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Why the voters of Wagga Wagga have good news for Bush and Blair
The Times ^ | October 11, 2004 | Tim Hames

Posted on 10/10/2004 2:46:09 PM PDT by MadIvan

NEITHER George W. Bush nor Tony Blair comes across as a particularly philosophical figure. Mr Bush clearly does have an established body of political principles, but obviously finds it difficult to articulate abstract themes. Mr Blair, it might be said, is in the opposite position. There is, nevertheless, a challenging conceptual question for both men this morning. Who best understands the implications of the Australian general election: John Howard, elected for a fourth term on Saturday, or Jacques Derrida, the French intellectual whose death was sombrely announced as the votes Down Under were being counted?

There is not much doubt what M. Derrida would have thought about this issue. He is hailed as the father of post-modernism, post-structuralism and deconstruction. He argued that there could be no such thing as objective truth because all supposed truths are expressed in language and language itself always has multiple meanings and in any case is constantly changing. There are, he claimed, no fixed values in the world, just social constructs bounded by time and vocabulary (I think that is what he contended, anyway). The idea that an Australian election could have deeper significance in its own context, never mind elsewhere, is, therefore, ludicrous.

Now I have always had my doubts about this post-modernist, post-structuralist, post-everything stuff. For a start, it seem to me that being dead is an objective truth and not an ambiguous condition produced by time and language. And surely if there can be no certainties because of the slippery character of words, then post-modernism itself can hold no special inherent virtue. If you take all this “there is no truth but no truth ” to its (il)logical extreme then, to be blunt, you move round and round in circles until you disappear up your own derrière. I suppose that’s French philosophy.

It is safe to assume that Mr Howard would have none of this. He is a firm believer in the notion of an “Anglosphere” linking his country, the United States and Britain. He might not necessarily use the term “Anglosphere” when addressing sheep farmers in the Outback (who would rightly regard such a phrase as only mildly more enticing than post-structuralism), but it is central to the Australian Prime Minister’s outlook on the world. Put simply, he thinks that ties of culture, history and political institutions are more important than those of mere geography. The electors of Wagga Wagga have their differences with those of Wisconsin or Worcestershire, but it is their similarities that will prove to matter.

Mr Howard could, therefore, identify three aspects of his triumph that, like his nation’s fine lager, are definitely available for the export market.

The first is that within the Anglosphere incumbency is an asset, not a liability. There have been many parts of the world this year — from Spain and Greece to India and Indonesia — where governments with perfectly decent records have been defeated. Mr Howard’s win not only bucks this trend but reaffirms a pattern. In Australia, Britain and the US, it has been better in recent years to hold office than to challenge for it. Over the past 20 years, only one sitting Australian Prime Minister (Paul Keating in 1996), one serving British Prime Minister (John Major in 1997) and one US President (George Bush Sr in 1992) have been thrown out by the voters. The same is true of Canada. In the Anglosphere today, “the devil you know” is usually preferred to an aspiring Angel of Deliverance.

The second is that political life in the Anglosphere remains dominated by economics. Indeed, the economic cycles of Australia, Britain and the US appear to be more closely aligned with each other than with those of Asia, Europe or Latin America respectively. Mr Howard stormed home because he and his party were strongly associated with prosperity and his opponents were perceived as a threat to that benign stability. He now has to work out when to stand down in favour of a Finance Minister who is viewed as the architect of this success (sound familiar?). Canada experienced the same transition — although somewhat ineptly executed — at about this time last year.

There is an analogy with the US as well. The irony of this presidential election is not John Kerry’s failure to exploit a weak economy but Mr Bush’s inability to make more of these good times. The unemployment rate in America today is lower than it was when Ronald Reagan secured his second term in 1984 and when Bill Clinton did the same 12 years later. It is not the challenger but the President who needs to put the economy centre stage over the next three weeks. If he does, then he will remain in the White House and, like Mr Howard, perhaps by a surprisingly comfortable margin.

Finally, the “Iraq factor” is more potent in opinion polls than in the ballot box. Mr Howard’s involvement in the demise of Saddam Hussein was no more popular in Australia than Mr Blair’s role has been in Britain. Iraq would appear to be a negative factor for Mr Bush in his election bid as well. I suspect, though, that the mood in all three countries has much in common. Voters are far from convinced that troops had to go in, but now that they are there they must finish the task, and that quest would be complicated by a change in leadership. The defiant response here to the savage murder of Kenneth Bigley is not what the terrorists anticipated.

