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Poll gives Bush wide lead in Alabama (Bush up by 24)
The Mercury News ^ | Oct. 15, 2004 | PHILLIP RAWLS (AP)

Posted on 10/15/2004 3:34:57 PM PDT by NewMediaFan

MONTGOMERY, Ala. - A survey of likely Alabama voters found President Bush maintaining a wide lead over Democratic challenger John Kerry, with only two weeks of campaigning left. But races for state appeals court judgeships were close, with large numbers of voters undecided.

When asked whom they would support if the election were held today, 56 percent said Bush, 32 percent said Kerry, 1 percent said Ralph Nader, and 11 percent were undecided.

The random telephone survey, conducted by Capital Survey Research Center, the in-house polling firm of the Alabama Education Association, was conducted Tuesday through Thursday with 546 likely voters. The poll, released Friday, has a sampling error margin of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Poll Director Gerald Johnson said the results were almost identical to a survey he did a month ago. He predicted that in the Nov. 2 election, much of the undecided vote will go to Kerry and that Bush will end up with 55 percent to 60 percent. That would leave Kerry with 40 percent to 45 percent. In 2000, Bush got 56 percent to Democrat Al Gore's 42 percent, with Nader and others getting the rest.

Republican presidential candidates have carried Alabama in every election since Ronald Reagan in 1980.

(Excerpt) Read more at mercurynews.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Alabama
KEYWORDS: gwb2004; polls; southernvote
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1 posted on 10/15/2004 3:34:57 PM PDT by NewMediaFan
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To: NewMediaFan

Kerry needs to pour all of his remaining resources into Alabama ASAP and turn this state around!


2 posted on 10/15/2004 3:36:29 PM PDT by counterpunch (The CouNTeRPuNcH Collection - www.counterpunch.us)
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To: NewMediaFan

Now THAT is what I was TALKING about!!

In a sane and healthy country, it'd be double-digits all over the country!

/c8

Dan


3 posted on 10/15/2004 3:36:30 PM PDT by BibChr ("...behold, they have rejected the word of the LORD, so what wisdom is in them?" [Jer. 8:9])
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To: NewMediaFan

John Kerry has snubbed all of Alabama, by his absence.


4 posted on 10/15/2004 3:37:10 PM PDT by AmericanMade1776 ((John Kerry is now in full retreat))
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To: NewMediaFan

BAMA BUMP!!


5 posted on 10/15/2004 3:38:40 PM PDT by glock rocks (posted from the very heart of Reagan country)
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To: NewMediaFan

I never would have guessed he was that close. We have work to do!!


6 posted on 10/15/2004 3:39:11 PM PDT by awelliott
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To: NewMediaFan

I know this makes my son-in-law (Libertarian, ran for office and lost but had 19% of the vote in his County), daughter and son and daughter-in-law VERY happy. They are BUSH supporters.

Alabama is a fairly conservative State. In most County elections and in some State elections, voters still vote for the MAN and not the party. But they're plenty savvy about National Elections.


7 posted on 10/15/2004 3:44:30 PM PDT by HighlyOpinionated (Pray for President Bush and Vice President Cheney, every day and don't stop on Nov. 2, either.)
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To: HighlyOpinionated

GOD BLESS THE SOUTH!!!


8 posted on 10/15/2004 3:46:16 PM PDT by nimbysrule
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To: counterpunch
But everyone in Alabama needs to vote even if it's a safe state because we don't need to listen to them say again how they won the popular vote.

EVERY VOTE COUNTS

9 posted on 10/15/2004 3:49:03 PM PDT by NTegraT
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To: BibChr

We are very smart in this state.


10 posted on 10/15/2004 3:50:28 PM PDT by MamaB (mom to an angel)
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To: counterpunch

That many Alabaman's can't be wrong.


11 posted on 10/15/2004 3:52:54 PM PDT by Big Horn (A waist is a terrible thing to mind.)
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To: NewMediaFan

Sweet Home Alabama.


12 posted on 10/15/2004 3:53:16 PM PDT by Radio Free Tuscaloosa (God Bless...America!! - Adm. Jeremiah Denton)
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To: NewMediaFan
One suspects that were the MSM to do a story on this poll, the headline would read something like:

"Bush edges Kerry in Unimportant Southern Race."

