SurveyUSA Polls--OK: W63, K33 + Coburn leads; MI: K52, W42; IA: K48, W47; KY: W57, K38

SurveyUSA ^ | 10/7

[ambrose]

SurveyUSA Polls--OK: W63, K33 + Coburn leads; MI: K52, W42; IA: K48, W47; KY: W57, K38

[ambrose]

While Michigan may appear to be bad, don't panic... it is exactly where SurveyUSA had the race BEFORE the debate (they last polled 9/23)

[ambrose]

Coburn leads 46 to 44.

In Illinois, Kerry leads 55 to 39, and Obama is beating Keyes 68 to 23.

[Betaille]

i'm getting wary of all these polls. They are Scientificlaly done but still often completely contradict eachother, especially in the state polls.

[The Hollywood Conservative]

Yeah, but Michigan was NEVER considered a battle ground state... it was SUPPOSED to go for Kerry... The fact that its as close as it is, is BAD NEWS for kerry. Same with Wisconson, Iowa, New Jersey and Minnesota.

[madprof98]

In Illinois, Kerry leads 55 to 39, and Obama is beating Keyes 68 to 23.

They should move Illinois to one of the coasts, preferably the Left Coast.

[AmishDude]

The only one that surprises me is Michigan. I thought it would be closer: 50-46 or so. The others don't surprise me. Good news for the OK Senate race.

[Coop]

Geez, I'm surprised how many ticket splitters are in OK.

[IamHD]

Geesh! What is it with Michigan? Sometimes I feel like leaving the state, just so that I know my vote really counts!

[tobyhill]

Statement of accuracy from SurveyUSA
"Because SurveyUSA uses professional television news anchormen and anchorwomen to ask our poll questions, instead of headset operators, some of our competitors would like you to believe that SurveyUSA’s election polls are inferior. There is no need for conjecture on this topic. The evidence is right here. Study the data; draw your own conclusions."

It seems they go right to the Liberal talking heads. There's only one middle of the road stations, FOX, the rest are just Liberal MSM.

[Heff]

This is how its shaping up. We need Ohio, I think, no matter what happens.

Kerry					Bush
Safe	Strong	Lean	Slight	Tossup	Slight	Lean	Strong	Safe
DC (3) K78-B11 9/13/04	VT (3) K50-B40 9/12/04	DE (3) K45.2-B37.6 9/25/04	MD (10) K48-B45 9/27/04	MN (10) K48-B46*R 9/28/04	WV (5) B51-K45 9/20/04	VA (13) B49-K43 B50-K44 9/27/04	LA (9) B53-K36 9/2/04	ND (3) B62-K33 9/10/04
MA (12) K64-B27 9/13/04	HI (4) K51-B41 9/11/04*	CT (7) K50-B44 9/28/04	OR (7) K47-B45 9/27/04	IA (7) K48-B47 10/3/04	NH (4) B50-K45 10/3/04	WI (10) B50-K40 B49-K43*R B49-K46 9/27/04	KY (8) B53-K38 9/15/04	ID (4) B59-K30 9/10/04
RI (4) K55-B37 9/20/04	NY (31) K51-B31 9/23/04	WA (11) K54-B43 10/4/04	MI (17) B46-K46 9/29/04	OH (20) K48-B48 10/6/04	-	AR (6) B53-K44 9/29/04	MS (6) B51-K42 9/17/04	WY (3) B65-K29 9/11/04
-	IL (21) K55-B38 K52-B41 10/4/04	CA (55) K53-B42 10/5/04	NM (5) K46-B43* 10/1/04	-	-	CO (9) B48-K44 9/29/04	GA (15) B58-K34*R 9/27/04	AK (3) B57-K30 9/11/04
-	-	NJ (15) K48-B41 10/6/04	ME (4) K49-B47 10/5/04	-	-	NV (5) B50-K46 10/3/04	SD (3) B59.5-K29.1 9/28/04	NE (5) B61-K30 9/12/04
-	-	-	PA (21) K48-B46 10/6/04	-	-	NC (15) B52-K45 10/4/04	SC (8) B55-K37 9/29/04	KS (6) B57-K35 9/18/04
-	-	-	-	-	-	MO (11) B51-K45 10/5/04	AZ (10) B48-K38 10/4/04	TX (34) B58-K37 9/21/04
-	-	-	-	-	-	FL (27) B48-K44 K47-B45 B49-K41 10/5/04	TN (11) B58-K39 10/5/04	MT (3) B54-K36 9/22/04
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	UT (5) B69-K21 9/27/04
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	OK (7) B58-K28 10/3/04
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	AL (9) B62-K34 10/3/04
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	IN (11) B58-K39 10/5/04
Totals
Kerry States			Battleground States			Bush States
19	59	91	65	37	9	96	70	93
169			137			259

 

[Paleo Conservative]

They should move Illinois to one of the coasts, preferably the Left Coast.

It is on a coast, Lake Michigan.

[eureka!]

Re#4 Bingo. As before, the presstitutes' bias and these polls are causing a lot of angst here. I'm not going to worry about anything until the final days....

[dawn53]

Polls, schmolls. They're coming down the pike fast and furious...and each has a margin of error that makes them mean absolutely nothing since they're so close.

I don't think any polls between now and election day will give us any indication of what will happen on election day.

This is not entirely a bad thing...at least the Republicans won't get complacent thinking they've got some kind of lead.

[ambrose]

I believe the Robo Polls should be more accurate since responses could vary depending on the tone and demeanor of a live operator - on the other hand, a recording is the same for every polled voter.

[tobyhill]

I'm definitely anti-media at this point so any polling that deals directly with the likes of Rathers I take with a grain of salt. I think that demographics are the biggest reasons for the slants in these polls as of late.

[eureka!]

Re #13 Agreed. Broken Glass. GOTV. This one is going to be a ground war...

[rushmom]

What is Coburn's number?

[Heff]

You are welcome...I wish I could take credit for it...but here is the site...its by a guy name Dale (I think) who lurks around here too.

http://www.dalythoughts.com/ecb.htm

[oolatec]

Don't get complacent, people... get out and vote on Nov. 2nd....