I find this VERY hard to believe.
But, if we win Oregon, we win the election because it would mean other liberal states would have to be close as well.
I dont think its hard to beleive at all... Today, October 15, 2004, the vote is trending almost EXACTLY as it did 4 years ago... Except that Bush has stronger leads in Florida and is up in some states he didnt carry (wisconsin) and is tied in some states he got creamed in (Iowa, NJ, Mich, MN)
Gore won Oregon by a few hundred votes... If you apply the trend in the rest of the country to the west coast BUSH SHOULD have a slight lead in Oregon...
Why is it hard to believe?
Oregon went to Gore by 0.1% last time.
It's no harder to believe that than to believe Bush up 5 in Wisconsin and Florida.
Oregon is trending GOP last few years.. Im not suprised one bit.