If the Anglosphere does trump French philosophy, then Mr Howard, Mr Bush and Mr Blair will all be returned to office. If so, then when the trio are next reunited at some international event a burst of collective song would be appropriate. A rousing rendition of Tie Me Post-Modernist Down, Sport might suit the occasion.


TOPICS: Australia/New Zealand; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: australia; blair; bush; derrida; howard; uk; us
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To: mrsmel
She also claims that she sacrificed money,job security,and her "partner" (bells going off) for writing her anti-Howard screed "Not Happy John". Oh the martyrdom of being a (small l) liberal!

Yes it's heartbreaking isn't it!

I have no idea if this is accurate or not, but a poster to an Australian Blog site recently quoted a very senior person at the Sydney Morning Herald describe her as follows:

"We did not want her writing for the paper anymore so we created a web position for her. We had no idea that it would come to this. She is now completely mad".

Perhaps she will be making further sacrifices in terms of job security and money soon.

61 posted on 10/10/2004 11:34:15 PM PDT by Piefloater
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To: Fred Nerks

For the sake of those non Aussies who are unfamiliar with Road Trains they are tractor trailer combinations of about a half dozen trailers hitched together and driven across outback Australia where traffic is at a low level and the economies of scale come into effect.


62 posted on 10/10/2004 11:57:49 PM PDT by xp38
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To: Piefloater
We did not want her writing for the paper anymore so we created a web position for her. We had no idea that it would come to this. She is now completely mad".

Wow, if the SMH thinks that she's mad,she must REALLY be mad,hehe.
63 posted on 10/10/2004 11:58:53 PM PDT by mrsmel
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To: xp38
Sort of like a GIANT very long ROADRUNNER and Latham is the coyote that always ends up falling down the cliff or getting his head blown off...

Reminds me of GWB vs F'nKerry, actually.
64 posted on 10/11/2004 12:16:57 AM PDT by Fred Nerks (Understand Evil: Read THE LIFE OF MUHAMMAD free pdf. See FRED NERKS for link)
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To: Fred Nerks
The Family First party is a surprise however. I don't recall a faith based political party in the past.

I'm not sure how old you are Fred - but we have had faith based parties before. The most prominent was probably the DLP - Democratic Labor Party - big in the 1950s and 60s, now moribund. Strongly Catholic and anti-Communist, they played a significant role in keeping Menzies in power.

65 posted on 10/11/2004 1:31:51 AM PDT by naturalman1975 (Sure, give peace a chance - but si vis pacem, para bellum.)
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To: MadIvan
Yeah, I remember that. But there is something different about blowing up our embassies in Africa and blowing up NYC. At least it was for me. Bali was over there, NYC was right here.

I think it makes a difference.
66 posted on 10/11/2004 2:39:05 AM PDT by Tarpon
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To: willyboyishere

An interesting thing happened in California shortly after Arnold became governor, a lot of these Derrida-ites decided to take retirement from colleges, universities. public schools, the various state agencies that pump money into the so called education sites and the non profits that find grant money.

A friend, who has been a closet conservative in education, took his second retirement. He had been called out of his first retirement to bail out a new school.

He felt that there are many money trails that aren't really kosher, and these Derrida-ites decided to get out before the trails got hot. Also, many of them are his/mine age, in their 60's, and they know their jig is up.


67 posted on 10/11/2004 5:53:41 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (When will the ABCNNBC BS lunatic libs stop Rathering to Americans? Answer: NEVER!)
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To: mrsmel; Fred Nerks
IIRC, there was formerly a Catholic-affiliated political party in Australia,sorry,forgot the name,but it was socialist/left-leaning.

The Australian Labor Party: still around and the official Opposition Party (Mark Latham is the current leader)

68 posted on 10/15/2004 4:34:57 PM PDT by Oztrich Boy (Liberals want to make things better by changing them, but not by so much so anybody would notice)
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To: MadIvan
The defiant response here to the savage murder of Kenneth Bigley is not what the terrorists anticipated.

Ivan, could you fill me in on what he's talking about. I've had the impression the Brits dissolved into pathos and pity over Mr. Bigley's horrible treatment and murder.

69 posted on 10/15/2004 4:42:48 PM PDT by Timeout (Bush isn't trying to shrink the SUPPLY of gov't. He wants to shrink the DEMAND for gov't.)
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