Posted on 10/13/2004 5:02:48 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
Advisers to the Massachusetts senator acknowledge that he trails Bush in West Virginia, but they insist the state is still within reach.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
Good. Play the coal card and the gun card heavy in the next two weeks. We want this state.
West Virginia will vote for Bush becuase John Kerry is a radical social liberal. Bush in a walk.
Am I the only one who sees how ludicrous his position has become? He has to steal NH, somehow steal OH or FL, and keep every one of Algore's 2000 states. Yet MO is totally off the table, as is AZ, NC, and AR, and WI is nearly gone. (IMHO, it is safe right now).
He ain't stealing OH, so that's off.
I'm confident West Viriginia will win also, but so far UConn is doing a good job.
PING!
Ohio concerns me
any new info as to put my fears to rest?
Kerry left VA yesterday.
My bet is he will concentrate on Ohio, New Jersey (yes), and Pennsylvania.
It will be known in the coming two weeks as the "targeted" campaign.
For Kerry to literally sit out these last two days, riding his stupid $8000 mountain bike, instead of going to rallies, is one of the most telling body language things in this entire campaign.
Anyone else think it was odd for him to go dark?
If he's indeed such a brilliant domestic policy wonk, why the 36 hours of "preparation?"
Best guess, Bush still +6, minimum.
I agree with almost everything you say apart from your confidence with regard to Ohio. The most recent polls seem to show a narrow Kerry lead, which is worrying given that there are fewer than 3 weeks left. Having said that, Hugh Hewitt today refers to a Bush campaign sweep through Ohio in the coming days, which will hopefully boost his numbers there.
Don't be overconfident.
Kerry needs 36 hours to rest that face of his...beauty, oops, beast rest. Don't want thsoe Botox bruises to show!
Good point. West Virginia is socially conservative, but economically labor-liberal and, while fiercely patriotic, leans isolationist on foreign issues.
They're talking about ohio on O'Reilly now
The NRA endorsement should help here...and in a number of other places. I just hope they rachet up the stakes for their members.
"Ohio concerns me...any new info as to put my fears to rest?"
A guy on an earlier thread said he 'heard' the Bush internals show them +8 in Ohio
Ohio had the biggest rally for Bush last week. 150,000 people. Shows a lot of support.
His assessment is that the GOP lost, proportionally, 1.5% less in the new voter registration drives (with more "indies" registering), and that they landed mostly in Bernalillo County. He concludes that Bush can win NM.
Likewise, his analysis of Minnesota is that the GOP counties have grown much faster than the Dem counties, and while you can't say MN is "trending Republican," it is much stronger than it was in 2000 for Bush.
Anyway, I mention this because Jay had a really critical blog the other day on Kerry sitting in NM and basically ceding campaign time. He doesn't think this at all looks like a campaign that is as confident as it lets on.
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