In Israel, Bush Soundly Defeats Kerry

Center for Public Opinion ^ | October 15, 2004 | Staff

[veronica]

(CPOD) Oct. 15, 2004 – Many Israeli adults want George W. Bush to earn a second term as president of the United States, according to a poll by Dialog published in Haaretz. 50 per cent of respondents want the Republican incumbent to win the Nov. 2 election, while 24 per cent would choose Democratic nominee John Kerry.

In April, Bush backed the "Disengagement Plan" tabled by Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon, which calls for the redeployment of forces along new security lines, as well as changes in settlements to reduce the number of Israelis living among Palestinians. 40 per cent of respondents say their opinion about the U.S. is better than it was three years ago.

Kerry has vowed to provide "genuine resolve and direct personal involvement to ending the Israeli-Palestinian conflict."

Polling Data

Who would you prefer to win the presidential election in the United States on Nov. 2 - Republican George W. Bush or Democrat John Kerry?

George W. Bush (R) 50%

John Kerry (D) 24%

Either / Neither/ Unsure 26%

Over the past three years, would you say your opinion about the U.S. is better or worse?

Better 40%

Worse 26%

Source: Dialog / Haaretz Methodology: Telephone interviews to 522 Israeli adults, conducted on Sept. 22 and Sept. 23, 2004. Margin of error is 4.38 per cent.

[veronica]

There are many Americans living in Israel who can vote in the US election. :))

[tomnbeverly]

I wish the American Jewish community would reflect on thier historic roots and vote sensibly.

[codercpc]

Does anybody know how these numbers compare to Bush vs Gore in 2000?

[Dems_R_Losers]

Are you kidding? With Joe Lieberman on the ticket? My guess is it was 3-1 for Gore in 2000.

[ArmedNReady]

Polling also indicates that Kerry would run away with the election if it were held in France. That's all I need to know about Kerry and the French.

JFK...take a hint, move to France....they have be best whine.

[austinaero]

If there is any country in the world that has had security issues to deal with, it's Israel.

[veronica]

I think Bush is much more popular with Jews now than he was in 2000. In the US and in Israel.

[dawn53]

Saw a news report the other night.

Lots of Israeli's who have dual citizenship are casting absentee ballots for Bush.

It was noted that these folks had never voted in an American election since immigrating to Israel, but felt that this time it was important.

If I'm not mistaken, Israel has one of the largest concentrations of ex-pats of any country in the world.

Here's an interesting link:

http://northernva.typepad.com/crossing_the_rubicon/2004/09/american_voters.html

And excerpt from that link:

"Both parties estimate at least a doubling in the number of people casting ballots from 2000. In that election, 14,000 Americans in Israel registered, most of whom voted.

Well over 100,000 Israeli residents are eligible to vote in the election by the parties' tallies.

If the numbers prove correct, that will put Israel among the top three - if not No. 1 - in terms of expatriate Americans participating in the contest, according to Mark Alan Zober, chairman of the Democrats Abroad in Israel"

[Mr. Mojo]

I wish the American Jewish community would reflect on thier historic roots and vote sensibly

All polls show that Bush will get 15%-20% more of the Jewish vote than he did in 2000. .....an election year where over 50% of Jews under 30 voted for him.

[tomnbeverly]

Good...grassroots efforts need to help sway the generation of FDR... John Kerry is the total opposite of FDR.

[Radix]

Since Bush came into office the Israelis have been quite less restrained in their dealings with terrorists.

Under Clinton there apparently was a lot of pressure keeping them from adequately dealing with the throwbacks.

I can scarcely imagine thinking Israelis wanting to see Bush out of office and someone such as Kerry in there. It would be tantamount to a death wish.

[veronica]

Well over 100,000 Israeli residents are eligible to vote in the election by the parties' tallies.

It could tip the election.

[dawn53]

Nazrat
Since Oct 15, 2004

Welcome to Free Republic

perfectly legal for American citizens living in Israel to vote...unlike the New Yorkers that are registered in New York and Florida and vote twice!

[RoseofTexas]

God bless our President with 4more years

[robertpaulsen]

"an election year where over 50% of Jews under 30 voted for him."

Geez. I also bet he got the vote of 75% of male, left-handed Jews over six feet tall. So?

In the year 2000, Bush got 19% of the Jewish vote (Al Gore got 79%). I don't know and I don't care how many non-voting Jews in Israel or any other country want Bush. They don't vote.

"All polls show that Bush will get 15%-20% more of the Jewish vote than he did in 2000."

If true (which I highly doubt), that means the Jewish vote for Bush will go from 19% to 21%. Color me unimpressed.

[Mr. Mojo]

Geez. I also bet he got the vote of 75% of male, left-handed Jews over six feet tall. So?

It shows that the younger generation of American Jews aren't nearly as brainwashed as their New Deal-era parents. That that's a GOOD thing. Or perhaps you think it isn't, and you feel uncomforable with Jews voting Republican?

Bush got 19% of the total Jewish vote last time and is expected to get over 30% this time. Try to be encouraged about the progress.

[veronica]

Good point! :)

[veronica]

Reagan got 40% of the Jewish vote and Bush will do at least that well. Reagan won reelection, fyi. :)