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Bush Up By 5 in Oregon (Bush 48-Kerry 43???)
Real Clear Politics ^

Posted on 10/15/2004 1:43:52 PM PDT by Lunatic Fringe

Edited on 10/15/2004 1:53:42 PM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]

Report in PDF format

Some other items:

Wu 58%, Ameri 36%

Measure 34 (Tillamook Forest lockup): Yes 39%, No 27%

Measure 36 (Preserve Traditional Marriage): Yes 57%, No 36%


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Oregon
KEYWORDS: battleground; kewl; polls; purplestates
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To: Lunatic Fringe
Oregon does vote by mail(our ballots just arrived) and the numbers are pretty close to the national average. We have a double majority rule for some money matters and they are hard pressed to hit the 50% participation(one time, our county purged the voting rolls after the vote an just barely hit the 50%). The turnout this year will be closer to 60% this year due to the gay marriage thingee. Portland thinks they rule Oregon, but, with that high of a turnout and the bitterness towards elected local government for forcing the gay issue, Bush will win the state and Ameri will come close in the heavily democratic district. Patty Meyers(Osama built daycare centers) is a shoo in. Nethercutt is not the right candidate. But thats Washington State.
101 posted on 10/15/2004 2:17:51 PM PDT by crazyhorse691 (I volunteer to instruct JFK on the meaning of a purple heart!!)
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Comment #102 Removed by Moderator

To: Question Liberal Authority

I think the first stop after the debate was Las Vegas and Reno and then OR. That's what GWB told us Wednesday night at Bank One Ballpark. It was hard to hear, though, so I may be wrong. :)


103 posted on 10/15/2004 2:19:07 PM PDT by valleygal
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To: Lunatic Fringe

If the GOP can take Oregon, it will sail 'em to victory.


104 posted on 10/15/2004 2:19:41 PM PDT by Ken H (The UN is so fat, bloated and corrupt, that if it was a person, he couldn't regulate his bowels. )
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To: rwfromkansas

Why is it hard to believe?

Oregon went to Gore by 0.1% last time.


It's no harder to believe that than to believe Bush up 5 in Wisconsin and Florida.


Oregon is trending GOP last few years.. Im not suprised one bit.


105 posted on 10/15/2004 2:23:23 PM PDT by Josh in PA
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To: VOA

Aaah Shucks....leaning on fence post, hat pulled low, and toeing the dirt with my boot.....This ol coot is just pleased as punch about the way things are going....Oregon is going to go to Bush and I'll be smiling all the way to the bank....

Dang, the owl sure tasted good for lunch....


106 posted on 10/15/2004 2:23:24 PM PDT by OregonRancher (illigitimus non carborundum)
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To: B Knotts

I'm homing that the marriage ammendments will help Bush get over the top in states like Ohio and Oregon.

Here in Florida, there is a measure on the ballot asking if parents should be informed about their daughter getting an abortion. It is supposed to pass overwhelmingly.


107 posted on 10/15/2004 2:24:22 PM PDT by dfdemar
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To: Hermann the Cherusker

Let's hope so.


108 posted on 10/15/2004 2:25:19 PM PDT by dfdemar
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To: billhilly

I believe you are talking about Washington. Nethercutt (R) beat incumbent Speaker Tom Foley (D) (or as the locals called him , Tom Foolery).


109 posted on 10/15/2004 2:25:50 PM PDT by NoControllingLegalAuthority
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To: OregonRancher
I do believe we have at least an even chance of winning Oregon.

They'll probably try to cheat again, like they did last time, keeping the elections office open in Multnomah County after 8:00 PM...but we'll have a lot of people watching 'em this time.

110 posted on 10/15/2004 2:26:03 PM PDT by B Knotts ("John Kerry, who says he doesn't like outsourcing, wants to outsource our national security.")
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To: OregonRancher; bevlar; RedBloodedAmerican
Am so glad to see this!

I'd like to be toeing that dirt with you! Was just out in your exquisitely beautiful state...on the ocean, in the mountains, in the green, green forests and in the desert.

Saw loads of Bush signs all over!

111 posted on 10/15/2004 2:27:04 PM PDT by Molly Pitcher (Global test for OUR national security??? H$## NO!)
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To: conservativepoet

I agree with you. I'd still vote if I heard my candidate was way down. Every vote really does count. The machines, too!

Here in Arizona in the primary, two of the guys running for state rep. were separated by 4 votes when the votes were counted. There was a challenge and they found one of the machines didn't count right or soemthing and they found more votes that were distributed to the four guys running. The one yong man (that I voted for)who was up by 4 was after the recount DOWN by 13 votes and lost. Oh well.

I just hope they make sure all the machines are working for the general! They are the type that scan the ballots.


112 posted on 10/15/2004 2:28:23 PM PDT by valleygal
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To: Lunatic Fringe
Oh, this is good.

I have the misfortune of having to deal with two lunatics from Oregon. One is an admitted socialist and the other is a enviro-nutjob. Nothing, nothing could please me more than Oregon going to the President.

113 posted on 10/15/2004 2:28:35 PM PDT by riri
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To: Molly Pitcher

*sigh*


114 posted on 10/15/2004 2:30:36 PM PDT by RedBloodedAmerican
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To: justshe
All voting in Oregon is done by mail

That's great news for Bush, since only about 15-20% of Democrats are literate.
115 posted on 10/15/2004 2:32:35 PM PDT by hawaiian
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To: Question Liberal Authority
ARG and SurveyUSA are skewed way left. This seems plausible, considering that Bush's first stop after the debate was Oregon.

That's what I was thinking. Could be closer than ARG, which I'm beginning to laugh at, says. Well, if it costs the Dems, keep on it Mr. Bush. Boy it would be nice to get some 'blue' states in a win.

116 posted on 10/15/2004 2:38:42 PM PDT by madison46 (Give IRAN nuke fuel?? Your nutz)
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To: man from mars

How do you know?


117 posted on 10/15/2004 2:38:55 PM PDT by rushmom
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To: Molly Pitcher

Molly
Ma'am,
Dear Lady. Our state is going to go for Bush because of one thing; the marriage bill. After what those dim witted women did in Portand to allow the so called gay unions, most people in this state hit a wall of moral outrage. Sure, it CAN get wacky here, but, this time the Libs just went to far.
Went to our city council meeting last week. Local pastor led in a nice, soft spoken prayer and then all stood for the pledge of allegience. No obvious bible thumping, just a firm committment to values that have been in our neighborhood for generations and that have proven to be tried and true through good and bad. This is what
most people here want.

Bush will win.....take it to the bank


118 posted on 10/15/2004 2:41:48 PM PDT by OregonRancher (illigitimus non carborundum)
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Comment #119 Removed by Moderator

To: man from mars

source on that is? You can be vague, but how do you know about good polls if this day's polling is not done?

many thanks,


120 posted on 10/15/2004 2:51:36 PM PDT by madison46 (Give IRAN nuke fuel?? Your nutz)
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