options as Bush for what to do down the stretch. The Bush campaign can go head to head wherever they decide to roost, while some of Kerry's "safe" states may falter.


153 posted on 09/29/2004 3:19:42 PM PDT by bcatwilly (West Virginia is BUSH-Cheney Country!)
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To: bcatwilly

Just read that Karl Rove told Hannity today that they have a couple of October surprises for John Kerry. Sounds very interesting!


154 posted on 09/29/2004 3:26:06 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: RWR8189

Sorry. I have a little inside info, and all I'll say is that this is so far off that it's funny. But, please, Dems, believe this. Keep spending your money here.


155 posted on 09/29/2004 3:45:14 PM PDT by LS
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To: COURAGE
Accually, the undecided in a presidential elections usally brake for the imcumbent. It did not for Carter and Bush 41. It did for Gore and that's why 2000 was so close.

When an incumbent is running for re-election, the best predictor of how undecideds will break is the President's job approval rating. His election day percentage is likely to be very close to his job approval rating on that day. Gallup currently has Bush at 54%, which is the same as Clinton in 1996 and Reagan in 1984.

156 posted on 09/29/2004 3:46:14 PM PDT by kesg
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To: RWR8189
So far, this Gallup Ohio poll does not exist.

I've seen CNN play games before by announcing bogus blurps of news where it never resurfaces again.

157 posted on 09/29/2004 3:47:23 PM PDT by demlosers (The FreeRepublic Pajama Press!)
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To: kesg

You are correct. Fine Job!


158 posted on 09/29/2004 3:48:14 PM PDT by COURAGE (A charter member of the Grim FReeper Club)
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To: RWR8189

159 posted on 09/29/2004 3:48:28 PM PDT by grist for the mill
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To: LS

Are you talking about Gallup specifically, or Ohio polls generally?


160 posted on 09/29/2004 3:48:37 PM PDT by kesg
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