[Zebra]

Electronic, that is. Oh well, it's late..........

[Jeff Head]

I'm calling it for Bush

[JLS]

This is very odd. Iowa Electronic Markets are showing a price of it appears slightly above .58 for Bush, while Tradesport is right now around .53?

That much of a spread means there is an arbitrage opportunity. I wonder is on of these two markets is much thinner than the other?

[NewMediaFan]

Poll	Date	Bush/ Cheney	Kerry/ Edwards	Nader/ Camejo	Spread
RCP Average	10/9 - 10/14	47.8%	45.5%	1.5%	Bush +2.3
Zogby (1220 LV)	10/12 - 10/14	48%	44%	1%	Bush +4
ABC/Wash Post (1202 LV)*	10/11 - 10/13	48%	48%	1%	TIE
TIPP (818 LV)	10/10 - 10/13	47%	44%	2%	Bush +3
CBS News (760 LV)	10/9 - 10/11	48%	45%	2%	Bush +3
ICR (763 LV)	10/9 - 10/11	48%	43%	2%	Bush +5
CNN/USAT/Gallup (793 LV)	10/9 - 10/10	48%	49%	1%	Kerry +1

[Drango]

Tradesports isn't showing a move for Bush

BID

Qty

Price

6	52.9
12	52.8
15	52.5
50	52.3
20	52.2
143	52.1
1020	52.0
12	51.7
20	51.6
5	51.5
53	51.3
58	51.1
100	50.7
87	50.2
736	50.1

ASK

Price

Qty

53.0	29
53.4	4
53.5	506
54.0	5
54.6	55
54.8	43
54.9	60
55.0	1000
55.2	15
55.5	25
55.6	1
55.7	2
55.9	704
56.0	290
56.1	94

[Turk82_1]

You have to remember, Rush featured this prominently on his show, as well as posting a link on his website. Could be the effect of lots of conservatives trying to win Dummocrats' money.

[JingoJim]

I believe that right now there is a very large seller of Bush contracts making himself felt. I noticed this several weeks ago and then have been numerous attempts to move the market lower since then. I would guess this seller has sold between 40,000 and 60,000 contracts and maybe more over a period of weeks. For the last few days the seller has kept his foot on the market to keep it below 55 and has stepped in this morning to sell it down to 54. (It keeps popping up) The style of selling suggests that it is attempt to hold the market down for EFFECT. I am sure a large number of pundits and commentators check in with the market regularly. I have moved my share of stocks myself and recognize when it is occurring. Everyone can play in this market for whatever reason. But the assumption is one is trying to make money. This seller has not made smart short term trades which suggests that money may not the primary motivation. One can sell 100,000 of $10 contracts at, for example, 55 and the risk of loss is $450,000 if Bush wins. It may be good PR to whack this market, unsettle the Bush pundits and Bush campaign while whipping up the Kerry troops. (The BIG MO.) Actually, not a bad investment. If it works it would even make $550,000/100,000 sold. But the are plenty of well heeled democrats who just may consider it a contribution to the cause. Soros could even be having fun with it.

[ArmyBratproud]

"We are out here doing our job. Now you get out there and do yours." Help Get Out the Vote! Oct. 16 (Sat) and 17 (Sun) is Walk The Vote Day for Bush/Cheney and the GOP! Info here- http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1246830/posts?page=1 ------------------------------------------ Go to GeorgeWBush.com. (While there, sign up as an on-line volunteer) They have flyers you can print out as well. Sign up to Organize a Walk the Vote https://www.georgewbush.com/Secure/SignUpBP.aspx?t=w Host a Party for the President https://www.georgewbush.com/Secure/SignUpBP.aspx Brochure that you can print out! http://www.georgewbush.com/Party/Agenda_Flyer.pdf

[MNJohnnie]

Let's not get to giddy people. Still a long way to go to election day. We still got to get EVERY Bush voter to the polls to offset the massive Voter fraud and Legal challenges the Dims are cooking up.

[LS]

Could you please post that great graph?