13 posted on 10/15/2004 3:53:30 PM PDT by AlguyA
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To: MamaB
We are very smart in this state.

Shhhhhh, let 'em keep thinkin' we ain't.

14 posted on 10/15/2004 3:55:47 PM PDT by numberonepal (Cameras, ammo, arms, eyes, and ears on election day.)
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To: NewMediaFan

Well done, Alabama Freepers!!!

But, remember...EVERY vote will count!!


15 posted on 10/15/2004 3:56:31 PM PDT by Right_in_Virginia
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To: NewMediaFan

Kerry shouldn't even waste the jet fuel to go there, The President will win Alabama easily!!!


16 posted on 10/15/2004 4:02:39 PM PDT by Proud Republican 99
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To: Right_in_Virginia

In Alabama, the product sells itself. In Shelby County (southern Birmingham), W stickers outnumber Lurch stickers 10-to-1.


17 posted on 10/15/2004 4:03:02 PM PDT by Radio Free Tuscaloosa (God Bless...America!! - Adm. Jeremiah Denton)
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To: Radio Free Tuscaloosa
Welcome to FR and I remind you of FR policy - New members buy a round for all the other members. I'll take it easy on you though, I only drink diet coke.

The other important rule to remember is that if you post an article about Ann Coulter you most also post some pictures of her.

18 posted on 10/15/2004 4:11:35 PM PDT by Graybeard58
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To: NewMediaFan
Unfortunately, Alabama is racially divided when it comes to politics. While Bush easily won here in 2000, Algore got his highest percentage of votes in any county in the USA in Macon County, Alabama. The county seat of Macon is Tuskegee. Kerry will pick up almost all the black vote here, plus the few liberal votes, so a 60/40 split is most likely.

I have black friends, and they simply believe the most outrageous conspiracy stories about Republicans*. I can't argue past these beliefs. I guess it's a legacy of days gone past, but I wish it wasn't so. So many of the country black folks around here are otherwise conservative in all their values, very Christian, and there is absolutely room for them in the Republican party.

* The Reagan administration invented AIDS to prevent the Soviets from taking Africa.
* Crack cocaine was developed by the 1st Bush Admin's CIA to keep folks in the ghetto.
* Republicans prevented blacks from voting in Florida (2000) by having the police arrest thousands of blacks the day before the election, and released them a few days after the election, without filing any charges (a local black Christian radio show is saying this).
* The former democratic governor of Alabama, Don Siegelman, lost because black votes were thrown out in Baldwin county (even though Riley won by a greater percentage of votes than there are blacks in that county).
* The war in Iraq is killing primarily blacks and hispanic soldiers, even though this is proved false (72% white casualites).

19 posted on 10/15/2004 4:12:32 PM PDT by Alas Babylon!
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To: NewMediaFan
Unfortunately, Alabama is racially divided when it comes to politics. While Bush easily won here in 2000, Algore got his highest percentage of votes in any county in the USA in Macon County, Alabama. The county seat of Macon is Tuskegee. Kerry will pick up almost all the black vote here, plus the few liberal votes, so a 60/40 split is most likely.

I have black friends, and they simply believe the most outrageous conspiracy stories about Republicans*. I can't argue past these beliefs. I guess it's a legacy of days gone past, but I wish it wasn't so. So many of the country black folks around here are otherwise conservative in all their values, very Christian, and there is absolutely room for them in the Republican party.

* The Reagan administration invented AIDS to prevent the Soviets from taking Africa.
* Crack cocaine was developed by the 1st Bush Admin's CIA to keep folks in the ghetto.
* Republicans prevented blacks from voting in Florida (2000) by having the police arrest thousands of blacks the day before the election, and released them a few days after the election, without filing any charges (a local black Christian radio show is saying this).
* The former democratic governor of Alabama, Don Siegelman, lost because black votes were thrown out in Baldwin county (even though Riley won by a greater percentage of votes than there are blacks in that county).
* The war in Iraq is killing primarily blacks and hispanic soldiers, even though this is proved false (72% white casualites).

20 posted on 10/15/2004 4:12:55 PM PDT by Alas Babylon!
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